Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 EPS signal for a major storm beginning Monday the 13th continuing into possibly Wed the 15th has grown each run. Is this the streak breaker for a solid slow moving SNE snowstorm?. Discuss 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2023 Author Share Posted March 7, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Gefs is catching on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Those are not weak lows at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 This is the one IMO....been clear Saturday was a corpse for a while now. That said, I do expect precip type issues for some..probably do some sort of an updated write up tomorrow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 nothing would please us more than a slow moving, region wide dumper, I'll be happy with this winter if it ended with a solid double digit, crawler with snow for days and wind, yore! they are a bunch of sub 980 lows in that cluster 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 This is going to be a classic March New England storm. The signal for a biggie in the 10-15 period has been around for a while, as Tip indicated. The pattern supports it. It is just a matter of when. When's the last time we had a blizzard loop? JMA and Euro both loop it into SE Mass. Who cares what the GFS op does. This one is coming. It will probably be good up here, but finally and happily, not limited to us northerners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 A dryslot favorite: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: A dryslot favorite: If I were in se MA, then I'd probably kick the can to December. 1 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 31 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is the one IMO....been clear Saturday was a corpse for a while now. That said, I do expect precip type issues for some..probably do some sort of an updated write up tomorrow. Be sure to include your backyard in those precip type issues... 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 So this thread will make actually getting a storm out of the 'critical period' to happen - hey...whatever works. I think now would be a great time for Saturday to come back and end up being that event. I would only caution that back on the 3rd, the EPS mean looked virtually the same as what you are seeing now for this 2nd possibility we've been tracking for Tuesday, for this Saturday. Not sure I see a compelling reason at this time why Tues should be stirring more optimism or confidence. Both Saturday, and that latter one are within a particularly suggestive telecon indication as we've outlined already. That should offer some confidence above climatology. It may also be helpful to Tues if Saturday does not have some kind of transitive effect on wave-spacing. Best way to do that is to keep it weak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: So this thread will make actually getting a storm out of the 'critical period' to happen - hey...whatever works. I think now would be a great time for Saturday to come back and end up being that event. I would only caution that back on the 3rd, the EPS mean looked virtually the same as what you are seeing now for this 2nd possibility we've been tracking for Tuesday, for this Saturday. Not sure I see a compelling reason at this time why Tues should be stirring more optimism or confidence. Both Saturday, and that latter one are within a particularly suggestive telecon indication as we've outlined already. That should offer some confidence above climatology. It may also be helpful to Tues if Saturday does not have some kind of transitive effect on wave-spacing. Best way to do that is to keep it weak. And that caution is well warranted given the track record of 7-8 day threats this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 29 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Be sure to include your backyard in those precip type issues... OP runs have zero utility right now....but yes, its possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 32 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: So this thread will make actually getting a storm out of the 'critical period' to happen - hey...whatever works. I think now would be a great time for Saturday to come back and end up being that event. I would only caution that back on the 3rd, the EPS mean looked virtually the same as what you are seeing now for this 2nd possibility we've been tracking for Tuesday, for this Saturday. Not sure I see a compelling reason at this time why Tues should be stirring more optimism or confidence. Both Saturday, and that latter one are within a particularly suggestive telecon indication as we've outlined already. That should offer some confidence above climatology. It may also be helpful to Tues if Saturday does not have some kind of transitive effect on wave-spacing. Best way to do that is to keep it weak. Saturday never had the ensemble consistency that this has had over the past 30 hours or so. It was relatively fleeting. Doesn't mean it has to work out, but it does mean it has a better shot than Saturday did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 32 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Be sure to include your backyard in those precip type issues... I get it but I’m sorry those ptype maps are crap especially deeper into the purple. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Saturday never had the ensemble consistency that this has had over the past 30 hours or so. Doesn't mean it has to work out, but it does mean it has a better shot than Saturday did. Carried out for 2 1/2 to 3 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Carried out for 2 1/2 to 3 days It had that one huge 00z run, then immediately began to fade the following 12z. That is fact...I know because I wrote about it after that 00z suite, and it immediately started to slip....sure, the signal didn't just disappear, but it was fading all along after that brief apex. I don't see that here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Again, doesn't mean rug won't yet get pulled, but I'm just hedging against that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: I get it but I’m sorry those ptype maps are crap especially deeper into the purple. He's right, though...12z OP euro blew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It had that one huge 00z run, then immediately began to fade the following 12z. That is fact...I know because I wrote about it after that 00z suite, and it immediately started to slip....sure, the signal didn't just disappear, but it was fading all along after that brief apex. I don't see that here. It’s not fact and you’re making shit up to make your point I can get the charts and prove it to you if you want no actually I’m not gonna do that I’m fucking had it with you people 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It’s not fact and you’re making shit up to make your point I can get the charts and prove it to you if you want no actually I’m not gonna do that I’m fucking had it with you people It is fact...sorry that you are butt-hurt that your thread got usurped, Sigmund Fraud. Wasn't me.... WTF... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: He's right, though...12z OP euro blew. That was the I get it part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 19 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It’s not fact and you’re making shit up to make your point I can get the charts and prove it to you if you want no actually I’m not gonna do that I’m fucking had it with you people I think you may both be talking about different Saturday storms. If you are talking about the Saturday storm last weekend, yes, the GFS ensembles had shown consistency for 3 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 18z EPS looked like it was about to launch. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 18z EPS looked like it was about to launch. May be a bit too launched haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: May be a bit too launched haha That's the risk imo. Versus out to sea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, CT Rain said: May be a bit too launched haha Yea, least of my concerns RE that is the signal pulling another disappearing act.....that said, OP has been ampy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, least of my concerns RE that is the signal pulling another disappearing act.....that said, OP has been ampy. Rains to Maine. Congrats Berkshires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Rains to Maine. Congrats Berkshires. Lets just keep the big event signal and hope the EPS remains more east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If I were in se MA, then I'd probably kick the can to December. 1 hour ago, 78Blizzard said: Be sure to include your backyard in those precip type issues... 18z is about the same. Floods for eastern ma. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now