Kevin Reilly Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 10 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Hmm 35-45 mph winds off a warm ocean what can go wrong but I’d think 971 mb would manufacture it’s own cold air. Oh what the hell one more whirl! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Just now, Kevin Reilly said: Hmm 35-45 mph winds off a warm ocean what can go wrong but I’d think 971 mb would manufacture it’s own cold air. Oh what the hell one more whirl! Caught beneath the block. As you said, dynamic and would counter the ocean temps. If it's even right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 That's a corridor crusher for sure. Gfs wasn't too far off either. Just phases a little offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Caught beneath the block. As you said, dynamic and would counter the ocean temps. If it's even right. Well I think it would only make sense to end this very warm pattern with a BANG!! Get the right trajectory of cold to mix with the heat to the south and the Big Bang happens pretty simple even if it’s March 12th. Water temps in the Gulf of Mexico nearing 80 at Fort Myers and that heat down there is on the move in time. Like I said an explosive storm can happen between the Mid Atlantic and the Southeastern states the atmosphere is primed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 GFS a little later. Big time loaded pattern. Has 3 threats....at least one would work out. If we can't get a biggie from an h5 KU looking pattern I don't know what would work anymore 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: GFS a little later. Big time loaded pattern. Has 3 threats....at least one would work out. If we can't get a biggie from an h5 KU looking pattern I don't know what would work anymore Haven't seen a storm like that in years. Wowzers... on st Patty's day during March madness. Sign me up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 CMC found that euro day 11 storm heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 8 minutes ago, RedSky said: CMC found that euro day 11 storm heh All models are honking with the massive blocking pattern. Now we track and see which one works out. This would make for an epic backloaded winter...hit snow climo with 1 event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 I am going to say it won't snow in north Florida on March 17th GFS crazy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: All models are honking with the massive blocking pattern. Now we track and see which one works out. This would make for an epic backloaded winter...hit snow climo with 1 event. More like a front loaded spring 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 There looks like there is wave after wave potential on the GFS 200+ hours out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Ens mean for next week is damn near perfect. Near perfect h5 look/progression as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 5 hours ago, Duca892 said: There looks like there is wave after wave potential on the GFS 200+ hours out. Let's backload this shit shall we? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Let's hope all this buckled up-ness pays off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Adopting a yellow Labrador retriever from a rescue on Sunday. It's been a few years here without dogs. We waited. And I told my wife we would do it after winter and snow threats are gone. Murphy's Law I guess. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 29 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Adopting a yellow Labrador retriever from a rescue on Sunday. It's been a few years here without dogs. We waited. And I told my wife we would do it after winter and snow threats are gone. Murphy's Law I guess. Umm, Ralph... 1) Congratulations! And the fact it's a rescue is all that much better!! 2) On behalf of every weenie in this forum--WHY DIDN'T YOU DO THIS ON Dec1??????????????? Okay, let's see what Dr. No has in store for us... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 24 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Umm, Ralph... 1) Congratulations! And the fact it's a rescue is all that much better!! 2) On behalf of every weenie in this forum--WHY DIDN'T YOU DO THIS ON Dec1??????????????? Okay, let's see what Dr. No has in store for us... Dr No is a disaster....even the ridiculous block and strong 50/50 can't negate the strong sw wanting to cut. Seasonal trends win again...on this model anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 OP Euro and GFS would have us living this worst ever Bill Murray Groundhog Day cutter winter to the bitter end say it ain't so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Newman nailed winter by saying in early December that his worry is energy digging in the west and then cutting once ejecting. Give that (New)man an award. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Seeing a couple of flakes mixed in with the rain, 41F/DP 29F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 Had popped out to adjust a temp probe and am getting a snow/rain mix. Have been having virga for the past hour. Currently light rain/snow mix and 41 with dp 29, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Snowing in Warminster. No rain. 44f. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 And like that down to 42f. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 hour ago, FPizz said: Newman nailed winter by saying in early December that his worry is energy digging in the west and then cutting once ejecting. Give that (New)man an award. It was clear as day that would be the base state we'd be working with all winter, I wish I had been wrong! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Rain with a few mixed flakes now. This winter can't end soon enough...really. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Flakes here heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 18 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Rain with a few mixed flakes now. This winter can't end soon enough...really. Yeah that's what I was saying two weeks ago when the big SSWE happened. Could have had the first early spring in years instead odds favor March being cold wet and miserable. We have a November, December, November, March, March winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 44 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Snowing in Warminster. No rain. 44f. Yep we had like bursting snow then it would stop bursting snow then it would stop at 44 degrees then it changed to rain right now 36 light snizzle rain some sleet mixed in with a dewpoint that has risen from 26 to 30 in the past 20 minutes so winter show is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Chuck better produce a big ass snowstorm from DC to Boston or he gets sent to another dimension 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Light snizzle and 39F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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