Heisy Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Still no cave with pac progression on GFS. Here it is vs euro at day 5…like wow what a difference…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 if the gfs dosent cave tonight with new data--it probably will end up being right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ji said: icon at 120 vs gfs at 120 These models suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ji said: icon at 120 vs gfs at 120 Maybe go check the CRAS next. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 This run ain't it. See yinz at 0z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 Actually I won't. I'm partying tonight. Maybe that's the luck we need. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 if the gfs dosent cave tonight with new data--it probably will end up being rightYea something has to give soon…. They’re still not even in the same ballpark. A euro/cmc type evolution at least gives NW a chance depending on strength of lead wave, gfs evolution is lights out.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 6 minutes ago, Ji said: if the gfs dosent cave tonight with new data--it probably will end up being right I thought it took 24 hours to digest and take a shit or something like that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 Well this is different. At H5, it has a northern stream S/W diving into the picture just north of the Dakotas, directly in line with our H5 closed off vort centered over NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 lol, its about to phase in into our S/w. What a cluster 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Just now, stormtracker said: Well this is different. At H5, it has a northern stream S/W diving into the picture just north of the Dakotas, directly in line with our H5 closed off vort centered over NE Ffs this better not disrupt our block and potential window for further events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 on the bright side this could dig sm that we win after bc the secondary low develops rlly far S Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 LOL, they phase. Complete shitshow. Warm surge up to Vermont 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 SFC low centered over Northern WI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 GFS is so vastly different from other models. Either it's going to score a serious coup or it's smoking crack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Just now, stormtracker said: SFC low centered over Northern WI 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Just now, stormtracker said: GFS is so vastly different from other models. Either it's going to score a serious coup or it's smoking crack It’s taking so long we might just see a whole new solution man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: It’s taking so long we might just see a whole new solution man You rang? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Basically trending to a nothing burger on GFS. Not even rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Just now, Solution Man said: You rang? You saw what I did there. Cheers to you sir 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 To borrow a Cosgrove-ism, the gyre is now stuck, just spinning centered over MN..was a vertical egg, now it's a horizontal one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Randy will appreciate this…. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 1 minute ago, Heisy said: Randy will appreciate this… . What a run. Just awful in every way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Basically trending to a nothing burger on GFS. Not even rain Almost like a early summer frontal passage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Almost like a early summer frontal passage Yep. Winter is behind it however. I guess. Who knows. ABS pattern for us…anything but snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 To borrow a Cosgrove-ism, the gyre is now stuck, just spinning centered over MN..was a vertical egg, now it's a horizontal oneHave to imagine once gfs has enough new data ingested we’ll see that evolution shifttowards the rest of guidance. Not saying it will result in a snowstorm as we saw with cmc/euro, but at least more of a shot than a cold front lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Helluva wave break. We would at least be chilly for mid month. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 1 hour ago, Chris78 said: If we need a perfect El Nino to get snow in the mid Atlantic we're screwed lol. We don't really know...I mean the last two la ninas were median snow which is what they've kinda always been minus 1995-96 and 99-2000. This year seems like an anomaly for a nina...So I'd like to think we can at least hit median in ninas. Now neutrals...the last couple were so awful I'm not sure they work anymore, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 GEFS making a big trend towards OP, GEFS can change on a dime with new data, but should be interesting which model suite wins the battle. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 We don't really know...I mean the last two la ninas were median snow which is what they've kinda always been minus 1995-96 and 99-2000. This year seems like an anomaly for a nina...So I'd like to think we can at least hit median in ninas. Now neutrals...the last couple were so awful I'm not sure they work anymore, lolNeed to figure out what’s causing shortwaves to continually just dump into the southwest. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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