psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 Those changes even more pronounced at 84 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: It's like one step forward and one back. It’s all improved so far. Meant to say “bit more confluence” not “but” 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 Cutter switch underway Gotta get a better boat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 Euro way better at h5 compared to 0z. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 13 minutes ago, Ji said: It’s mid March I mean, needing the jet stream to be further north in mid-March is better than needing cold. Precip is always easier to weasel our way into. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Euro way better at h5 compared to 0z. Bring it home psu! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 hmmm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 Surface temps aren’t out yet. I’m sure they are a problem. But this is a huge improvement in every way! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 snowing at 111 - light snow into DC, little heavier to the west. Marginal though Rates make it happen a bit at 117 - but as @psuhoffmanalluded to temps are hardly great 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 Here we go...LFG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 Snow or Frozen at 117 H5 low over W MD 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 H5 tracks to Chicago then SE through OH and right over DC. I’d love to get that another 100 miles south but this is much better. Again the key is keeping that h5 south initially. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: H5 tracks to Chicago then SE through OH and right over DC. I’d love to get that another 100 miles south but this is much better. Again the key is keeping that h5 south initially. I'm stuck at 117. Fucker (the Euro, not you) 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 Just now, stormtracker said: I'm stuck at 117. Fucker (the Euro, not you) It's loading the blizzard like the GFS was earlier 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: H5 tracks to Chicago then SE through OH and right over DC. I’d love to get that another 100 miles south but this is much better. Again the key is keeping that h5 south initially. Seems like such an unusual setup, but that hp to the north on the Euro looks pretty legit, so maybe we don't need the typical "H5 track under us" this time as much as we normally would. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: It's loading the blizzard like the GFS was earlier Too much snow buffer overflow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I'm stuck at 117. Fucker (the Euro, not you) It’s not a huge deal. Storm is starting to amplify but probably not in time to get us with the secondary. But we got a nice little thump snow DC north from the inverted trough passage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 Just now, RedSky said: Too much snow buffer overflow Chive mashed potatoes from the heavens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 Just now, psuhoffman said: It’s not a huge deal. Storm is starting to amplify but probably not in time to get us with the secondary. But we got a nice little thump snow DC north from the inverted trough passage. New low is forming off the NC coast, but doubt it's close enough to the coast...will see in next panel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 Close, but no cigar. Gives us some light snow as it pulls away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: It’s not a huge deal. Storm is starting to amplify but probably not in time to get us with the secondary. But we got a nice little thump snow DC north from the inverted trough passage. while we wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 NE gets screwed 7 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 In March 1999 we had a similar H5 track to what the Euro is showing, but the leading airmass was colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 There's a weakish vort right behind it (not the PSU vort). Some moisture to our southwest, but it's heading E and not up to us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm stuck at 117. Fucker (the Euro, not you) My high res is too. Pivotal has the low res out to 120 and 144. Euro might be in that magic spot where we can get some snow from both waves. At 144 wave 1 is exiting and looks like enough space for wave 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 More light snow starts at 162 - 168 so far 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 Just now, psuhoffman said: My high res is too. Pivotal has the low res out to 120 and 144. Euro might be in that magic spot where we can get some snow from both waves. At 144 wave 1 is exiting and looks like enough space for wave 2 168 looks promising 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 Still light snow or frozen at 174..but not from the PSU vort 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 Unless it does a dramatic turn south, the PSU Vort is going to pass to our north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 Ok, done at 180...pull away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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