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The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket


Ginx snewx
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  On 3/12/2023 at 5:02 AM, SnowGoose69 said:

The UKIE made like 3 attempts to go full GFS in the 18 hours prior to it fully consolidating.  You can see not just the GFS is struggling with the evolution of this

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They are all struggling, but GFS the most...and while they did come east, its own ensembles are west...always a flag.

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  On 3/12/2023 at 4:54 AM, weathafella said:

Yeah it's a function of uncle having 2m temps in the upper 30s with heavy qpf and cold 925s.  Doesn't really seem possible unless we're in June.

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I noticed that at 18z Tuesday, the NAM, CMC, and RGEM all have temps here at 33-34 with winds out of the north, whereas the GFS and UK have temps at 37-39 with winds still strong out of the northeast.  That and the UK showing the 925 0°C line further north than those other models.

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