weathercoins Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 It's funny, if it weren't for the EURO runs of a few days past and last year I'd be incredibly happy about a half foot +.... I still am, but now I am just hoping for a foot + ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 It's funny, if it weren't for the EURO runs of a few days past and last year I'd be incredibly happy about a half foot +.... I still am, but now I am just hoping for a foot + ! It's hard though when we are comparing our half-foot to Philly's foot and New York's 2 feet. But I remember last year, Philly and Long Island always seemed to sneak out better than they had expected off our first two big storms, so I am hoping we can sneak some off their's this time. (sort of like we did on Feb. 10) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 With the way this storm has gone so far, I wouldn't be surprised if it jogs west (or east for that matter) and surprises us. Definitely nowcast time. What an awesome turn of events though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Well guys..we all just have to hold our collective breaths and hope for an overpeformer on the western edge. We all knew we were the odd region out with this one...perilously hanging onto every 25 mile jog while North of us have room to spare. We really need to the low to get cranking early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Well guys..we all just have to hold our collective breaths and hope for an overpeformer on the western edge. We all knew we were the odd region out with this one...perilously hanging onto every 25 mile jog while North of us have room to spare. We really need to the low to get cranking early and its crazy when you think about it we have a closed 5H Low far to our southwest, a deepening Low off the coast proged to bomb and an 850 Low to our south what gives? I don't know enough not to think we should get crushed, but none of the computers do that NOW maybe it will come back at us at 0z SREF's should have a decent handle on it in an hour and a half I don't like the RUC, never did, too many misses and hits to rely on in my book Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 and its crazy when you think about it we have a closed 5H Low far to our southwest, a deepening Low off the coast proged to bomb and an 850 Low to our south what gives? I don't know enough not to think we should get crushed, but none of the computers do that NOW maybe it will come back at us at 0 SREF's should have a decent handle on it in an hour and a half I don't like the RUC, never did, too many misses and hits to rely on in my book Either way it appears we should be good for at least 3-6" area wide as of right now (barring any more big shifts east), so I'm glad it's not a snow vs no snow issue but a modest storm vs. major storm issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 and its crazy when you think about it we have a closed 5H Low far to our southwest, a deepening Low off the coast proged to bomb and an 850 Low to our south what gives? I don't know enough not to think we should get crushed, but none of the computers do that NOW maybe it will come back at us at 0z SREF's should have a decent handle on it in an hour and a half I don't like the RUC, never did, too many misses and hits to rely on in my book Thank you! I'm a noob but know the basics enough where I would have guessed more than 4-6 for me based on the set up but I guess it comes down to timing of it bombing out. Does the fact that it's phased already help us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 and its crazy when you think about it we have a closed 5H Low far to our southwest, a deepening Low off the coast proged to bomb and an 850 Low to our south what gives? I don't know enough not to think we should get crushed, but none of the computers do that NOW maybe it will come back at us at 0 SREF's should have a decent handle on it in an hour and a half I don't like the RUC, never did, too many misses and hits to rely on in my book Either way it appears we should be good for at least 3-6" area wide as of right now (barring any more big shifts east), so I'm glad it's not a snow vs no snow issue but a modest storm vs. major storm issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 <br />Well guys..we all just have to hold our collective breaths and hope for an overpeformer on the western edge. We all knew we were the odd region out with this one...perilously hanging onto every 25 mile jog while North of us have room to spare. We really need to the low to get cranking early<br /><br /><br /><br />I agree that this always seemed to be a threat for further north and east. In fact, for several days this week, it looked like we wouldn't see a flake. However, things looked much much better last night and early this AM and my hopes leaped. Now things seem to be unraveling again at the worst possible time. I think we'll be lucky to see 2-4 inches across the DC/BWI region. On the bright side, the time I would have spent shoveling, I can spend reading about the Great northern mid-Atlantic/ New England Blizzard of 2010. MDstorm Still hoping for improvement in the 0z model output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 New maps from the HPC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 New maps from the HPC: Huh? Those maps are whack. Pretty sure NYC has a pretty high chance of 6 inches lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Around DC and MD, I think it is fair to expect similar totals to what we got on 1/22/2005, another storm with a pretty tight west to east gradient.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 lol we are soooo fooked. The models are like the hot girl at a party. What a tease, keeps you coming back for more and ends up not putting out a gd thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 lol we are soooo fooked. The models are like the hot girl at a party. What a tease, keeps you coming back for more and ends up not putting out a gd thing. Yeh, it's such a Shame now that the storm has ended. Jesus, chill out... Radar looks good, SREFs do too. It's nowcasting time. I'd be worried if not for the fact the models hAve sucked so bad this storm/year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NattyBo Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Topper Shutt just called 3.2" in MBY (Rockville) , He also called "2-4 generally from Winchester to Annapolis" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 radar is starting to boom over sc.... that is all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 radar is starting to boom over sc.... that is all Is it okay if I join in on your discussion guys? Here in York PA absolutely nothing is happening! You think that stuff in SC can give us our snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I'm in York also... and i think we are right on the western border. the best banding for us is just getting kicked up if you look from the mouth of the chesapeake n/ne to new york right along 95. how west will it go? i am having a real hard time seeing us get to 3-6, but if a couple of those bands in extreme se pa and ne md keep moving the way they are, we might see something. overall it's a letdown for us after those fantastic westward runs of the global models, but realistically we've always been on the very edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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