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March Medium/Long Range Thread: The Empire Strikes Back


stormtracker
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9 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I’ll admit I’m lost. I don’t see how we get a snowstorm with that h5 look.

We might have been so focused on the battle getting the GFS to cave we might have forgotten the war of getting a snow event.  Who knows 

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12z EPS median total snow amount for 360 hours (DCA): 0.5”. It’s an ensemble so you can round that down to a trace. The median was 1” for IAD. 

Both figures are worse than climo for early March (1991-2020). 

The middling snow numbers in the eps (with a handful of outliers) are basically what you’d expect in advance of 360 hours of seasonably COOL air (maybe 2-3F below average…but it’s March). 

hopefully we get lucky and one of the wackadoo scenarios happens…
 

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41 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said:

EPS still looks gold 18z

Exactly, the 18z EPS has a good cluster of low tracks that would work well.

Also, the run ends at 18z Saturday. Many of the good low positions would still be producing snow until Saturday night or early Sunday if the run went out a little further.

We are still in the game.

F61B6D4D-7EF2-4251-AF12-38D338440CBF.png

D7BE8557-4B15-4FCA-A8B1-0F18EC1F209D.png

2ECDE1F5-D811-455E-8DA7-6DD65B751E71.png

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7 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Odd yes, but I’ll take that h5 (maybe 50 miles south) and run with it. I don’t care what the 18z eps snow maps say. 

Well, I will take little if any shift...but I'm also 50 miles north of you so there's that. But that is a gorgeous inverted trof/norlun signature and ULL pass for someone. Snow maps are bogus.  

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6 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Exactly, the 18z EPS has a good cluster of low tracks that would work well.

Also, the run ends at 18z Saturday. Many of the good low positions would still be producing snow until Saturday night or early Sunday if the run went out a little further.

We are still in the game.

F61B6D4D-7EF2-4251-AF12-38D338440CBF.png

D7BE8557-4B15-4FCA-A8B1-0F18EC1F209D.png

2ECDE1F5-D811-455E-8DA7-6DD65B751E71.png

These look great and the best yet. Finally seem to have lows popping off/over OBX to ORF. Let’s see this through

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7 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Exactly, the 18z EPS has a good cluster of low tracks that would work well.

Also, the run ends at 18z Saturday. Many of the good low positions would still be producing snow until Saturday night or early Sunday if the run went out a little further.

We are still in the game.

F61B6D4D-7EF2-4251-AF12-38D338440CBF.png

D7BE8557-4B15-4FCA-A8B1-0F18EC1F209D.png

2ECDE1F5-D811-455E-8DA7-6DD65B751E71.png

Man, I want a Mid Atl-PHL forum combo special so badly so we can end this season with some promise for next year at least. We aren't far off from it happening tbh.

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11 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Exactly, the 18z EPS has a good cluster of low tracks that would work well.

Also, the run ends at 18z Saturday. Many of the good low positions would still be producing snow until Saturday night or early Sunday if the run went out a little further.

We are still in the game.

F61B6D4D-7EF2-4251-AF12-38D338440CBF.png

D7BE8557-4B15-4FCA-A8B1-0F18EC1F209D.png

2ECDE1F5-D811-455E-8DA7-6DD65B751E71.png

Who”s the we?  Aren’t you in Harrisburg PA. 

  • Haha 1
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