frd Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Storm 1 storm 2 total Looks like my only hope is storm 3. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 9 hours ago, snownut said: My 8th full year in the west and the cascades to my west have always had snow. (glaciers are common here in the 3 sisters bowls 25 miles to my west) So many of the higher western mountains have snow year round. Washington State stays pretty solid snow covered in many areas. The snow cover diminishes north to south with CA mountains snow melting out "pretty" fast. Deep snow packs are common in June. Several mountain roads don't get plowed open until late May and usually are closed again in early November. I skied here July 3rd in 2017 at Mt Bachelor with 3-5 feet still above 8,500 feet Only in August & September are my views mostly rocky looking. If you love snow, moderately cold winters its hard to match the higher mountains in the west. Lots of "snowbirds" here that go to AZ or Palm Spring areas during the long winters. The locals joke that we have 9 months of winter and 3 months of summer. Reality it depends on location. You can easily ski in the morning, golf, bike or even lounge by the pool on a sunny May day with temps in the 70's. And that can happen 15 miles apart! the mountains that normally dont have snow all year round is what im saying 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 8 minutes ago, yoda said: The WB map at 144 shoes blue over us... so I dunno it's 6 h precip, so if it snowed at hour 138 and it snowed at hour 141 it'll show snow at hr 144 even if it's rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 7 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: They always do im talking about the ones who normally dont have snow all year round also lower elevations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Storm 1 storm 2 total I hope we are all not disappointed by the 24th, cautiously optimistic for at least a covering of snow. With a little luck we could get a 6 plus storm out of this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 The 00z euro has been super snow happy this winterGood sign that 12z actually gave us more than 00z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 GFS trends toward the ECM at 135 hrs.. Not a cave but a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 10 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I hope we are all not disappointed by the 24th, cautiously optimistic for at least a covering of snow. With a little luck we could get a 6 plus storm out of this pattern. keep your expectations low and you can't be disappointed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 how do people upload multiple images off of WB/TT with a 19 KB file size limit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Only 10 days away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Only 10 days away.Looks like a repeat. 850 temps marginal and no high. I guess 50 low is there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 WB 12Z globals next 5 days. Nothing to get excited about yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ji said: Looks like a repeat. 850 temps marginal and no high. I guess 50 low is there cold doesn't exist anymore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z globals next 5 days. Nothing to get excited about yet. We are tracking 2 legit threats that are about 6 and 10 days away and you post a 5 day snowfall map. Thanks. 2 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 5 minutes ago, Ji said: Looks like a repeat. 850 temps marginal and no high. I guess 50 low is there There is more cold than we have had with all the other garbage threats where we were praying for an absolutely perfect track...then we got one and it still was just rain lol. We will need a dynamic system and a good track obviously given the time of year. But...this euro run was showing that. Look at the flow at day 10. That upper low is going to track right across to our south. That was the solution we need. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 13 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said: how do people upload multiple images off of WB/TT with a 19 KB file size limit? you need to manually delete some of your older attachments to make space 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: We are tracking 2 legit threats that are about 6 and 10 days away and you post a 5 day snowfall map. Thanks. Just trying to keep it real….I know, lot of head fakes this year! Actually busy day at work and it was a little hard to follow the thread. Should say Wave one maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JVscotch Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: There is more cold than we have had with all the other garbage threats where we were praying for an absolutely perfect track...then we got one and it still was just rain lol. We will need a dynamic system and a good track obviously given the time of year. But...this euro run was showing that. Look at the flow at day 10. That upper low is going to track right across to our south. That was the solution we need. Exactly. You can see the flow over the northeast is still confluent and snow is actually breaking out to our southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Last 5 runs of the EPS for storm #1 - current output would be the best storm of the season for most. Was trending downhill til this last run so we'll have to see if there is something real. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 5 minutes ago, JVscotch said: Exactly. You can see the flow over the northeast is still confluent and snow is actually breaking out to our southwest. I think that run was going to obliterate us had it continued another 24 hours. Oh well...doesn't matter its going to shift around a lot in 10 days...but I still love that threat. I've loved that time period based on a basic pattern evolution educated guess when it was still a month away...and now that its 10 days and coming into focus a bit...I still like it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 EPS is really interesting for early next week. vigorous S/W diving through the Lakes, SS vort out in front and the mean is sniffing out a phase. PNA ridge is also ideal. caution is advised due to the lack of true arctic cold, but this is dynamic as all hell 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: EPS is really interesting for early next week. vigorous S/W diving through the Lakes, SS vort out in front and the mean is sniffing out a phase. PNA ridge is also ideal. caution is advised due to the lack of true arctic cold, but this is dynamic as all hell individual members have it but largely too warm but for our favored areas - better shot for you prob - though still nice and interesting in the medium range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: EPS is really interesting for early next week. vigorous S/W diving through the Lakes, SS vort out in front and the mean is sniffing out a phase. PNA ridge is also ideal. caution is advised due to the lack of true arctic cold, but this is dynamic as all hell how do we shift that ridge west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: individual members have it but largely too warm but for our favored areas - better shot for you prob - though still nice and interesting in the medium range hopefully it trends colder just like it did for the weekend event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 FWIW - if I understand percentiles correctly (which I may not) the EPS says a good chunk of people should at least see snow Saturday-Sunday, which is a horrifically low bar but we don't have much. This is the 10th percentile map, so a bottom 10% situation when all the ens are considered. If people want I'd share other maps but want to avoid too much clutter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 19 minutes ago, mappy said: you need to manually delete some of your older attachments to make space thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Have we entered mjo phase 8 yet? I'm curious how models will adjust, if any, once we're well into 8 at high amplitude. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 EPS mean at the end of the run is impressive considered the time of year 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 9 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Have we entered mjo phase 8 yet? I'm curious how models will adjust, if any, once we're well into 8 at high amplitude. high amplitude is an understatement. the Nina is dying 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 19 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: EPS is really interesting for early next week. vigorous S/W diving through the Lakes, SS vort out in front and the mean is sniffing out a phase. PNA ridge is also ideal. caution is advised due to the lack of true arctic cold, but this is dynamic as all hell This is advertised across the board. Active stj and diving njs. Timing differences keep models from keying on which date. Growing fairly confident something big pops next week that impacts both of our subforums in a positive way. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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