Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 8 minutes ago, RedSky said: Chuck better produce a big ass snowstorm from DC to Boston or he gets sent to another dimension I got dibs on the backloaded Ides of March storm tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 This is why Alaska and Greenland are here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Yup without Alaska or Greenland these winters would be milder lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 No more mix but just some light drizzle with temp at 37 and dp 34. Have 0.01" in the bucket so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Steady snizzle and 34F, deck becoming slippery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Had a burst of mainly snow about an hour or so ago, now rain and a little more breezy... 35F/light rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Getting windy now. Feels like an early.March storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Windy with heavy rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Just my thoughts in regards to the next 2 threats it’s over. These next two storms on March 11th and 17th will be well just look out the window today and replicas of the last 8 storms dating back to January. I have been saying it the Gulf and SW Atlantic are on fire and all that warmth is just fueling the SER. I’m very concerned about what this summer has in store for us it cannot be good in regards to heat humidity and drought. I’m also concerned for an East Coast Hurricane strike SC to Long Island watch out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 time to put this winter season to bed. Every 10 day 12+ storm event has turned to rain-- every one one on the GFS model alone. Here is my final answer to this winter season below- instead of bacon just add the word snow. I just hope we get more rain to avoid a drought. Tonights downpours really helped. Most rain all year in a 4 hour period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 4, 2023 Author Share Posted March 4, 2023 8 hours ago, Kevin Reilly said: I have been saying it the Gulf and SW Atlantic are on fire and all that warmth is just fueling the SER. I’m very concerned about what this summer has in store for us it cannot be good in regards to heat humidity and drought. I’m also concerned for an East Coast Hurricane strike SC to Long Island watch out. As long as we get normal or close to normal precipitation, that helps to stave off triple digit temps in the summer. If we get into a dry begets dry pattern, then the temps can soar fairly quickly as there would be no need to waste energy and time evaporating ground moisture. As an obs, I ended hitting 47 for a high yesterday after a 33 low, and had a trace snow and a total 0.83" liquid (mostly rain). This morning I got an additional 0.37" (so far), for a 2-day event total of 1.20". Currently misty with low stratus and 45 with dp 45. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Ended the storm with only 0.66" of rain. Currently 50F with gusts to 20 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Picked up 1.17" of rain so far today. Storm total 1.51" Current temp 41 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Storm total here 1.19” party sunny now 52 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 17 hours ago, Newman said: It was clear as day that would be the base state we'd be working with all winter, I wish I had been wrong! Me too lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Welp…. GFS was wave after wave potential…. Now it’s rain and useless dry cold… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 7 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Welp…. GFS was wave after wave potential…. Now it’s rain and useless dry cold… Wash, rinse, repeat. as many have alluded to the writing was on the wall in December, even with an Epic pattern we still fail. the trends are hard to ignore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 1 hour ago, Duca892 said: Welp…. GFS was wave after wave potential…. Now it’s rain and useless dry cold… GFS is all on its own with next week. Even it's ensembles have a potential mecs with a redeveloping Miller b off the obx. Until other guidance goes towards the gfs there is still a decent chance. Dont give up hope yet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: GFS is all on its own with next week. Even it's ensembles have a potential mecs with a redeveloping Miller b off the obx. Until other guidance goes towards the gfs there is still a decent chance. Dont give up hope yet. 12z euro says how dare you doubt king GFS Seriously I know GFS scores worse but it's owning the no snow pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 2 hours ago, RedSky said: 12z euro says how dare you doubt king GFS Seriously I know GFS scores worse but it's owning the no snow pattern EPS is a Miller b forming off the VA coast. So the op says nope, I'm still dancing on my own. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 Heard all winter ensembles looked good but the op's keep winning Technically the EPS mean is over south Jersey not the capes, that doesn't work in January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 15 minutes ago, RedSky said: Heard all winter ensembles looked good but the op's keep winning Technically the EPS mean is over south Jersey not the capes, that doesn't work in January Here's an op for ya then...JMA is a bit borderline with temps to start but pulls off a capture...big storm signal. Still favors interior and elevations but not etched in stone yet. This is a different pattern up top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 4, 2023 Share Posted March 4, 2023 I’ve been gone much of the day and just now seeing no pages have been added to this thread since yesterday. Guess there’s no point sifting through the carnage that must have been today’s model runs 44F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 ICON snows on part of the region as early as Tuesday am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Gfs also trended much farther s and has snow in the region tuesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Big ticket changes all around wrt next weekends potential. GFS trended towards the euro (which destroys part of this forum)...still an outlier (the gfs). Been over a year since we actually had guidance begin to trend favorably at this ra3nhe like we saw at 0z). Thats what happens with massive nao blocking and mjo 8-1 phase. Here is the eps borrowed from the Mid Atl forum originally borrowed from the NE forum: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 And we patiently await the 12z models. Pretty decent pattern period coming up between the 10th and 20th. Seasonal history says move on, other data suggests just hanging tight. Retrograding NAO block, stj involvement, 50/50 low, MJO amplified phase 8->1, vorticity rolling underneath the block...what could go wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Good old fv3 starts us off with some banding snow on Tuesday: Eta: appears to be in the farther S camp along with the Canadian. Other mesos a smidge N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 Today and tomorrow should be above normal high temperatures with temps reaching the low 50's. Rain maybe mixed with some snow tomorrow night will start a trend toward cooler weather for the rest of the week. Some models hint at a major snowstorm arriving on Friday night into the weekend...but we have seen this movie before and it will likely change by game time. The records for today: High 76 (1964) / Low 7 (1978) / Precipitation 2.26" (1920) / Snow 9.5" (1902) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 RGEM also has the deathband in SE PA on Tuesday. White rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now