Impressive signal is just beginning emerge in actual guidance, Mar 10 -15th...

[MuddyWx]

Lol it goes boom for Jersey/nyc. 991 to 978 in 6 hours

[MuddyWx]

 

[weathafella]

If this can be pulled off as depicted-all will be forgiven winter of 2022-23.

[Heisy]

It looks like nearly a carbon copy of 3/18/56-one of the truly memorable storms of my lifetime.  Look it up.  Oh boy!

It’s really remarkable the differences between euro and gfs as early as day 4, one model will cave soon. Euro and Ukie agreeing tellls me this has more credibility. Our best bet is that pac ULL retrogrades early on leaving a weak piece to head E then get trapped under the block. This is a fantasy run for sure


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[MuddyWx]

I’m sure this solution won’t get hyped at all  nice to look at but EPS will be more interesting, hopefully it follows

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

If this can be pulled off as depicted-all will be forgiven winter of 2022-23.

Lol…I said that same thing a couple days ago when somebody posted a monster like that for 3/17.  This is alot closer, and I would agree with you Jerry. Get a blockbuster like that, and 22-23 redeems itself…go out in style. 

[Heisy]

EPS def supporting OP through day 5


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[MuddyWx]

EPS continues the trend of less digging/strengthening of that energy in the plains

[Heisy]

EPS holy moly!


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[MuddyWx]

man that's a fun look

[40/70 Benchmark]

That OP run would deform from near ORH to me....but best fronto band probably bear NYC and N NJ

[Heisy]

Wow!



.

[40/70 Benchmark]

43 minutes ago, weathafella said:

It looks like nearly a carbon copy of 3/18/56-one of the truly memorable storms of my lifetime.  Look it up.  Oh boy!

Hi.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Heisy said:

Wow!



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What a pants tent plot....holy shit, I'd eat the entire contents of my diaper genie to hold that.

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Can we compromise off of south Jersey?

Euro says deal.

Man...Sat night to Sunday AM. What a long, drawn out affair.

[Heisy]

Man I hope we see a full cave by gfs tomorrow morning this is awesome!



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[MuddyWx]

GEPS are a middle ground of the GEFS and EPS .. all show nice potential for a Miller B. That's a solid 0z ensemble suite

[MuddyWx]

not bad for 7 days out

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, MuddyWx said:

not bad for 7 days out

Ironically enough, the EPS has snowfall map accurately reflects where the deform band would be on that weenie OP run.

[40/70 Benchmark]

As Gerry has said, that timeframe is actually a better fit for the March 1956 analog, which got cranking mid month.

[40/70 Benchmark]

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/03/major-storm-potential-looks-next-weekend.html

[Henry's Weather]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/03/major-storm-potential-looks-next-weekend.html

Dipole is a great way to describe it. Not sure if that's standars practice 

[Henry's Weather]

Remember folks, there are only 2 ways for this to pan out.

Scenario 1:

Model locks onto it at 7 days. Starts to look worse. Gets better. Have storm.

Scenario 2:

Model locks onto storm at D7. Starts to look worse. Don't have storm.

[Ji]

What is gfs doing?

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk

[The 4 Seasons]

1 hour ago, Henry's Weather said:

Remember folks, there are only 2 ways for this to pan out.

Scenario 1:

Model locks onto it at 7 days. Starts to look worse. Gets better. Have storm.

Scenario 2:

Model locks onto storm at D7. Starts to look worse. Don't have storm.

Scenario 3:

Model locks onto storm at D7. Stays the same or slightly better for a while then. Rug pull.

Here's a zoomed in view of the EPS. Some really psychotic members in there. 49 south of LI? 

[brooklynwx99]

9 minutes ago, Ji said:

What is gfs doing?

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
 

trending

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

trending

Yep slowly

[Henry's Weather]

9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Scenario 3:

Model locks onto storm at D7. Stays the same or slightly better for a while then. Rug pull.

Here's a zoomed in view of the EPS. Some really psychotic members in there. 49 south of LI? 

Scenario 3 stills falls into scenario 2

[UnitedWx]

4 hours ago, Heisy said:

Hold me



.

 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Scenario 3:

Model locks onto storm at D7. Stays the same or slightly better for a while then. Rug pull.

Here's a zoomed in view of the EPS. Some really psychotic members in there. 49 south of LI? 

Blizz of 88