Scraff Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 minute ago, mattie g said: Just gonna suggest that folks stop being dix. Right!? Just relax already. You want snow—google it and put on a VR headset. How the hell do you think @Jebman can live in TX!? 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 minute ago, Scraff said: Right!? Just relax already. You want snow—google it and put on a VR headset. How the hell do you think @Jebman can live in TX!? For any gamers here, play RDR2 and hit the northern highlands. Incredibly beautiful. Spent more hours up there hunting and just exploring than I care to admit. I mean what's the difference, right? Digital blue = digital blue. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 I come back after a 3 week break to find people throwing in the towel and being upset over an op run at *checks notes* 8 days out? Good lord 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 15 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: I come back after a 3 week break to find people throwing in the towel and being upset over an op run at *checks notes* 8 days out? Good lord Where u been? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Hope y’all got in on that cold rain that you continue to chase. Today def sucked but least the temp will be warmer tomorrow when I wake up then will be when I go to bed tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 5 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Where u been? Deer whispering 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 28 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: I come back after a 3 week break to find people throwing in the towel and being upset over an op run at *checks notes* 8 days out? Good lord It’s been a long winter…a 3 week break would be real nice..I don’t have the stones for that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 17 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: Deer whispering F the damn deer..we are at critical mass 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: call me a weenie all you want… I’m not going to throw in the towel 8 days out when a major ENS has that solution. no fucking way THE LOVE I HAVE FOR BROOKLYN IS PURE! Bring us a bagel and a schmear! No more fucking avocados or @stormtrackereggs damn it. Puts down beer and deletes AmericanWX bookmark. I love you all. See you on the flippity flop… 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GEFS looks NOTHING like the OP. In a simplistic manner can someone explain what would cause the OP and ENS to be so different please? I mean it’s not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 4 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: In a simplistic manner can someone explain what would cause the OP and ENS to be so different please? I mean it’s not even close. The op is like one high resolution member of the ensemble at day 8. And the mean of all the members outperforms any one member at these leads. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 2 hours ago, Cobalt said: To help put things into perspective The GEFS is more consolidated than the EPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 I'll do the pbp, screw it. Especially since @brooklynwx99 and @Heisy encouraged it. Don't like it, don't read it. Fuck the haters. I like doing it. I suck at it, but whatever...it's fun. See yinz at 0z 24 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Unfortunately, WB 18Z EPS looks more like the GFS than the GEFS at Day 6. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'll do the pbp, screw it. Especially since @brooklynwx99 and @Heisy encouraged it. Don't like it, don't read it. Fuck the haters. I like doing it. I suck at it, but whatever...it's fun. See yinz at 0z ‘Merica…fuck yeah!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 17 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'll do the pbp, screw it. Especially since @brooklynwx99 and @Heisy encouraged it. Don't like it, don't read it. Fuck the haters. I like doing it. I suck at it, but whatever...it's fun. See yinz at 0z This is a family channel sir. Language. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 1 minute ago, snowfan said: This is a family channel sir. Language. I'm fucking sorry. My apologies. 1 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 I don't have my hopes up for this upcoming event. Sure we have great blocking but the PAC and the SE ridge are not cooperating. They haven't all winter. I admit I can't completely rule it out but I don't it's coming back. It was only ever on the CMC and EPS control anyway. Both the GEFS and the EPS show a period of below normal heights with no SE ridge the 14th- the 20th., my money is on the day after ST Patty's day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 28 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'll do the pbp, screw it. Especially since @brooklynwx99 and @Heisy encouraged it. Don't like it, don't read it. Fuck the haters. I like doing it. I suck at it, but whatever...it's fun. See yinz at 0z Youse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 While we wait for 0Z, the glass is at least half full folks… best 10 day potential period of the winter coming up…10 Day 18Z WB GEFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: While we wait for 0Z, the glass is at least half full folks… best 10 day potential period of the winter coming up…10 Day 18Z WB GEFS. What does the 18z pivotal and Tropical GEFS show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 4 hours ago, CAPE said: Everything is harder with an active NS, and we still are in a Nina. We really fucking need a Mod Nino with sustained NA blocking next winter. I feel ya but in the long run we’re in deep trouble if we can only snow in a -NAO Mod Nino. Those happen once a decade. 3 hours ago, Ji said: DT said the storm today that euro had 5 times in a row giving us double digit snow was 100% BS because of MJO phase 7...hopefully he will say the same things about these solutions that involve blocking and MJO high amplitude Phase 8 They updated the correlations for the Indo Pac warm pool. The only good MJO phase is now 9. 3 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: call me a weenie all you want… I’m not going to throw in the towel 8 days out when a major ENS has that solution. no fucking way It’s gonna be thunderdome in here until it snows. Just have to put on your big boy pants and roll with it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 8 hours ago, psuhoffman said: You all are going to lose your minds if you get too invested in each solution every 12 hours right now. Just read the last 6 pages. Thought maybe this was worth a bump. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Not sure I saw it posted but 18z eps trended worst. More ridging and stronger energy coming into play…control worst than 12z… hard to put much stock into the GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Unfortunately, WB 18Z EPS looks more like the GFS than the GEFS at Day 6. Never mind just saw this , we need 00z data to pick up some big changes… still hope for mid month thouh not losing faith regardless. This whole process reminds me a lot of December . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 1 hour ago, WesternFringe said: The op is like one high resolution member of the ensemble at day 8. And the mean of all the members outperforms any one member at these leads. Thank you- So it’s pretty absurd in this case how much if an outlier it is- no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 I'll do the pbp, screw it. Especially since [mention=9996]brooklynwx99[/mention] and [mention=8091]Heisy[/mention] encouraged it. Don't like it, don't read it. Fuck the haters. I like doing it. I suck at it, but whatever...it's fun. See yinz at 0zOne day, maybe not this year, but sometime in the future we’ll get one of those epic runs with an event around day 6-7 that actually trends the right way. The pain is worth the glory. It snowed at my house today for like 15 minutes, just those few flakes made me want a snowstorm so much more. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Thank you- So it’s pretty absurd in this case how much if an outlier it is- no?The problem I see here is the rest of the data we have is going the same direction. We didn’t have one model run today outside maybe the JMA that gave us snow with a decent H5 SLP track. Even the 18z GEFS which we seem to be putting all our money on still favors interior based on the snow mean. When the OP GFS came in way amped last week with this current system we all thought it was out to lunch too… . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Just read a shit load of posts / poo-poo’ing about the GEFS and EPS, but what did the GEPS have to say today? I’ve been at work. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 24 minutes ago, Weather Will said: While we wait for 0Z, the glass is at least half full folks… best 10 day potential period of the winter coming up…10 Day 18Z WB GEFS. P16 and call it a winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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