Solution Man Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: Ok let’s reset 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Congratulations NE with the coastal but I agree not final solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 But we don’t do Miller Bs well, not giving up but not optimistic, let’s see what GEFS says, the GFS is horrible outside 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 CMC....redevelopment idea. Primary destroys thermals still and hp/CAD almost nil: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 CMC just misses a phase towards the end of run with a followup. A few minor timing adjustments and boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Personally don't think the primary gets that far N. No other model is even close to that. GFS is playing catchup this time around. Can't say I've really ever seen a primary in Lake Superior and a redevelopment off OBX before, but whatever. Doesn't matter in the end, the thermals are a wreck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Inverted trof over gom at 240 on cmc with a big blob of fresh hp moving into midwest. Just needed the match to light the fuse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Such a disappointing 48 hours since the 1993 1958 events@psuhoffman it's never from 30 inches down to 5. It's always 30 inches to 0Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 8 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Congratulations NE with the coastal but I agree not final solution. Especially because now it’s a week from Monday. All kinds of shit can happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Especially because now it’s a week from Monday. All kinds of shit can happen The good old day 9-10 threat Yeah, this morphed into something completely different now in just under like 36 hours. Somethings gotta give during this pattern one would think. If it doesnt, @psuhoffman should just send his thesis off to the AMS and publish his book/journal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 It is just too early to be doing play by play…hopefully we have a specific threat by the end of the work week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Yeah, this morphed into something completely different now in just under like 36 hours. Somethings gotta give during this pattern one would think. If it doesnt, @psuhoffman should just send his thesis off to the AMS and publish his book/journal. I say he should just take his journal and toss it into the fires of Mount Doom! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 It is just too early to be doing play by play…hopefully we have a specific threat by the end of the work week.The gefs looks dramatically different from 18z gefs so far Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Just now, Ji said: The gefs looks dramatically different from 18z gefs so far Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Colder rain? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Colder rain?Denser fogSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 This one is ours. Only 12 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 This one is ours. Only 12 days away. Yes...our 44th cutter this season is 12 days awaySent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 WB GEFS v. GFS, slight differences 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 4pm Sat GEFS v 18Z now like EURO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Unlike randy lol...when I say dramatic differences...they are truly dramatic Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 I have to ask. Are we done here? Forget fantasies every 10 days. Last real storm was 2016. It used to be every 3 years. This is bad but is this permanent? I loved this winter hobby since 1991 but I fear it’s over. Sorry for being a Deb. Needed to vent. This winter sucked and this season is over. Better to face it, look into the sun angle, and walk it off. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 I have to ask. Are we done here? Forget fantasies every 10 days. Last real storm was 2016. It used to be every 3 years. This is bad but is this permanent? I loved this winter hobby since 1991 but I fear it’s over. Sorry for being a Deb. Needed to vent. This winter sucked and this season is over. Better to face it, look into the sun angle, and walk it off. .Sorry. I’m just frustrated. I miss snow. . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Unlike randy lol...when I say dramatic differences...they are truly dramatic Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk🫨Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 WB 0Z GEFS says we are still in the game and under 7 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Plenty of time for block shift south Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Just drastic changes from the GFS Op and ENS tonight. Let’s have DR No give us something good tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 WB 0Z GEFS says we are still in the game and under 7 days.With mjo phase 1 approaching and the nao...I'd favor a continued south shift more than a north shift. Hopefully it's not super suppressed by Thursday lolSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Let’s hope this overall look holds for 270 hours. 00z ukie barely brings any energy East, kind of looks like the icon, and results in this lol…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 4 minutes ago, Heisy said: Let’s hope this overall look holds for 270 hours. 00z ukie barely brings any energy East, kind of looks like the icon, and results in this lol… . Ukie is the first model to snow on us since yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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