weatherwiz Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 But if the NAM/3k didn't occlude so fast I think much of CT would be destroyed given mid-levels but the occlusion happens so quickly the CCB kinda of fizzles before the best goodies can get overhead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Nam was probably the worst run of storm except for Bos / pym county cape cod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:18 AM, CoastalWx said: Lol nam slays. This is hilarious. Expand Was supposed to see Springsteen tonight so reading these posts has been my entertainment. Hoping to be pleasantly surprised here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 QPF lost about 2" across the board. Dumfounded! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:30 AM, weatherwiz said: But if the NAM/3k didn't occlude so fast I think much of CT would be destroyed given mid-levels but the occlusion happens so quickly the CCB kinda of fizzles before the best goodies can get overhead Expand Yeah CT would be in a perfect position. What would need to happen for occlusion to slow down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:21 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: And people are Going to still wake up surprised how E slopes have 25 and death valley 5. Expand I don't think anybody in the CRV between Hartford and Northampton is ever surprised by that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:33 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said: I don't think anybody in the CRV between Hartford and Northampton is ever surprised by that. Expand Jay will be nam says it doesn’t matter and doesn’t clear 14” really anywhere but Catskills and Cape cod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 3K nam stalls near outer cape. Probably gusts to 70 and S+ on the coast. Meanwhile HRRR is like 45 and calm at the same time lol. This freaking storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuildingScienceWx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 3k going warm core low. Nuke, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:33 AM, JKEisMan said: Yeah CT would be in a perfect position. What would need to happen for occlusion to slow down? Expand system not deepen so rapidly. It winds up very quickly so you're wrapping the cold air all the way around into the core and essentially cutting off warm/moist inflow. But for CT I would like to see the 700 low closing off south of LI and moving NE...it closes off near the Cape. South of /LI and tracking NE would get the band over us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 I don't think I have seen as painful of a forecasting headache for a noreaster as this one. Yikes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:32 AM, ROOSTA said: QPF lost about 2" across the board. Dumfounded! Expand Cape seemed to be the only place that QPF went up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Nam would probably rough up a few S shore scituate homes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:34 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Jay will be Expand He'll learn. Greenfield does ok but honestly, anybody under 500' between Hartford and Brattleboro needs to always trim expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:39 AM, 78Blizzard said: Cape seemed to be the only place that QPF went up. Expand The lift disappeared over W mass and N orh county ..so inside of 1.5 days we have a new solution For many on cape and interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack66 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 NWS Updated Blended . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:34 AM, CoastalWx said: 3K nam stalls near outer cape. Probably gusts to 70 and S+ on the coast. Meanwhile HRRR is like 45 and calm at the same time lol. This freaking storm. Expand NAM might actually miss N ORH Co. with the best deformation bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 NAM is best case here, but tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:41 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: NAM is best case here, but tossed Expand Getting towards it's range so can't discount entirely since modeling is all over the place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:40 AM, Jack66 said: NWS Updated Blended . Expand Reasonable map actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:40 AM, Jack66 said: NWS Updated Blended . Expand Jesus talk about steep gradient. That's a cliff on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:29 AM, ORH_wxman said: That NAM solution is a blizzard for E MA. Temps fall into the upper 20s in the commahead with like 50 mph winds. Expand Exactly my point …. man if there were ever a nowcast requirement. Certainly questionable whether or not we’ve got “fore”cast for fuck sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 This is a great way on day 7 of watching the same system to drive a weenie crazy , it’s great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:34 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Jay will be nam says it doesn’t matter and doesn’t clear 14” really anywhere but Catskills and Cape cod Expand Simsbury is the first town at the start of the hills far different from Hartford. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Can see the surface temps right now. Wet bulbs will be cold enough. Upper 20s to mid 30s across New England. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:49 AM, TalcottWx said: Simsbury is the first town at the start of the hills far different from Hartford. Expand You are at 200’ in valley..even if edge . They tried to ...ahh ok good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:51 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: 200’ in valley . They tried to ...ahh ok good luck Expand Idk what you're saying either because I've been saying there are red flags, Rev is the one who said there isn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 2:53 AM, TalcottWx said: Idk what you're saying either because I've been saying there are red flags, Rev is the one who said there isn't Expand Not at all . I’m simply saying at 200’ you are in valley (even in the edge ) and that is a real bad spot for this storm and I didn’t think you realize it as your new to the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Can someone get Harvey on camera to tell us how this is going to go? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 RGEM is a "cub" model ... cold, unified, blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now