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March 4 2023 Storm Obs


MaineJayhawk
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1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Interesting 

80F26919-4E4C-47F5-9F1C-7EF5A42AECFC.gif

showing some frontogenesis there along the cold front?

image.png.ba3bdcbe017f9a9b4526b5cc302dca9f.png  

 

 

 

 

md.jpg

 

That encircled blue area just had a mesoscale discussion released, and as the radar shows it did just stop snowing here...

 

 Mesoscale Discussion 0254
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1240 AM CST Sat Mar 04 2023

   Areas affected...portions of northeast NY into VT/NH and western ME

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 040640Z - 041245Z

   SUMMARY...Heavy snow with rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour is
   expected across parts of northeast New York, into New Hampshire,
   Vermont, and western Maine through around 12z/7am EST.

   DISCUSSION...Areas of light to moderate snow are ongoing across
   portions of the New England. A heavier band of precipitation over
   eastern NY into MA and southern VT/NH will lift north/northeast and
   intensify overnight. This activity is occurring within a band of
   strong 700 mb frontogenesis and midlevel warm advection, ahead of a
   compact upper trough and surface cyclone. Forecast RAP soundings
   show thermodynamic profiles becoming saturated, with an
   approximately 2.5 kft deep dendritic growth zone. Strong ascent
   through the DGZ and the saturated thermodynamic profile will support
   increasing snowfall rates, with periods of 1 to 2 inch per hour
   rates expected. The highest snowfall rates appear most likely in the
   08-12z time frame.
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2 minutes ago, dmcginvt said:

showing some frontogenesis there along the cold front?

image.png.ba3bdcbe017f9a9b4526b5cc302dca9f.png  

 

 

 

 

md.jpg

 

That encircled blue area just had a mesoscale dsiscussion released

 

 Mesoscale Discussion 0254
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1240 AM CST Sat Mar 04 2023

   Areas affected...portions of northeast NY into VT/NH and western ME

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 040640Z - 041245Z

   SUMMARY...Heavy snow with rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour is
   expected across parts of northeast New York, into New Hampshire,
   Vermont, and western Maine through around 12z/7am EST.

   DISCUSSION...Areas of light to moderate snow are ongoing across
   portions of the New England. A heavier band of precipitation over
   eastern NY into MA and southern VT/NH will lift north/northeast and
   intensify overnight. This activity is occurring within a band of
   strong 700 mb frontogenesis and midlevel warm advection, ahead of a
   compact upper trough and surface cyclone. Forecast RAP soundings
   show thermodynamic profiles becoming saturated, with an
   approximately 2.5 kft deep dendritic growth zone. Strong ascent
   through the DGZ and the saturated thermodynamic profile will support
   increasing snowfall rates, with periods of 1 to 2 inch per hour
   rates expected. The highest snowfall rates appear most likely in the
   08-12z time frame.Of 

Of course, that's like 10 miles north of MBY...

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3 minutes ago, dmcginvt said:

Just not your winter my man.  I know you like to be in the best parts and who doesnt.  But surely your close enough to get enhanced rates...just maybe not the 2 inches per hour?

Yea, one would think...gonna need to because my low levels stayed a a bit warmer than I had hoped.

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9 minutes ago, dmcginvt said:

Just not your winter my man.  I know you like to be in the best parts and who doesnt.  But surely your close enough to get enhanced rates...just maybe not the 2 inches per hour?

Also theoretically the low is moving east and presumably reforming off the coast of LI, and you are still north of it so this front will surely push your way NE of the low.  Which may mean an MD is coming your way in a few hours.  Your getting your snow tonight.  I bet we end up being very similar in totals which is frankly quite rare, it's usually you or me.  

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12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, one would think...gonna need to because my low levels stayed a a bit warmer than I had hoped.

I was shocked by being 33 watching virga with 12 dewpoint  and dropping so rapidly to 26/24 in 30 minutes as the front got closer.  But again there's going to be a transition between these lows and I have no idea who that will affect both the front giving me the goods and what will happen there, the 995 low in va is fucking with me because  it looks like its off the coast of jersey

   

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Just now, dmcginvt said:

I was shocked by being 33 watching virga with 12 dewpoint  and dropping so rapidly to 26/24 in 30 minutes as the front got closer.  But again there's going to be a transition between these lows and I have no idea who that will affect both the front giving me the goods and what will happen there, the 995 low in va is fucking with me because  it looks like its off the coast of jersey

   

Problem is I have already reached wet bulb...big difference between that and being 33/12.

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16 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Is that on desktop or mobile? I gotta say their mobile app is probably the worst app in existence. Their support number on it is so old that it takes you to a scam hotline

I dont use it on mobile, desktop only, I paid for weather weather omega after reading reviews for the app and it has no radar tilts for winter mask,  WTF?  I live in the shadow of the green mountains from our main radar.  I need all the tilts always.   I asked them and they said

At this time we don't have additional tilts for Winter Weather Radar, however, I see why this would be a priority in your case. This likely won't be something I can get changed right away, as there are a lot of complications with WWR and how it's created, but I'll bring this up to everyone today and see if this is something we can get worked on.
 
Nice and honest answer from a met on their team!
 
But weathertap it is.  
 
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3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Looks like that warm layer is flipping west and now central Ct over pretty fast 

Even here I can hear the occasional sleet pellet or rimed snowflake break the silence. But still ripping here. 

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