stormtracker Posted March 2, 2023 Author Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 4:24 PM, brooklynwx99 said: CMC looks similar so far anyway Expand I hate the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 OP runs ftw 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2023 Author Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 4:31 PM, Ji said: OP runs ftw Expand What a bust. Heheheheheheh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 Ji stop using the old name Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 4:32 PM, stormtracker said: What a bust. Heheheheheheh Expand Temps on the GFS are a tad bit nippy too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 4:33 PM, H2O said: Ji stop using the old name Expand Big change in h5...obviously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2023 Author Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 4:34 PM, mdhokie said: Temps on the GFS are a tad bit nippy too! Expand We are 5th graders. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 3:48 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Let’s try a new tactic: No snow maps. None Expand Maps with no snow are what we specialize in around here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 4:36 PM, stormtracker said: We are 5th graders. Expand Still hoping for that snow day! Although with remote work its not as cool as it once was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 4:37 PM, clskinsfan said: Maps with no snow are what we specialize in around here. Expand The jokes write themselves this winter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 4:32 PM, stormtracker said: What a bust. Heheheheheheh Expand On 3/2/2023 at 4:36 PM, stormtracker said: We are 5th graders. Expand Heh...you said "bust!" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 3:41 PM, mattie g said: Can I request that Weather Will stop referring to models as "WB Euro" or "WB GFS" or whatever, especially when posting images of H5? They're just the Euro or GFS or CMC or any other model depiction. Except maybe for the algorithms used for snowfall, It's not as if one site shows something different than another. Pedantic, I know. Expand Lawyer in me; giving them credit for their maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 I think the Gfs is closer than it’s been. Suppresses a wave around the 9th. It has more confluence in from of the wave day 11-12. It’s still not good but it’s better than it’s been imo. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 4:31 PM, Ji said: OP runs ftw Expand This is why models should only go out 5 days to the public. We are not ready for 5+ day models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 4:33 PM, H2O said: Ji stop using the old name Expand never Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 At least it looks like the SER is going to take a beating for once this winter. GFS keeping lower heights off the east coast for an extended period in the longer range. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 high amplitude blocking patterns like this are absolute hell for modeling. I would just focus on the ensembles and really try not to place too much emphasis on OP runs. there are going to be so many wildly different solutions either way, I find it hard to believe that an impactful storm won't pop from this at some point through the 15th, even if most OP runs don't see it now. this is a powder keg setup 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 GFS wont even give us digital blue when the storm does come in the middle of an epic pattern. Insulting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 @psuhoffman there does seem like there is potential for a long duration/stalled event like the 58 storm you always love to mention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 4:44 PM, Ji said: never Expand Then those posts will disappear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 GEFS looks like it should eject more of the vort this run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 4:56 PM, Ji said: @psuhoffman there does seem like there is potential for a long duration/stalled event like the 58 storm you always love to mention Expand its the sit and spin effect...like the old toy from yesteryear...might not see digie blue but it is certainly interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 5:00 PM, H2O said: Then those posts will disappear Expand lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 4:56 PM, Ji said: @psuhoffman there does seem like there is potential for a long duration/stalled event like the 58 storm you always love to mention Expand I know some hate late snow but that storm dropped ~50” in places around here from incredibly high QPF. Would be like those Sierra storms almost. I don’t care what time of year it is that would be cool. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 5:08 PM, psuhoffman said: I know some hate late snow but that storm dropped ~50” in places around here from incredibly high QPF. Would be like those Sierra storms almost. I don’t care what time of year it is that would be cool. Expand LOL yeah, who in the world would turn something like that down? It would stink it would disappear so fast, but who cares when you get to experience a mid-March bomb? That would be almost unprecedented here. I thought the GFS was a step in the right direction. At least it showed the kind of storm that I would think we would get out of this pattern, even if it wasn't exactly what we wanted. It's like 260 hours away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 On 3/2/2023 at 4:40 PM, Weather Will said: Lawyer in me; giving them credit for their maps. Expand Fuck em 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 @Ji ironically maybe the 2 most dynamic snow events ever up here happened in very late March or early April. Palm Sunday 1942 dropped close to 40” in spots up here from a norlun trough that stalled and produced 12 hours of training thunder snow among the boundary. March 58 a miller b from a primary way to our NW got stuck under a block and bombed out sending heavy bands of precip west into just cold enough air to produce an area of 30-50” in the higher terrain NW of Balt to Philly. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 GEPS looks absolutely mint 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 looks like it's caving, even pops a +PNA now 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 In the Baltimore area there have been 102 snows storms with one-day totals exceeding 6 inches. Of those, 21 occurred in March or April. Of the 21, 12 occurred during the first 10 days of March, 6 during the next 10 days, and 3 occurred on the 21st or later. In the DC area there have been 79 snow storms with one-day totals exceeding 6 inches. Of those 10 occurred in March. Of those 10, 4 occurred during the first 10 days, 3 during the next 10 days, and 3 on the 21st or later. The Palm Sunday storm topped the chart at both locations (22 and 11.5 inches, respectively). Our window is short. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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