Duca892 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 The UKIE on 12z and now 0z would leave me questioning faith in humanity. Allentown gets roughly 3in while like 15-20mi to the E/NE they get a fairly classic 6-10in snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 14 minutes ago, Duca892 said: The UKIE on 12z and now 0z would leave me questioning faith in humanity. Allentown gets roughly 3in while like 15-20mi to the E/NE they get a fairly classic 6-10in snowstorm Volatile situation way to early to believe a fantasy map. More and more March 2001 like. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 A tad more tuck&colder is what we need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Just my quick thoughts....we rarely ever get a bombing Miller B to develop far enough S or fast enough to significantly impact us except for N of I78. I can count on 1 hand the number of times over the last 25 years these have worked out. These systems are the absolute epitome of Lucy and the football and exactly the reason we came up with that analogy over the years. I'm obviously keeping an eye on it but we are into mid March now and spring is now showing up on guidance. Best to keep expectations nil and hope for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Just my quick thoughts....we rarely ever get a bombing Miller B to develop fat enough S or fast enough to significantly impact us except for N of I78. I can count on 1 hand the number of times over the last 25 years these have worked out. These systems are the absolute epitome of Lucy and the football and exactly the reason we came up with that analogy over the years. I'm obviously keeping an eye on it but we are into mid March now and spring is now showing up on guidance. Best to keep expectations nil and hope for the best. Sorry, but what guidance is showing Spring? I have yet to see a 70+ degree in the next 15 days. In fact the temps for the rest of March may not even hit the 60's. Spring to many of us is 70+ degree days with t-showers. Hell the soil temps are still so cold , the grass will not turn dark green yet. The leaves on my pussy willow tree have not even budded yet. 5 out 7 days a week of Cloudy 40 degree days just do not indicate Spring to me yet. We just do not have the white crap on the ground this year thats all. Give me Feb again as that was a spring month to me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 5 hours ago, RedSky said: Volatile situation way to early to believe a fantasy map. More and more March 2001 like. I'm thinking December '99 when Philly got around 8" while the sun was out in West Chester. That would be a fun repeat 35F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 We may see a few wet snow flakes mixed in at the start of the rain early this afternoon and again towards tomorrow morning as the storm pulls away. Otherwise, a prolonged stretch of below normal temperatures will continue for at least the next couple weeks. Another storm will impact us Sunday night into Monday. Records for today: High 79.2 (2016) / Low 4 below zero (1984) / Precipitation 1.47" (1952) / Snow 13.3" (1907) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 2 hours ago, Albedoman said: Sorry, but what guidance is showing Spring? I have yet to see a 70+ degree in the next 15 days. In fact the temps for the rest of March may not even hit the 60's. Spring to many of us is 70+ degree days with t-showers. Hell the soil temps are still so cold , the grass will not turn dark green yet. The leaves on my pussy willow tree have not even budded yet. 5 out 7 days a week of Cloudy 40 degree days just do not indicate Spring to me yet. We just do not have the white crap on the ground this year thats all. Give me Feb again as that was a spring month to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 47 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Four degree daily anomaly and this indicates spring? Had to really dig this one up? Notice the blue in the Chesapeake Bay area. All this model tells me is that there is a decent chance of a Nor'easter forming as the cloudy and really cold rainy days continue until the second week of April Thanks anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 1 hour ago, Albedoman said: Four degree daily anomaly and this indicates spring? Had to really dig this one up? Notice the blue in the Chesapeake Bay area. All this model tells me is that there is a decent chance of a Nor'easter forming as the cloudy and really cold rainy days continue until the second week of April Thanks anyway. Spring is in the air. Daffodils are in full bloom, magnolia is getting ready to pop, lilacs are getting leaves. Might not be the string of 70 degree days you were looking for but the change is inevitable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 It's March 10th, didn't realize we should be consistently basking in the 70's this early 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 As expected next week's threat will develop too slowly to affect our area. Doesn't look like we will cash-in on the backloaded thing this year but it was fun remaining optimistic til the end. Next winter will be better.....won't it? It has to be, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Yeaaaaaa I’m tossing it on this one esp since the EURO seems to have stepped off. Siggghhhhhh. I’ll peak at a model run here and there the next 7-10 days. After that let’s just get to spring, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Flakes and 40F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Big snowstorm chances crashing like SVB on the 12z runs 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Some wet snow and 39.8 here in East Nantmeal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 12z GFS dumping 6" on Richmond March 17-18 would be the perfect epitaph ending to the toxic train wreck winter of 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 I bet I see flakes out around April 15th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Euro pivots NW and crushes I78 corridor north, SEPA does ok with sloppy seconds to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, RedSky said: Euro pivots NW and crushes I78 corridor north, SEPA does ok with sloppy seconds to. I'm telling you guys, Ralph throwing in the towel and writing this one off is going to give us our biggest snowfall of the year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 February 25, 2010 vibe Feels good to discard the March2001 analog.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, The Iceman said: I'm telling you guys, Ralph throwing in the towel and writing this one off is going to give us our biggest snowfall of the year. If only it wasn't alone with this, even if it was just the crazy ukie tagging along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Caution don't look at the pivotal version it's algo equations are a sad clown map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Sweet heat wave on the euro post storm for the moving on to spring crowd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Crap. The Euro is just enough to make me look at it again tomorrow, even though I know the inevitable outcome. Why do I torture myself so?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 59 minutes ago, RedSky said: Sweet heat wave on the euro post storm for the moving on to spring crowd Frankly im here for that. I miss golf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 As much as this winter has sucked for us, the fact is that, relative to normal, it has been awful for the mid-atlantic and central/southern New England also. So many wienies like me have shared the pain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 .5 inch of snow does not cut it with me for precip totals. At this points 1-3 in snows are worthless. I would rather see 1" rainfall totals right now to recharge the parched groundwater tables. This week alone we had two wildfire hazardous messages. If this crappy weather pattern does not break soon, we will be heading into a drought in late April and streamflows will be down big time as the water gets sucked out of the ground during the releafing process. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2” here so far, although should be ending momentarily for the night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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