pasnownut Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 4 minutes ago, paweather said: GFS loses storm #2 This was my worry for the last few days. With a trough axis like this, its gonna be hard to lift into the block. We go from cutters to suppression. As already alluded to, when the block relaxes, thats when something can come up and say hello. Unfortunately, when block relaxes, so does the cold and what you get will be gone quick in mid march. Maybe #3 will be the one to get it done. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 10 minutes ago, paweather said: Yep it does not much but it snows. Vodka cold for snow covered areas of North PA. 0. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 By March standards, the GFS is back to being quite anomalous cold wise. In addition, without fail, a snow chance at 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 7, 2023 Author Share Posted March 7, 2023 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: By March standards, the GFS is back to being quite anomalous cold wise. In addition, without fail, a snow chance at 10 days. Of course 10 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Saw a couple of snowflakes this am. Guessing that might be the last ones of the year. If we miss that 2nd storm, it’s blouses imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 3 minutes ago, paweather said: Of course 10 days away. As it always is. At least there is some winter showing up for the northern 1/2 - 2/3 of the state for this weekend. They can pad stats in this horrid winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 2 minutes ago, paweather said: Of course 10 days away. After seeing the cold thoughts relax on the GFS yesterday, they are back with a vengeance today. The northeastern 1/4 of the country is locked in winter with temps that would be normal for Jan over a very long stretch of the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: After seeing the cold thoughts relax on the GFS yesterday, they are back with a vengeance today. The northeastern 1/4 of the country is locked in winter with temps that would be normal for Jan over a very long stretch of the month. we should have all expected this. winter delayed not denied. just as we head towards spring and want to think about baseball, planting gardens and other spring activities we enter a winter type pattern. I fear the fruit crop in many parts of the state may be lost or severely damaged for the 3rd year out of the last 4. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 7, 2023 Author Share Posted March 7, 2023 7 minutes ago, pasnownut said: As it always is. At least there is some winter showing up for the northern 1/2 - 2/3 of the state for this weekend. They can pad stats in this horrid winter. Yeah and I will pad to my 0.0" LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 1 minute ago, kdskidoo said: we should have all expected this. winter delayed not denied. just as we head towards spring and want to think about baseball, planting gardens and other spring activities we enter a winter type pattern. I fear the fruit crop in many parts of the state may be lost or severely damaged for the 3rd year out of the last 4. It has been modeled but then the models waffle (both day to day and pattern forecasting such as the MJO) so not sure it happens but today's depcition is pretty extreme in the length of time it lasts. Over 1/3 of the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 5 minutes ago, paweather said: Yeah and I will pad to my 0.0" LOL Myra needs some of her stats padded. Nooners...39 and sunny. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 7, 2023 Author Share Posted March 7, 2023 Well still have the EURO today so a chance it will show something completely different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 All these threats and sustained cold on all the suites really vindicates the talk of an ITT period coming up as the models are seeing the same thing, he did pattern recognition wise. Whether we get a KU-ITT is at question, but the chances are there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 7, 2023 Author Share Posted March 7, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: All these threats and sustained cold on all the suites really vindicates the talk of an ITT period coming up as the models are seeing the same thing, he did pattern recognition wise. Whether we get a KU-ITT is at question, but the chances are there. No doubt chances we just go from cutters to suppression right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 2 minutes ago, paweather said: Well still have the EURO today so a chance it will show something completely different. The CMC drops a whole bunch of snow on Myra with a system gathering day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: The CMC drops a whole bunch of snow on Myra with a system gathering day 10. That's the wave that PSU is all over (though he's still interested in wave #2) and it comes at the end of what I believe is the most favorable period. I still think there's way too much volatility to give up on the next 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: That's the wave that PSU is all over (though he's still interested in wave #2) and it comes at the end of what I believe is the most favorable period. I still think there's way too much volatility to give up on the next 7 days. Agreed. Just for fun, check out the end of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Agreed. Just for fun, check out the end of the GFS. I'm all over it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 UK for ITT1. I do not have the good access so can just see some of the info. Snow spreading into the LSV at the end from ITT2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Its only 354 hrs from happenin....blizz of '23. THIS is the look we want. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 7, 2023 Author Share Posted March 7, 2023 18 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Its only 354 hrs from happenin....blizz of '23. THIS is the look we want. Little snow no blizzard only 354 away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 6 minutes ago, paweather said: Little snow no blizzard only 354 away. after looking at other posts, it seems that it was already noticed by others. Dont name it after me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 LOL, discussion in MA what the term flush hit means. A foot? 6"? LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 19 minutes ago, paweather said: Little snow no blizzard only 354 away. the caboose is sometimes the KABOOM when patterns break down, and while its a little too far out to tell if its breaking down, if you see the NAO heading +, if timed right, that could do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 6 minutes ago, pasnownut said: the caboose is sometimes the KABOOM when patterns break down, and while its a little too far out to tell if its breaking down, if you see the NAO heading +, if timed right, that could do it. edit. Isnt that storm at 354 the same exact day as Superstorm '93........hmmmm Superstorm '93 was earlier...March 12th or 13th from what I remember. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1993_Storm_of_the_Century Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 At 78 hours of the Euro, snow has spread into half of PA from a weak vort near the SW corner of PA. Canderson's final snow of the season streak ends at day 3. At 84 the low down near the NC/SC border in the Atlantic has taken over. Still snowing through much of PA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 Lunch break thoughts… The 12z Canadian looks good for both wave 1 on Saturday & wave 2 on Monday. Combined snow total after both combined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 19 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Superstorm '93 was earlier...March 12th or 13th from what I remember. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1993_Storm_of_the_Century Yeah I googled it after I asked. Thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 At hour 96, the Wave is pretty far off the Delmarva and it is still snowing in NJ. Most of PA, including the LSV, has 2-4" on the ground at this point. Our poor Pitt crew is the exception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 7, 2023 Share Posted March 7, 2023 At hour 114 we have a 973 spinning in the Atlantic and a 998 coming through the lower Ohio Valley/Upper TN Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now