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The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket


Ginx snewx
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  On 3/8/2023 at 6:26 PM, CoastalWx said:

Even with the east move, still very marginal at 925 over most of SNE. Going to need this to really intensify quickly.

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Does the N stream ULL back by Great Lakes have a tendency to want to pull this more west or should I say limit the East goal posts of the surface low  . Besides 925’s You can see 5H temps are pretty torchy )relatively )  like -2/-4 , usually don’t see those so mild 

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  On 3/8/2023 at 6:33 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

 

Does the N stream ULL have a tendency to want to pull this more west or should I say limit the East . Besides 925’s You can see 5H temps are pretty torchy , like -2/-4 would that influence ratios 

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I thought it would move more to the NE, but at the last second, nrn stream comes in and yanks it NW. 

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it's very difficult, but I think getting the NS lobe as far south as possible is the best way to get a big storm that can actually get cold enough. the ECMWF basically pulled off a heavy rain to blizzard type deal because of it away from the immediate coast

temps are a problem, but something this dynamic is a possibility. it's intriguing if nothing else

ecmwf-deterministic-conus-z500_anom-8762800.thumb.png.50bdb71cbfca1015d054ffb239523888.png

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  On 3/8/2023 at 6:37 PM, brooklynwx99 said:

it's very difficult, but I think getting the NS lobe as far south as possible is the best way to get a big storm that can actually get cold enough. the ECMWF basically pulled off a heavy rain to blizzard type deal because of it

temps are a problem, but something this dynamic is a possibility. it's intriguing if nothing else

ecmwf-deterministic-conus-z500_anom-8762800.thumb.png.50bdb71cbfca1015d054ffb239523888.png

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It’s also extremely unlikely and doesn’t fit the pattern, another clown solution from the long range Euro.  A storm forming way off shore and whiffing like Saturdays is far more likely

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