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The Ides of March end of Winter 2023


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Happy 1st day of spring to those who celebrate! We will reach a near normal high today of near 50 degrees before we warm almost 10 degrees tomorrow to near 60. The warmest day of the week looks to be on Thursday with highs in the middle 60's but also a chance of some showers.. We could use some rain as we have not seen any measurable rain since the 11th.
Records for today: High 83 degrees (1945) / Low 9 degrees (1965) / Precipitation 1.28" (1958) / Snow 3.5" (1965)
image.png.66eec6b17015cdd36bd591ac63b16ad5.png
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  On 3/20/2023 at 11:54 AM, ChescoWx said:

It certainly evens out in the end. As here in Chester County we have seen 4 of the least snowy in the last 20 years and 6 of the snowiest seasons since 2000. In fact just 2 years ago a top 20 snow season...

 

 

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2 1/3 decades (out of 13 1/2 decades recorded) account for 25% of the anomalous snow years....25% in a 15% time slot.   

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  On 3/20/2023 at 12:07 PM, Bubbler86 said:

2 1/3 decades (out of 13 1/2 decades recorded) account for 25% of the anomalous snow years....25% in a 15% time slot.   

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Very cyclical snow totals by decade - low points were reached during the 1930's - 1950's. Average snowfall for the 1910's vs. 2010's almost identical

image.thumb.png.3614374b1fb09b3c9f43fcba27d7cf9b.png

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  On 3/20/2023 at 12:51 PM, CarlislePaWx said:

21.6 degrees for my low this morning, just beating out yesterday's 22.3.  I wonder if we won't see low 20's again until next fall?

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I suspect colder areas see 20's tonight.  GFS has a lot of them in the Long Range but you know how that is...believe it when it gets here. 

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  On 3/20/2023 at 12:58 PM, ChescoWx said:

Very cyclical snow totals by decade - low points were reached during the 1930's - 1950's. Average snowfall for the 1910's vs. 2010's almost identical

 

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It would be interesting to see if any other 20-25 year period holds 10 of the records.   Not going to parse that chart right now in lieu of work.  LOL.  If you include the 90's in there you have 14 of the 40 in only 33 years.   Not too far from a record every other year. 

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  On 3/20/2023 at 4:04 PM, Itstrainingtime said:

 

It's getting dry, which is why I was celebrating rainfall over the past few weeks (okay, months) while most were simply disappointed that it wasn't snowing. Snow or not, we need the moisture. 

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Sterling has some info for their area.  MDT is closer to 3" BN 

This rainfall would come
welcomed for most as the region sits 3-4 inches below the normal
YTD precip. Does appear rain is the most likely solution for
the area at this time given any cold air is located well to the
north.

 

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  On 3/20/2023 at 6:57 PM, Bubbler86 said:

These graphics have me feeling blue because of red/orange.  Interesting how the world is smoothed out an PA does some reddish times in the 30's-50's. 

image.png.eb7100560ec363f6c6ddd75caf09f322.png

image.png.266183f398a66305324697d606df04c0.png

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I saw this post and thought back to when I was a kid in the 1970s when our TV screen looked something like this at midnight. LOL

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  On 3/20/2023 at 11:54 AM, ChescoWx said:

It certainly evens out in the end. As here in Chester County we have seen 4 of the least snowy in the last 20 years and 6 of the snowiest seasons since 2000. In fact just 2 years ago a top 20 snow season...

 

image.png.70624bab718b3f3854132b1a7d01e737.png

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I was surprised to not see 2011-12 on your least snow total top 20 list. In Harrisburg, we had around 11 inches for the season, with a little over half of that in October 2011.

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  On 3/20/2023 at 12:58 PM, ChescoWx said:

Very cyclical snow totals by decade - low points were reached during the 1930's - 1950's. Average snowfall for the 1910's vs. 2010's almost identical

image.thumb.png.3614374b1fb09b3c9f43fcba27d7cf9b.png

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Thanks for sharing this cyclical trend.

It’s good to note that some things indeed do have cyclical trends….Lol…I’m shocked!

Some people (not on here…) think that world history just started this century!

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