Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2023 Author Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 hour ago, FXWX said: I was just thinking that... Could well have smaller scale issue Friday night into early Saturday. I saw the news about the fire in Torrington today, damn you still have a lot of snow otg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 All in all I think the ensembles are going a great job. They're doing what they're supposed to do, help to eliminate or reduce spread and that's what we're seeing. Obviously, given the time of year, there are alot more challenges to contend with, especially outside of the interior and elevation. The details which will matter with that, however, likely aren't going to be resolved with the ensembles. This is where consistency of OP runs (mode-to-model and run-to-run) will become extremely important as we get to the 72-84 hour mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2023 Author Share Posted March 9, 2023 42 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: I know most folks don't like them, but: There's my April 82 analog number 1. There are some monsters in there and happy to say I have seen them all. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 20 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’m not feeling great for a big one here. It should snow though. Same here in Central E CT, I’m thinking 5-6 while Kev has the potential for higher amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2023 Author Share Posted March 9, 2023 Just now, Modfan2 said: Same here in Central E CT, I’m thinking 5-6 while Kev has the potential for higher amounts. How does one even put numbers up yet? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Peak winds will be around 18z Tuesday , at least according to the Euro op, with either moderate to heavy wet snow or sleet over many E areas. There is going to be a lot of tree damage based on that scenario. Not to mention power failures. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Going back many cycles in mind's eye... I don't recall if there was ever one where no model offered d-drip doses. There's always one that's not allowing us to drift away from this .. pure evil man. lol The UKMET has 30" then fades, but look out! Here comes the ICON ...or the Euro ... There really is just about zippo operational version consensus. Only that there's a system passing through 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: Peak winds will be around 18z Tuesday , at least according to the Euro op, with either moderate to heavy wet snow or sleet over many E areas. There is going to be a lot of tree damage based on that scenario. Not to mention power failures. Verbatim, that would be bad news inside 495 and probably to I-95 where winds might be stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Going back many cycles in mind's eye... I don't recall if there was ever one where no model offered d-drip doses. There's always one that's not allowing us to drift away from this .. pure evil man. lol The UKMET has 30" then fades, but look out! Here comes the ICON ...or the Euro ... There really is just about zippo operational version consensus. Only that there's a system passing through Maybe they will all be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: How does one even put numbers up yet? Folks just like ramble stuff. That’s where it gets irritating. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I saw the news about the fire in Torrington today, damn you still have a lot of snow otg Yes... This area, high terrain areas of western HFD county, west and north into Litchfield cty do very well with snow accumulation and retention... I'm less than 1/4 mile from Litchfield City line... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 The eps has a lot of snow fairly close to the coast considering the low locations, interesting. Almost seems like an all or nothing type deal, with those inland lows giving us nothing or nearly nothing and the offshore ones being a burial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: EPS looks just east of elbow. Nice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Still a lot of spread and not enough continuity. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 I really have no confidence where this is going at this point . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 NAM at 24h vs NAM at 72h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Nice. Hippy approved. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I really have no confidence where this is going at this point . Agree. All I know is some areas are gonna get pounded. I doubt this craps out for no one. *ducks* 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 24 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Agree. All I know is some areas are gonna get pounded. I doubt this craps out for no one. *ducks* There’s a big storm coming, I’m not sure if it tugs over the Cape or actually fringes SNE. Fun to have something interesting to track regardless of outcome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 27 minutes ago, ariof said: NAM at 24h vs NAM at 72h. One for the close in system and one for next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 18z icon with a big shift SE more towards euro evolution . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 ICON looks like euro op. Right on the line at BOS. Pummeling just inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Can’t wait for my few inches of snow and tons of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: ICON looks like euro op. Right on the line at BOS. Pummeling just inland. Yeah was just gonna post that it's very similar to the Euro OP. You have that leading vort focusing the low pressure there and then it gets yanked back....might not take quite as wide a turn as Euro, but the result was similar enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 Another icon solution ran from my basement. Wish we could do it with the varsity models… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: There's my April 82 analog number 1. There are some monsters in there and happy to say I have seen them all. There was a lot of cold air pounding up the backside of 82. I remember dismissing my staff at lunch time due to the blizzard warning. All morning it had snowed in fits and starts...maybe a slushy inch with temps just above freezing. As we were leaving the office, the sun broke through the clouds. An old coot who worked for me started yapping about the snow they had as kids, uphill to school both ways, etc. She demanded to know why we would leave work when the sun was coming out. No sooner did the words leave her mouth....a loud crash of thunder...she started screeching about how there cannot possibly be a blizzard if we are going to have a thunderstorm! I had a one mile drive home...and I was lucky to make it.... as visibility immediately fell to about 50 feet. The temp hovered around 23f at the storm's height. Now, I'm the old coot. I swear I walked to school uphill both ways. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: I saw the news about the fire in Torrington today, damn you still have a lot of snow otg Good news is the guy is going to make it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2023 Author Share Posted March 9, 2023 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Another icon solution ran from my basement. Wish we could do it with the varsity models… Icon is a Euro carbon copy. It's thermals run warm too. Good tines 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2023 Author Share Posted March 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Another icon solution ran from my basement. Wish we could do it with the varsity models… What's the Euro? minor leagues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 9, 2023 Share Posted March 9, 2023 snowman has semi joked about this all winter but reality is this rule can sometimes still work...we've yet to see a case yet where the GFS was trying to go to the fish and the other guidance was all a decent hit overall at Day 4-5...this really is the first case where as a whole the GFS is where you want it at this range or at least most runs has been Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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