TalcottWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: 3” is better then 0” I’d rather 60 and 3” of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Do you really believe that this is the outcome? Lol.... I'm not saying 100% this is not going to happen, but I would say 85% that this is not happening this way Contrary to emaciated bald men in Tolland's beliefs, that's an awful 12k Run of the NAM at 18z for all of CT. Thank God it's the NAM. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: NAM ingesting new data. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, TalcottWx said: Looks like a similar snow distribution to last years blizzard. I hope it’s right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Ha. That’s hilarious. But unfortunately it’s probably not correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: I’d rather 60 and 3” of rain. Maybe next December 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, George001 said: Looks like a similar snow distribution to last years blizzard. I hope it’s right It isn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 I’d pay good money for that to verify. A few inches here and at Tolland. Scoot-south with 2’+. Ray melts with “only” 15”. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, RDRY said: It isn't. Yeah unfortunately it doesn’t really have much support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Ha. That’s hilarious. But unfortunately it’s probably not correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, dendrite said: I’d pay good money for that to verify. A few inches here and at Tolland. Scoot-south with 2’+. Ray melts with “only” 15”. And Tblizz whining his way to another 30 burger. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Regardless of this outcome, look what happens without the nipple low. Winds rapidly back and temps 925 and below plummet. So ignoring low position, THAT is what we want to see. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 It would truly be an Oak Bluffs winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Forgetting the verbatim NAM the 18z question is whether or not the trend is for a more consolidated ocean low in a great spot for ESNE. We’ll know in an hour. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Regardless of this outcome, look what happens without the nipple low. Winds rapidly back and temps 925 and below plummet. So ignoring low position, THAT is what we want to see. Exactly what I tried to tell Jaybird. It’s a better solution especially for valleys and coasts which will fight BL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 All in all, we can see that the envelope of possibilities is still very wide. Going to probably be another 24 hours before more clarity emerges 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Exactly what I tried to tell Jaybird. It’s a better solution especially for valleys and coasts which will fight BL Even for you it would help turn you to snow quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 11 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: If TBlizz pulls another HECS out of his arse I will lose it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 12 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Ray porked again. Nah...that run would deform me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Exactly what I tried to tell Jaybird. It’s a better solution especially for valleys and coasts which will fight BL Beer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWilly Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 It's great to see the NAM and Euro in agreement as always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 12 minutes ago, George001 said: Looks like a similar snow distribution to last years blizzard. I hope it’s right Sorry George, no disrespect but I hope it's wrong. I actually don't think it's right anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 12 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: Those kuchera numbers imply a colder system which is the big takeaway from that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 My God, I'd hate to have to make a forecast for the general public on this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: How does one run go from this: To this: In some ways not shocking at all given the volatile setup... The tiniest of changes with respect to development of the coast low, where the upper level flow tries to capture and bomb it out, as well as any where the best gradient focuses will allow for huge run to run shifts at this range. I won't be surprised if we see more significant shifts until tomorrow's 12z runs. I more wary of a westward trend than an escape east... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 It is nice though to see that we still certainly need highly discerning meteorologists to interpret computer outputs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 minute ago, Henry's Weather said: My God, I'd hate to have to make a forecast for the general public on this one. I have been blogging for 9 years, and this is the most difficult event I have seen. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 What is known, what is unknown? Keepin it real... personal reflect goes a long way. Ironing out QPF, translating to ratios won't be known till. I use the meso's (when in range) heavily on the SREF plume MEAN to pinpoint amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Just now, ROOSTA said: What is known, what is unknown? Keepin it real... personal reflect goes a long way. Ironing out QPF, translating to ratios won't be known till. I use the meso's (when in range) heavily on the SREF plume MEAN to pinpoint amounts. This storm is going to cause aneurysms. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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