Chris78 Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Just now, CAPE said: 12km NAM is useless, even when it is in its wheelhouse. It's going to be junked in the near future. It has a wheelhouse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: It has a wheelhouse? It's an urban myth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 12 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Nice animated view of the 12z EPS that was posted in the NE thread. If I lived in the NE I would post that too…Brooklyn dude deserves it putting up with our shenanigans. Mazel tov to him! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 40 minutes ago, BristowWx said: That looks like congrats for many …in Boston? 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 So yeah, enough with the NAM posts trying to glean anything useful on the lead up to a threat that's a week out lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Jma is 00z Euroish 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Jma is 00z Euroish 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 15 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Unfortunately that's definitely a skip over look for the DMV. Further north would be a big storm. Edit : need to get the low to redevelop off of Norfolk or even a little south if that. Agreed, ideally this will happen further south, but the redeveloping low is moving very slowly, so that could help a bit to maintain the precip shield as it strengthens & crawls northeast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 We are still in the game right now 7 days out. Who would want to be in the bullseye right now? Not me. We have 2 days left before curtains or joy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Just now, LeesburgWx said: We are still in the game right now 7 days out. Who would want to be in the bullseye right now? Not me. We have 2 days left before curtains or joy. 8 days. I figure 8 days 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 1 hour ago, Ji said: We always crap on models when they show snowstorms in a bad pattern …like phase 6 lol Why can’t we do the same when they show rainstorms in good patterns? Maybe there is no good pattern for us anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 2 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: Well, gotta see if El niño can get going. I'm not sure neutral is enough--we need a legit niño! (Although not a super one, lol) If we need a perfect El Nino to get snow in the mid Atlantic we're screwed lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: If we need a perfect El Nino to get snow in the mid Atlantic we're screwed lol. Outside of a Nino, we need a pattern that can deliver legit cold, and hope it isn't dry. We have just experienced the antithesis. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 12 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: We are still in the game right now 7 days out. Who would want to be in the bullseye right now? Not me. We have 2 days left before curtains or joy. Exactly. Some pros....-ao, west based nao blocking, decent 50/50 signal. Cons....lack of antecedent cold air, mid March always seemed tough to get Miller b's to trend southward. Still favors interior, elevations, and farther N. For now anyway. Somewhat encouraging signs today tho suggesting this isn't etched in stone yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 1 hour ago, Chris78 said: This time of year with blocking , if a low tracks south of us it will be cold enough to snow. Low 40s and sun turns into low 30s if there's a system taking a good track for us. I know just the way shits going 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 31 minutes ago, Chris78 said: It has a wheelhouse? It has an outhouse gets used several times per day 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Oh god…it’s that time again. Must find my giant mallet. Good luck to all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 31 minutes ago, BristowWx said: If I lived in the NE I would post that too…Brooklyn dude deserves it putting up with our shenanigans. Mazel tov to him! Thats probably too late for NYC as well in all honesty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 29 minutes ago, Ji said: Jma is 00z Euroish Well at least it has stayed consistent. Cant say that about the rest of the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Thats probably too late for NYC as well in all honesty. Really? Jesus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 @stormtrackeryou have the mic for this shitty run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Thats probably too late for NYC as well in all honesty. Especially with a Primary to Detroit. Going to kill the mids. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Its a Breeze Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 24 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: We are still in the game right now 7 days out. Who would want to be in the bullseye right now? Not me. We have 2 days left before curtains or joy. I do! Not sure where that came from, the not wanting to be in the bullseye at this point. Not being in the bullseye has been 100% correct so far. It's insane to wish the same. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 No substantial changes through 81 on the GFS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Get your happy / sad hour drinks ready. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 46 minutes ago, CAPE said: So yeah, enough with the NAM posts trying to glean anything useful on the lead up to a threat that's a week out lol. We are model junkies. That's what we do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Live vicariously. Watch snow happen in the places that are actually getting winter. I'm watching Truckee get pummeled again. 2 ft. a few days ago. Looks like another 2 feet into tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 Every so slightly less ridging out front...other than that, no remarkable changes through 93 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 Base of trof already deeper than Euro and same as 12z so far. It's just not budging yall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Base of trof already deeper than Euro and same as 12z so far. It's just not budging yall icon at 120 vs gfs at 120 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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