NeonPeon Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 It is odd how there's no clear idea even within the scatter plot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Convection tends to suck more often then not in winter. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:19 AM, mannynyc said: The OP Euro is also on the eastern edge of its own ensemble Expand Looks like the cluster is east though 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:19 AM, mannynyc said: The OP Euro is also on the eastern edge of its own ensemble Expand Some of that could be timing differences with the tug westward? What does 36-42 look like before the sharp hook? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:19 AM, mannynyc said: The OP Euro is also on the eastern edge of its own ensemble Expand There are 15 members within 10 miles (or further out) than the OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:19 AM, mannynyc said: The OP Euro is also on the eastern edge of its own ensemble Expand The ensemble plot is only going to show the lowest pressure too. Given the shape of the ensemble mean surface pressure… it’s obvious there is a lot of spread. Prolonged easterly flow seems most likely to the north and west of the lows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 The convection the models are chasing doesn't appear to be all that impressive. Here's a look at it from the HRRR but even on the other guidance it doesn't appear to be a well organized area of convection. It's almost like the models are just riding one massive supercell and going bonkers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:30 AM, dendrite said: Some of that could be timing differences with the tug westward? What does 36-42 look like before the sharp hook? Expand 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monadnocks Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 12:51 AM, FXWX said: Expand Please tell me that there's no chance at all that the 34.7 at KAFN comes true. I know most of you are all "no snow, sucks to be me" but anything close to that coming true is a whole different kind of issue. Tuesday is Town Meeting Day in most small NH towns. And there's a ton of other stuff that's going to be impacted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:34 AM, mannynyc said: Expand Looks like many Out East aren’t hooking at all really between 42-48 but more of a “hook” from Ne to N . *Point being* still lots of Spread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:35 AM, monadnocks said: Please tell me that there's no chance at all that the 34.7 at KAFN comes true. I know most of you are all "no snow, sucks to be me" but anything close to that coming true is a whole different kind of issue. Tuesday is Town Meeting Day in most small NH towns. And there's a ton of other stuff that's going to be impacted. Expand I doubt they get 34. But 24 seems possible. Timing isn’t great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:34 AM, mannynyc said: Expand This is just a wave of moisture moving inland, thermals determine p-type. Big precipitation events are largely made up of atmospheric water going inland and then switching direction to the north and west, dragging that atmospheric water back out to sea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Looks like somebody went waaaay over their head last night with definite statements like “severe storm” and “big one” for EMass. Not even close lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monadnocks Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:37 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: I doubt they get 34. But 24 seems possible. Timing isn’t great Expand That's relatively good news. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:38 AM, powderfreak said: This is just a wave of moisture moving inland, thermals determine p-type. Big precipitation events are largely made up of atmospheric water going inland and then switching direction to the north and west, dragging that atmospheric water back out to sea. Expand Beer? 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Isn’t there going to be an axis of heavy snows where the deformation band sets up? Good luck figuring that out yet given the scatter of low positions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 WTH is this map 1 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:39 AM, monadnocks said: That's relatively good news. Thanks! Expand On 3/13/2023 at 1:38 AM, BombsAway1288 said: Looks like somebody went waaaay over their head last night with definite statements like “severe storm” and “big one” for EMass. Not even close lol Expand I cautioned last 2 days that snow in eastern Mass was going to take so many variables to happen otherwise likely mostly rain or mixing issues and not much accumulation. I was ridiculed as if it was a zero possibility of this…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Hrrr is def less IVT. Consolidating quicker. Nice to see that trend from 18z reverse at least on one model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:41 AM, ineedsnow said: WTH is this map Expand That may be the worst product I’ve ever seen. 6 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattm4242 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:41 AM, ineedsnow said: WTH is this map Expand My last acid trip. 1 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:41 AM, ineedsnow said: WTH is this map Expand Funktop scheduling? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:42 AM, ORH_wxman said: Hrrr is def less IVT. Consolidating quicker. Nice to see that trend from 18z reverse at least on one model. Expand Better for sure but man is it warm initially with that IVT over the city. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:41 AM, ineedsnow said: WTH is this map Expand The Commerce Department is sending a team now to drug test the office for shrooms. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:43 AM, dendrite said: That may be the worst product I’ve ever seen. Expand I can’t stop laughing at how true this is. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:41 AM, ineedsnow said: WTH is this map Expand Very busy looking but It does show you how much Incredibly faster elevations flip 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 1:46 AM, powderfreak said: I can’t stop laughing at how true this is. Expand That’s real?? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Still going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/13/2023 at 12:51 AM, CoastalWx said: EPS would argue op is on the eastern edge it seems. Expand GEFS did the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Hrrr into cape cod bay lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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