Malacka11 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 NAM definitely seems south so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 6 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: NAM definitely seems south so far Big bump south while also stronger by 3mb. Still somewhat on the NW side of guidance though. I imagine that would be one hell of a weenie map extrapolated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Big bump south while also stronger by 3mb. I imagine that would be one hell of a weenie map extrapolated Ukmet more in line with canandian. Think euro/gfs a lil too far nw. Models tend do overdue strength in this range. Right now I'd feel the most comfortable being in the GRR area. It's been awhile since we've seen a sub 980 low take this kinda track. Looks like a good plastering wherever the snow ends up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 8 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: NAM definitely seems south so far It also has nearly 2' of snow in 6 hours in S IA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 1 minute ago, IllinoisWedges said: It also has nearly 2' of snow in 6 hours in S IA. Definitely still well on the west side of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 53 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: NAM definitely seems south so far Definitely step in the right direction but not enough to benefit a good chunk of the subforum. Would make a lot of our Iowa folk happy. But us in IL would like a shot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 WPC thinks rain for mostly everybody apparently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 23 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Cold sector going poof again huh No cold air, doa 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 the Baum Model at 06Z: consistent, to say the least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: No cold air, doa Thread the needle climo. Cold air coming mid late March with -NAO. Get to see systems detour us for the EC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 12 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Thread the needle climo. Cold air coming mid late March with -NAO. Get to see systems detour us for the EC Normally I don’t feel bad for EC due to nor Easter’s but this time around I do hope they could get something decent along with the southern part of our sub Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 ^Agree with the OV but places like Boston have years we will never experience. Plus all we've really had is one ice storm and some grass tip snows. This system has plenty of time to go poof as well. MSP should be in the sharing mood 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 6z Euro 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 6z NAM is one for the books. 23" in 6 hours in Iowa. I mean, come on. We're still a ways away from verification, but a little credit to the GFS so far. It's been closer to what's being modeled than the other models. Certainly not perfect though. Euro has been junk again. From the southern outlier to now the northern one (sans the worthless NAM). Alas, I'm all set on cold rainers for awhile, so hoping for a whiff south at this point. Go Ukie and Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 All the models are showing is the storm peaking well prior to MI. This is never a good sign for MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Shows you the progression: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 25 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Plus all we've really had is one ice storm and some grass tip snows. You’re forgetting about 1/28-29. That was a pretty solid storm up here. This one looks sloppy and disappointing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Wash, rinse, repeat for our neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 15 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: 6z NAM is one for the books. 23" in 6 hours in Iowa. I mean, come on. We're still a ways away from verification, but a little credit to the GFS so far. It's been closer to what's being modeled than the other models. Certainly not perfect though. Euro has been junk again. From the southern outlier to now the northern one (sans the worthless NAM). Alas, I'm all set on cold rainers for awhile, so hoping for a whiff south at this point. Go Ukie and Canadian. Was hoping we could add on to our whopping 4 inch total for the season but looks like we may escape this winter with less than a half of foot total of snow. Spring can’t come soon enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, tuanis said: You’re forgetting about 1/28-29. That was a pretty solid storm up here. This one looks sloppy and disappointing. Your right I think I received 4" for that one. Although gradient for heavier snows ran through McHenry Co. with areas just NW receiving 8" amts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 white rain to rain final call on this one 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 34 minutes ago, King James said: Was hoping we could add on to our whopping 4 inch total for the season but looks like we may escape this winter with less than a half of foot total of snow. Spring can’t come soon enough 9.9” on the season here, but point stands. Awful winter. Alas, we’re cooked here with this system. Just another 34 and heavy rain incoming. Terrible, terrible, terrible… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 gonna be another beautiful spring leaf out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Lots of rain lately everything will bloom. Keep up this trend we gonna be swatting skeeterz hella lot this spring/summer. It’s also good for the lakes since we have had abysmal ice cover this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 lake michigan looks way down from years back, super obvious along the lakefront Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Man this one going to be painful. It will be close. Either will be on sharp edge of brutal snowfall gradient or in the cold rain with raging snowstorm just to nw. Not liking my position on this one. Nw IL folks and you Chicago folks have a shot. Very powerful lows like this always end up more nw and always have a big slug of waa. Definitely a nail biter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 One hell of an impressive nw trend with this one. Reminds me of the old'n days when at 7 days out it's crushing DC, 5 days out CMH, 4 days out Detroit, and now who knows. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Why all the pessimism? I would think being in the crosshairs on the gefs, cmce, eps and having the NAM as a NW outlier (as always) would be great for NIL? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 To this point (borrowing from someone way more knowledgeable than I, who I have followed for years) https://twitter.com/blizzardof96/status/1630565498705309697?t=dvCYHzAJ5mHNQKUYQtNyfA&s=19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: lake michigan looks way down from years back, super obvious along the lakefront Pick your poison, This one... or this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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