Baum Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 9 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Looks like MPX isn’t messing around with a WSW already posted for 4-7” meanwhile the graphic shows 6-12” call me surprised. By March in 2014,here, I feel like the NWS basically gave up on watch/warning issuances as the public was somewhat numb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 6 hours ago, Stebo said: Yeah I think this has the potential to hit most of us. The 00z gfs and gem both have a nice everyone is a winner event. With the NAO/AO slightly negative and the pna slightly positive this favors a flatter pattern to slight eastern US troughing. I remember long ago when it would snow at ORD but not DTW 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaserguy Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Looks like MPX isn’t messing around with a WSW already posted for 4-7” meanwhile the graphic shows 6-12” I’m not overly excited. Snow amounts are trending lower across the board. The Euro has a mid tier WWA type snowstorm. Gfs and nam are borderline warning amounts from what I’ve seen the last couple runs. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 2 minutes ago, mnchaserguy said: I’m not overly excited. Snow amounts are trending lower across the board. The Euro has a mid tier WWA type snowstorm. Gfs and nam are borderline warning amounts from what I’ve seen the last couple runs. . I’ve got an 8am flight Thursday so a weaker storm is fine by me. I just want us to break the seasonal snow record. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 1 hour ago, BigHoss48192 said: Right? With the last major ice event in SEMI, a HUGE oak tree limb came down on my father-in-law's roof, tore up the roof/gutters and ripped the power line riser and meter box right off the back of his house, draping his power line across his back yard for almost a week. He just got it fixed and this past Fri/Sat's slushfest ripped the riser/box back off of his house again, dropping the wire across his yard for a 2nd time. The poor guy can't catch a break. Damn that’s not good to hear but one of many stories I’m hearing right now. I feel for those that were out a second time. Only benefit this go around is wind will be less but on the contrary more wet accumulation past a certain point is not good either. Wyandotte electric excluded, DTE apperently going to spend a couple bill more over the next 5 years. If I get my overtime back I’ll know that they are serious about maintenance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 probanly for the best taking care of all weak limbs and trees before the great michigan derecho of 2023 hits later this summer 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 18 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: probanly for the best taking care of all weak limbs and trees before the great michigan derecho of 2023 hits later this summer That’s a thought I’m sure a lot of us over here have. Lakes will probably be warmer then average and one serious round of storms during the evening will definitely cause issues. Also we are overdue for a big derecho. I remember being a kid during the 99,04 derechos was gnarly experience. Some other great storms have come thru but nothing of the caliber of those storms if I remember correctly in terms of forward propagating mcs or mcv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Big shift south on the 12z NAM, with respect to N IL snow prospects...farther south snow field. IA, WI, and MI jackpot, as usual. Probably overdone with amounts, but fun to look at I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 4 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: Big shift south on the 12z NAM, with respect to N IL snow prospects...farther south snow field. IA, WI, and MI jackpot, as usual. Probably overdone with amounts, but fun to look at I guess. yep nice to look at the NAM (Never Accurate Model) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 N IL looking snowier on 12z GFS. Not NAM level, but 6+ across the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaserguy Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 The south trend continues. If this verifies our WSW will end up as only a WWA for 3-5”. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 19 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: North, South, East, West. There really isn’t a direction this thing can trend away from MSP. Ready 2b buried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Having this snow fall mostly during overnight hours should help a bit with accumulations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 might be the first real spread the wealth event that includes the Iowa/N. IL/N. IN/N. Ohio trek all winter minus the pre Christmas Arctic wave. Shame ratios will be pretty rough. But based on 12Z runs time to get invested. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 7 minutes ago, Baum said: might be the first real spread the wealth event that includes the Iowa/N. IL/N. IN/N. Ohio trek all winter minus the pre Christmas Arctic wave. Shame ratios will be pretty rough. But based on 12Z runs time to get invested. If we get that clipper behind it to wring out an inch or something this would be basically the only snowy stretch of the winter no? As in multiple snowfalls in semi close order? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 3 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: probanly for the best taking care of all weak limbs and trees before the great michigan derecho of 2023 hits later this summer This year does have a 2011 feeling to it 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Having this snow fall mostly during overnight hours should help a bit with accumulations.Obviously intense rates overcome even April sun, but nighttime will definitely help since you don't need sustained heavy rates to accumulate efficiently.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 1 hour ago, Malacka11 said: Can’t always be right. I’ll take my WWA and be happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 54 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Obviously intense rates overcome even April sun, but nighttime will definitely help since you don't need sustained heavy rates to accumulate efficiently. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Personally I am hoping this can start before sunrise for this very reason. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 final call 3" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: final call 3" biggest event of the year if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 By far, not even sure we've covered grass lakeside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 12z Canadian kinda makes the low go neutral tilt in ohio and bands look to pivot/stall a bit in se mi, which could help boost the totals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 While there has been a general weakening/drying trend across the board, the Euro is way drier than all other models (1/3 to 1/2). Look at this.... the Euro vs GFS, only two days away from the event. Seriously, wtf?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 always is, ride it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toro99 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Trends die hard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 I certainly would not call it likely at this time, but there's an outside chance Detroit could have its 3rd 6" snowfall of the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 17 minutes ago, Toro99 said: Trends die hard March with a -NAO + -AO so some suppression is not unexpected. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 winter of the wither 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 2.5" 1st call. 48hrs for models to dessicate further. Grass blades reluctant to be covered this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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