Bubbler86 Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 1 minute ago, paweather said: Yeah the Poconos are where I should be! The 3K snow map is crazy. A good ole namming up there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 3K 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 5 minutes ago, paweather said: 3K Kuch up close. Pretty extreme and not a forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Kuch up close. Pretty extreme and not a forecast. Pretty insane the cutoff from 10" to '2" snow line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 18Z GFS spins up a monster off shore for ITT2. Some comments on the MA suggesting it "just missed". It may be a little worse than just missed IMO but you move the whole setup west a bit and we have a super storm. Mid 960's pressure for the fishes here. The GFS really does a similar thing all 3 ITT's. Make a run for the lakes then Miller B past us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 These next 2 weeks could be a lot of fun with multiple Winter storm chances. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 8 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: These next 2 weeks could be a lot of fun with multiple Winter storm chances. Yep and also could be heartbreak hotel. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 I’m ready to push some snow tonight!Great sub forum here.Can’t say the same for my local sub forum. Miserable . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 4 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: I’m ready to push some snow tonight! Great sub forum here. Can’t say the same for my local sub forum. Miserable . We have been tooting about your snow since last week...PA is PA. LOL. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 The one thing a super bomb offshore risks is changing up the Vodka Cold/best since 1960 JB thoughts. Pulling ocean air from Georges Bank to the Baltimore Canyon is not exactly going to freeze us out. The lack of a system cutting to our northwest or north limits the chances for drainage into the country. Scanning through the 2M temp maps from 18Z yesterday vs. 18Z today shows a drastic difference. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: We have been tooting about your snow since last week...PA is PA. LOL. Hey hey don’t talk about me like that….LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The one thing a super bomb offshore risks is changing up the Vodka Cold/best since 1960 JB thoughts. Pulling ocean air from Georges Bank to the Baltimore Canyon is not exactly going to freeze us out. The lack of a system cutting to our northwest or north limits the chances for drainage into the country. Scanning through the 2M temp maps from 18Z yesterday vs. 18Z today shows a drastic difference. JB’s VODKA cold is cancelled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 9 minutes ago, paweather said: JB’s VODKA cold is cancelled. I am not suggesting it is cancelled just doing a model post mortem. I think it is better if we get a real cutter vs. 3 almost ITT's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I am not suggesting it is cancelled just doing a model post mortem. I think it is better if we get a real cutter vs. 3 almost ITT's. Yeah just kidding it is going to be an interesting couple of weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Channel 16 at 7:00 weather guy said there will be 10-15 mile corridor that should see 4-6 inches and it will include both Northern and Southern Lycoming County. Some places will get warnings. Williamsport is in Southern Lycoming County. He had us down for 4 inches on his map. Will we actually get it? No bets here. Will I be sorry tomorrow that I still didn't spray my boots after six weeks? I will have to let you know. 7:20 Update. I went to weather.gov and clicked into pink warning area to my north. This is for Renovo, possible more than Channel 16 said: Tonight Rain and snow before 3am, then a chance of snow between 3am and 5am. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 27. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 10 minutes ago, CoralRed said: Channel 16 at 7:00 weather guy said there will be 10-15 mile corridor that should see 4-6 inches and it will include both Northern and Southern Lycoming County. Some places will get warnings. Williamsport is in Southern Lycoming County. He had us down for 4 inches on his map. Will we actually get it? No bets here. Will I be sorry tomorrow that I still didn't spray my boots after six weeks? I will have to let you know. Potentially exciting night for you guys. Even if you do not get 4", a 2-4" snow would be great this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Potentially exciting night for you guys. Even if you do not get 4", a 2-4" snow would be great this season. I updated my post. NWS calling for Renovo to get 5-9. What a surprise if they and others get close to double digits. Given the season, you are right. This is all unexpected excitement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 CTP with a great sense of humor tonight. Check out the third image in their latest Facebook post...lol https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0MDhdHwQxEuBcNsoVF7mhtyLgATMgkJjHejGtPPSWdbjsYya6FXBYLfo3yhxnBgRJl&id=100064725904699 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Will we get this in North Central PA? We have all night to find out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 1 hour ago, CoralRed said: Will we get this in North Central PA? We have all night to find out. Certainly looking pretty good for verified warning totals pretty much where they have them placed looking at current radar trends with that heavy band. The few 511 cams and RWIS up on that US 6 corridor are already getting pounded by heavy snow. I’ll bet PA 144 and 44 between Renovo and Coudersport is quite an adventure right now. US 219/US 6 US 6 east of Coudersport 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 18Z Euro ensembles look nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 18z EPS looks good for the Friday night into Saturday first wave snow potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 2 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: 18Z Euro ensembles look nice 18z EPS Control run looks good too for the first wave potential Friday night into Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Light sleet currently in Bethlehem, PA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 9:05p: Realized all was quiet -- no more raindrops hitting porch -- so looked out and yes, lightly snowing now. Last outbound bus went by quickly like they wanted to do their run and get home ASAP, which is probably true. 34 now and will be 32 all night. Wunderground's hourly says 4 inches by 2:00, nothing after that. Not many up here in North Central PA. Maybe one of the other people will chime in too. I hope so. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 11 minutes ago, CoralRed said: 9:05p: Realized all was quiet -- no more raindrops hitting porch -- so looked out and yes, lightly snowing now. Last outbound bus went by quickly like they wanted to do their run and get home ASAP, which is probably true. 34 now and will be 32 all night. Wunderground's hourly says 4 inches by 2:00, nothing after that. Not many up here in North Central PA. Maybe one of the other people will chime in too. I hope so. I figured @pawatch would have some good obs tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old Bones Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Light flurries atm in Rockton. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 I am certainly guilty of watching models when storms are knocking,But taking a look at the latest NAM really crushes the Lehigh Valleys dreams of more then a dusting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 11 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: I am certainly guilty of watching models when storms are knocking, But taking a look at the latest NAM really crushes the Lehigh Valleys dreams of more then a dusting.. . On my phone but though hrrr and 3k showed at least an inch. Is it north of you on the maps? That heavy band is really skinny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 9:55p Map update. I see differences west and east in PA, plus NY state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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