Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

The Ides of March end of Winter 2023


 Share

Recommended Posts

34 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

EC has the Miller B spawned coastal next week as well.  It is 12-18 hours earlier and warmer on this run.  Heavy Snow limited to NE PA instead of MU where only 1/2" falls vs 3-5" on GFS.  Definitely a watcher for the further Northeast you go.    970 bomb in NE.   Cantore ready to roll. 

 

Sure seems like there will be a "big blow" somewhere in the NE next week - obviously odds strongly favor interior sections of NE for winter weather, but an impressive storm is potentially in the cards for a larger area of the northeast. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

@Bubbler86 - just received a new notification from the town of Mammoth Lakes:

 

Wednesday, March 22nd @ 11 AM – Good morning, excessive snow load has caused a building collapse/explosion in the Canyon Lodge area. 5 people have been rescued at the Val D’ Isere condos. FYI: All roads into the Canyon area are closed now.

  • Sad 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

That is about 2/10s of a mile from where we will be staying. 

 

Computer models are trending very unfavorably out there once again - it's becoming more and more possible that Mammoth Lakes is about 6 days away from a storm that could deliver 3 to 5 FEET of additional snowfall. The town is currently 4" away from the all time record. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Just saw the 12z GFS evolution for next week - in a 6 hour period next Tuesday evening, low pressure moves from Wheeling WV to 150 east of OCMD to right over Havre de Grace MD. In that order as well.

 

Interesting. 

The Blizz snow train is getting ready to make a late March run! 

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

28 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Just saw the 12z GFS evolution for next week - in a 6 hour period next Tuesday evening, low pressure moves from Wheeling WV to 150 east of OCMD to right over Havre de Grace MD. In that order as well.

 

Interesting. 

I cannot see the individual members, but the EPS snow depth mean is surprisingly high for 6 days from now (PA state.)

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

 

I'll have to parse the MA thread to see if Will the Weather guy will resurrect his snow probability maps!

LOL, what I am surprised about is that GEFS is a blank out for the LSV except .1 over MU up to MDT.  That means to me that the OP is on its own.   EPS has snow down to Richmond. 

Parse away my friend. 

 

 

 

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

So how wet has it been in Arizona?

Year to date, the PWS a couple blocks from my house has received 4.06" of precipitation. Average annual precip is 7.75", so we've already passed the halfway point to our annual average...in less than three months. 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

0z GFS just ripped about the whole subforum with 10”+ from that 3/29 thing.

It’s definitely an interesting looking period next week with the NAO, EPO, and WPO all nosing back negative favoring below average temps most of next week and this weekend system ushering in the colder regime kind of setting the deck for that following system to possibly track favorably. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, Voyager said:

So how wet has it been in Arizona?

Year to date, the PWS a couple blocks from my house has received 4.06" of precipitation. Average annual precip is 7.75", so we've already passed the halfway point to our annual average...in less than three months. 

There was even a tornado that touched down and did damage in the Los Angeles suburb of Monebello late Wednesday morning, which LA NWS recently confirmed was an EF-1. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, MAG5035 said:

0z GFS just ripped about the whole subforum with 10”+ from that 3/29 thing.

It’s definitely an interesting looking period next week with the NAO, EPO, and WPO all nosing back negative favoring below average temps most of next week and this weekend system ushering in the colder regime kind of setting the deck for that following system to possibly track favorably. 

0z GFS was just perfect for CTP for the chance next week.

We are way overdue for something to go right for us…

6F75D2CB-0EF6-4D28-8CB5-5CE58585C6D8.png

F50381BB-4D9E-4A1F-B37C-41BCB860F65A.png

B5A49A5A-DC5C-4FD1-8230-5ACD2BAFCE67.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Atomixwx said:

We had a pretty gnarly thunderstorm roll through here about an hour ago. Snow can eff off.

Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk
 

1 flash of lightning and 1 loud clap of thunder was enough to light up my room and sit me straight up, just before my 5am alarm went off. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, MAG5035 said:

0z GFS just ripped about the whole subforum with 10”+ from that 3/29 thing.

It’s definitely an interesting looking period next week with the NAO, EPO, and WPO all nosing back negative favoring below average temps most of next week and this weekend system ushering in the colder regime kind of setting the deck for that following system to possibly track favorably. 

6Z was much more progressive.  The large differences between the CMC/GFS vs. the Euro are pretty surprising at day 4 right now.   Euro has a low riding the M/D Line the same time the GFS is well into the Atlantic. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...