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Christmas/Boxing Day Threat


Nikolai

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The euro pretty much holds serve across the mid atlantic suggesting dc and baltimore get 3-6" with the potential for more to the north and east. the satellite imagery suggests to be that we won't get a nam whiff. http://www.nws.noaa....ge=wv&hours=24.

Hey Wes, SR's 10:1? Or perhaps could we sneak out a bit higher due to 850s near -7c? Also, if the 15z SREFs hold firm and agree with the 09z SREFs... what then?

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Hey Wes, SR's 10:1? Or perhaps could we sneak out a bit higher due to 850s near -7c? Also, if the 15z SREFs hold firm and agree with the 09z SREFs... what then?

That's why 3 to 6 is a good compromise as even if the real solution is somewhere between the euro?GFS camp and the NAM, you still could get 3" inches with .15 if the snow growth is in the right region. 3-6 is really just a wag. The best chances for heavier snow would probably be to the north and east if any nice banding were to set up.

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That's why 3 to 6 is a good compromise as even if the real solution is somewhere between the euro?GFS camp and the NAM, you still could get 3" inches with .15 if the snow growth is in the right region. 3-6 is really just a wag. The best chances for heavier snow would probably be to the north and east if any nice banding were to set up.

Sounds good Wes. Let's hope the thing bombs sooner and we jackpot, but if not, who would have though we'd even have a chance at 3-6 as of Thursday/Friday. It's a great surprise!

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That's why 3 to 6 is a good compromise as even if the real solution is somewhere between the euro?GFS camp and the NAM, you still could get 3" inches with .15 if the snow growth is in the right region. 3-6 is really just a wag. The best chances for heavier snow would probably be to the north and east if any nice banding were to set up.

you realize the people on this Board are NOT reasonable, don't you Wes? lol

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

342 PM EST SAT DEC 25 2010

DCZ001-MDZ006-007-011-013-014-VAZ054-260445-

/O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0010.101226T0800Z-101227T1100Z/

/O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0013.101226T1100Z-101227T1100Z/

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-

SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-

ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...BALTIMORE...ANNAPOLIS...

ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH

342 PM EST SAT DEC 25 2010

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EST

MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS

ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM

6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO

LONGER IN EFFECT.

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES.

* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND DAYBREAK SUNDAY...THEN

BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER TOWARDS MID MORNING. SNOW WILL

CONTINUE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS

SUNDAY...BEFORE TAPERING TO SNOW SHOWERS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO

EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S LATE TONIGHT. HIGH

TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 30S SUNDAY AND MONDAY. LOW

TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...

INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH SUNDAY

AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH SUNDAY

NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE

EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL

MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

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Snow seems to be making it up to near Fredericksburg already and reports of moderate snow already in Southern Virginia. But i have seen no forecast indicate much of anything tonight around here, so either its northward progression is going to stop abruptly or some are going to be surprised when it moves in earlier than expected.

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