CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Ironically, Saturday's system would have made a good infusion to the 50/50 vortex, but it's getting crushed so far ESE it never helps out. We're left with the naked trailing ridge behind it with less 50/50 now pressing the heights down in Quebec. In addition, the better Pacific with the big rockies ridge is actually making the northern stream dig a little too much for my liking on some of these solutions. We want it to dig, but not as early as it's doing, but it's responding to the big ridge building out west. All of that in combination is making this more of a needle-threader than you'd typically want to see. There's still pretty high potential in this system, but I don't see a lot of margin for error that we sometimes see in other big dogs. That's basically how I feel. It's a needle threader here..maybe more of a rain to snow deal perhaps. I'd feel a lot better Berks into NNE. I know it's early, but my preliminary feelings anyways. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: That's basically how I feel. It's a needle threader here..maybe more of a rain to snow deal perhaps. I'd feel a lot better Berks into NNE. I know it's early, but my preliminary feelings anyways. Yeah we should prob stress that in a blocky flow, model guidance could easily change the look enough to matter a lot for sensible wx. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ironically, Saturday's system would have made a good infusion to the 50/50 vortex, but it's getting crushed so far ESE it never helps out. We're left with the naked trailing ridge behind it with less 50/50 now pressing the heights down in Quebec. In addition, the better Pacific with the big rockies ridge is actually making the northern stream dig a little too much for my liking on some of these solutions. We want it to dig, but not as early as it's doing, but it's responding to the big ridge building out west. All of that in combination is making this more of a needle-threader than you'd typically want to see. There's still pretty high potential in this system, but I don't see a lot of margin for error that we sometimes see in other big dogs. I see what you’re saying on confluence. Ironically we’ll need the pna to not spike now, a complete reversal of seasonal demands. Interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 22 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Another weak storm looks likely, this trends same as Saturday’s storm Probably the opposite however it could be an inland runner. Likely another congrats NNE storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 The -NAO and general blocking is fading while retrograding west...That was always part of the deal.. But it needs(ed) to time right with the other moving parts in total hemisphere. These storms seem all powerful when they're under way, but they have narrow bandwidths with leading parametrics...etc. Anyway... too much on Saturday and too little next week ... nuances that need to be overcome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I see what you’re saying on confluence. Ironically we’ll need the pna to not spike now, a complete reversal of seasonal demands. Interesting. It just zooms on out of here, I mentioned that yesterday. Probably the most frustrating part of this season. Anyways, not trying to pee in anyone's cheerios. Just noting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It just zooms on out of here, I mentioned that yesterday. Probably the most frustrating part of this season. Anyways, not trying to pee in anyone's cheerios. Just noting. The peepee is needed. Otherwise we’d be full steam ahead with snow goggles on. Models can show what they want but dissecting the smaller but important details is what we need you guys for. Thanks and hopefully you’re peeing won’t turn into a shit streak shit show as we get closer. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said: I have to say I hope this storm is a WWG1WGA, just not QQomega-non style. In fact, if it is region-wide, I say we call it the Qanon storm! Enjoy the show… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The peepee is needed. Otherwise we’d be full steam ahead with snow goggles on. Models can show what they want but dissecting the smaller but important details is what we need you guys for. Thanks and hopefully you’re peeing won’t turn into a shit streak shit show as we get closer. Honestly, that is what might be needed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 12 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Agreed. Eastern NYS could be in for a big one. I’d lean rain for most east of Worcester, up to SE NH. Things can change obviously Oh definitely, And I may change my mind tomorrow lol . For Se mass I think it is much harder / more thread the needle then outside 495 belt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 23 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Why does pivotal look drastically different? It's the UKMET so who cares either way but 976 near the BM vs this looks entirely like a different run/model. Is the UKMET-G different from pivotals UKMET? Looks like resolution differences? Pivotal looks a lot more higher res and is probably picking up the 976mb gridpoint that meteocentre isn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Wish I had UKMET on SV today but uncle was too drunk to report to all the vendors I guess..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Honestly, that is what might be needed. You nasty BIG, you nasty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 20 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Agreed. Eastern NYS could be in for a big one. I’d lean rain for most east of Worcester, up to SE NH. Things can change obviously That's pretty much been the case all winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You nasty BIG, you nasty. Who you call in’ a Big? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Folks are nervous.. absolute sweaty hand wringing trepidation. Thinking about rains and rumored rains to Maines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Folks are nervous.. absolute sweaty hand wringing trepidation. Thinking about rains and rumored rains to Maines You’ve called the hotline before we anticipate you picking up the phone again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Not nervous here. Resignation of rains to Maines. Or at least inside 128.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: You’ve called the hotline before we anticipate you picking up the phone again How much for Nashua? Rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Folks are nervous.. absolute sweaty hand wringing trepidation. Thinking about rains and rumored rains to Maines The stakes are high given how awful the season has been and how high the potential is next week…but with mounting red flags of a needle threader. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 19 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You nasty BIG, you nasty. Dam, weenies want to stick me for my outlook..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 12z Korean is like 1888 shifted a bit east lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The stakes are high given how awful the season has been and how high the potential is next week…but with mounting red flags of a needle threader. Might be a case where you and I see more snow Saturday than we do early next week.....this one does have the feeling of up and in right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: 12z Korean is like 1888 shifted a bit east lol This may be the first time I have ever seen you reference that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 12z Korean is like 1888 shifted a bit east lol Sweet. Can always adjust higher as we get closer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Dam, weenies want to stick me for my outlook..... Call the coroner! There's gonna be a lot of snow-less singing and flower bringing If my KU bust alarm starts ringing… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 12z Korean is like 1888 shifted a bit east lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Glad it’s not the N Korean model. That could be trouble 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Christ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Call the coroner! There's gonna be a lot of snow-less singing and flower bringing If my KU bust alarm starts ringing… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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