Chrisrotary12 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 What if.....hear me out....2" of QPF falls out of the sky as snow at 35 F and doesn't accumulate? That's basically what BOX's map says. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: So my early am pee run around 7 tomorrow-if it’s flipped by then we’re getting buried. If not-we may get 6+ but it would have to be snow by lunchtime. Approx start time for snow in BOS area based on 12z runs: GFS- 8-9am Euro 1-2pm CMC 3-4pm UK 1-2pm NAM 10-11am, but early end based on track. I'm assuming that due to DST, 18z now means 2pm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 HRRR into ASH? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 9 minutes ago, KoalaBeer said: Nothing like covering all of your bases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 HRRR all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: HRRR into ASH? ORE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 the gradient on the 18z HRRR is wild 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: HRRR into ASH? Actually retros into Hubbdave, lol These hi res mesos are pretty much useless after 6 hours....we can't even trust the Euro right now at 24h. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: HRRR all over the place. Why shouldn't it be as confused as the rest of them? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Biggest Nam run of everyone's life on deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Chickens blown onto bodies 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Just now, dryslot said: Biggest Nam run of everyone's life on deck. Until 00z, and then until 06z. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 That would leave a mark snow and wind wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Approx start time for snow in BOS area based on 12z runs: GFS- 8-9am Euro 1-2pm CMC 3-4pm UK 1-2pm NAM 10-11am, but early end based on track. I'm assuming that due to DST, 18z now means 2pm here. And my lunch is usually 2-3…lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: same here I'm in the Burg it's 41 and starting to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Approx start time for snow in BOS area based on 12z runs: GFS- 8-9am Euro 1-2pm CMC 3-4pm UK 1-2pm NAM 10-11am, but early end based on track. I'm assuming that due to DST, 18z now means 2pm here. All you need is this. 15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Just got the WSW issued, Looks like GYX waited until the very end for some up here.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Very minimal changes. Going to make the regional graphic look silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Very minimal changes. Going to make the regional graphic look silly. The only thing i see is they went with a little higher totals in the Foothills and Mtns up here anyways. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: HRRR into ASH? Feb 2010? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 This is just a cool graphic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 10 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: What if.....hear me out....2" of QPF falls out of the sky as snow at 35 F and doesn't accumulate? That's basically what BOX's map says. Then this will be the worst winter in the history of Connecticut. Not even close. 1935 Boston Braves level of putrid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 9 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: the gradient on the 18z HRRR is wild 12” my backyard 0” my front yard 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 12” my backyard 0” my front yard Convenient for clearing your driveway 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 I'll be really interested in seeing how the R/S line responds to heavier precip later. A lot of these models have a very good cross hair sig over the interior with marginal BL overnight....typically, if you're trying to overcome a marginal BL, you want to see big lift in the DGZ which will make latent cooling more efficient as those dendrites fall into the above freezing BL. It won't make a difference if you're like +3C at 925, but in those areas that are around 1C, that's where things can bust. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Until 00z, and then until 06z. I feel like I'm being water boarded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: All you need is this. Maybe so, but we want to be able to pin down the models that had it right and the ones that had it wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Very minimal changes. Going to make the regional graphic look silly. Can't speak for your neck of the woods, but if you add up each forecast for PWM and compare to actual, we're at 54.6" forecasted vs. 52.1" actual. That's pretty damn good. This is obviously unlike any other system this season w/r/t bust potential, but on the whole I'm inclined to ride the hot hand and go with their forecast. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: This is just a cool graphic. 5% chance of that happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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