Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Have a feeling this op run won't make many friends unless they are patient people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 from 12z -> 18z, slightly faster S/W and most of all, a better phased and significantly stronger (513dm) 50/50 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 It got quiet all of a sudden. Is everyone drunk on weed already? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 3 hours ago, jayyy said: There is NO world where the euro, Canadian, gfs or any other model’s OP (at long range) shows a consistent solution I mean the gfs showed this weeks storm from 7+ days away as a cutter and never changed, here’s a run from the 25th 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: from 12z -> 18z, slightly faster S/W and most of all, a better phased and significantly stronger (513dm) 50/50 low. It’s not gonna matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 14 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Have a feeling this op run won't make many friends unless they are patient people. On earlier runs the NS energy rotating down underneath the ridge bridge was largely able to escape west- absorbed by the Pacific trough, while a healthy piece of vorticity ejected eastward. Recent runs have a more amped EPO ridge, forcing most of that energy southward, significantly amplifying the trough and inhibiting a wave from ejecting. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: Recent runs have a more amped EPO ridge So now the pacific is too good, man are we good at failing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Just now, stormtracker said: You wanna really cry click previous run 4 times…Jesus 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 This is a really frustrating hobby at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Without the block it would be congrats Billings lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: This is a really frustrating hobby at times. I mean now it’s cutting to Denver Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 Hard to believe it could have gotten worse than 12z. It's worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 Ridging out front is unreal vs 12z. Unbelievable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: So now the pacific is too good, man are we good at failing. It's really not good at that point. There are variations in character/orientation with all these indices, and they don't exist in isolation. The NS is very chaotic in this pattern- so many wave interactions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Amazing, it's like at 12z all guidance just said ok, let's stop fucking with them and just put the dagger in their hearts right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Look at how wet the STJ is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Just now, stormtracker said: Ridging out front is unreal vs 12z. Unbelievable But it's not a real ridge, dont forget 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Keep drinking! Keep toking!! Keep the faith!!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Worst hobby ever 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Maybe this will morph into something entirely new 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 Just now, Solution Man said: Worst hobby ever 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 the model runs are never consistent until they start showing disasters. We couldnt even get this threat down to 8 days 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: But it's not a real ridge, dont forget this is a bit disingenuous. the evolution was completely different compared to when you first made that remark 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: But it's not a real ridge, dont forget we were analyzing 12z not 18z. this is an actual linkage with the -NAO this run, 12z had like +50 ridge anomalies lmao, pls don't twist my words Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 minute ago, Grothar of Herndon said: Keep drinking! Keep toking!! Keep the faith!!! Need LSD at this point so at least the maps can maybe morph into some hallucinatory wintry event that really isn't there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Amazing, it's like at 12z all guidance just said ok, let's stop fucking with them and just put the dagger in their hearts right now. We will always have the old 0z runs dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 Is 558dm into Eastern Canada bad? Asking for a friend 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Ens and ops been doing this all winter. Great looks change completely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 throw in the towel at 8 days if you want, but don’t come back if things become more favorable. there are going to be many changes 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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