weathafella Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Seems outside the bm-40/69 at 90 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Yeah that’s way east of 12z. Northern stream was a lot less aggressive there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 I never thought I’d hear that less tugs, on a friday night, was a good thing. 1 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:16 AM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that’s way east of 12z. Northern stream was a lot less aggressive there. Expand Was waiting for a weak northern stream with a fast and progressive southern stream , I was thinking it would = IVT but maybe it helped ? Anyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Stay the course friends . So many bailed here today 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:17 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Was waiting for a weak northern stream with a fast and progressive southern stream , I was thinking it would = IVT but maybe it helped ? Anyone Expand It delays the capture…again, we need Goldilocks scenario…capture too early and it’s congrats Hunter Mountain, capture too late and it’s a non-event (or light event). It looks like it’s just about to get captured at 90 so that solution would probably slay on the next couple of panels. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:16 AM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that’s way east of 12z. Northern stream was a lot less aggressive there. Expand Thats a super bullish sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 We should have it all sorted out by 18z…Monday 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:17 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Stay the course friends . So many bailed here today Expand They don't have the experience we do 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Where’s the Pope? We need his guidance on where the low will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:17 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Stay the course friends . So many bailed here today Expand I bailed a long time ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:17 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Stay the course friends . So many bailed here today Expand Who is this poster? Not calling for rains to Maine or a miss? Thought you’d had all the optimism beaten out of you this winter. Good to see old Kev back in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:29 AM, George001 said: Where’s the Pope? We need his guidance on where the low will be. Expand Actually…We Don’t. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Don’t know how anyone would bail, this is just coming into meso range albeit the end at 0z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:36 AM, dryslot said: Don’t know how anyone would bail, this is just coming into meso range albeit the end at 0z. Expand Absolutely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:36 AM, dryslot said: Don’t know how anyone would bail, this is just coming into meso range albeit the end at 0z. Expand So many have, so sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:36 AM, dryslot said: Don’t know how anyone would bail, this is just coming into meso range albeit the end at 0z. Expand I don’t care how many ways I look at the hundreds of different model runs it all looks the same for me. Few inches with some wind and rain. this is the same damn thing all season with perhaps a bit more wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:41 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: So many have, so sad. Expand But, if the modeling moves east, won't the western crowd now bail? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:48 AM, EastonSN+ said: But, if the modeling moves east, won't the western crowd now bail? Expand I wouldn’t bail until tomorrow 0z or sunday 12z if the signs are there that this is slipping away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:41 AM, Briz600 said: I don’t care how many ways I look at the hundreds of different model runs it all looks the same for me. Few inches with some wind and rain. this is the same damn thing all season with perhaps a bit more wind. Expand It’s not going to work out for some, Very few do, Some will end up on the outside looking in, It’s just the way it is and none of us have say on who and whom. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2023 Author Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:49 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I wouldn’t bail until tomorrow 0z or sunday 12z if the signs are there that this is slipping away. Expand You have a ton of room for Messenger shifts. Tic Toc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Meanwhile … the PNA being relatively low amplitude fits that noisy Pac description … there is a mode change, but it’s really more like a mode relaxation. It rises from about -2 standard deviations to neutral slightly positive which is significant, but I would suggest if that arc were more substantially positive, you might see a better sloped trajectory as the flow approached the western North America bulge, and that might alleviate some of that weird wave spacing/contention in the model handling Chris was describing. La Niña circulation type hangover ftl 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:52 AM, Ginx snewx said: You have a ton of room for Messenger shifts. Tic Toc Expand Tick tock ya don’t stop? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Man I don’t even know if I should be excited about this one or not. Track seems pretty decent but those thermals are marginal. Something to track at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2023 Author Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 12:58 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Tick tock ya don’t stop? Expand Hot ladies I mean extremely good looking women. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 1:00 AM, Sn0waddict said: Man I don’t even know if I should be excited about this one or not. Track seems pretty decent but those thermals are marginal. Something to track at least. Expand In Bridgeport I would focus on my golf swing 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/10/2023 at 10:56 PM, tamarack said: And we take our 6-7", though it would pinch a bit knowing that 4 times that much fell less than 40 miles away. Shades of Feb 13 and Christmas night 2002. Will the qpf cutoff be that dramatic? Expand 2nd person to me to mention 12/15/02. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2023 Author Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 1:00 AM, Sn0waddict said: Man I don’t even know if I should be excited about this one or not. Track seems pretty decent but those thermals are marginal. Something to track at least. Expand About to erupt 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2023 Author Share Posted March 11, 2023 On 3/11/2023 at 1:14 AM, ineedsnow said: Expand Damn LFG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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