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The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket


Ginx snewx
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I mean to elaborate a little what Scott just said… It’s like the northern stream behave like it should “IF” the southern Stream was there, which is odd because the southern stream is missing …. :wacko: 
so the whole run looks weird.

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  On 3/9/2023 at 3:47 AM, Typhoon Tip said:

I mean to elaborate a little what Scott just said… It’s like the northern stream behave like it should “IF” the southern Stream was there, which is odd because the southern stream is missing …. :wacko: 
so the whole run looks weird.

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This can still shunt south with a weaker, progressive low.   Tomorrow we watch for the better N stream interaction and possible capture near the cape.  This one is a contender but we sort out the moving parts starting 12z tomorrow me thinks.

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  On 3/9/2023 at 3:56 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

This can still shunt south with a weaker, progressive low.   Tomorrow we watch for the better N stream interaction and possible capture near the cape.  This one is a contender but we sort out the moving parts starting 12z tomorrow me thinks.

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Frankly… I’m not sure I trust them if they were modeling yesterday at this point. 

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  On 3/9/2023 at 4:03 AM, Typhoon Tip said:

Frankly… I’m not sure I trust them if they were modeling yesterday at this point. 

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Yeah, upper level dynamics are definitely not yet "set in stone" for this one.  I feel like there will be some weird, progressive pattern, weakining that has a QPF shove south or we get another, weak cold source,  deep interior storm.  

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  On 3/9/2023 at 4:10 AM, CoastalWx said:

It tries to a few hours later. Some interesting runs tonight.

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Yeah you can see that inverted trough develop as the northern stream forcing starts lowering surface pressures but the southern stream isn't ready to phase yet. You're only a few hours of a phase off from a bomb. 

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  On 3/9/2023 at 4:12 AM, CT Rain said:

Yeah you can see that inverted trough develop as the northern stream forcing starts lowering surface pressures but the southern stream isn't ready to phase yet. You're only a few hours of a phase off from a bomb. 

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I thought it might for a second, but it’s sort of fighting that original low that swings wide right. 

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