Stevo6899 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said: Since your grade is mostly on storms, if we get this your grade would absolutely be higher than a pure winter enthusiast's grade. We've already had 2 good winter storms (Jan 25 snow, Feb 22 Ice) and a White Christmas. Different strokes as always but ice storms are as useless as rain to me. Right now, id rate it a d+. Maybe a C if I was home for the Jan 25 storm lol. But hey u grade on a curve and give it a b if u feel so inclined. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 18z GFS is south and weaker ( where have we seen this before) then 12z and prolly more realistic 12z 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 I would be quite pleased with a 4-6 with near or at blizzard conditions. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 GEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Another storm that looked good for the east trended to the midwest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Another storm that looked good for the east trended to the midwest And another storm that looks good for Midwest, that will trend to shit for most of us. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 29 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: And another storm that looks good for Midwest, that will trend to shit for most of us. Looks beautiful off in the distance then when it’s close it’s one giant rotating cyclonic turd 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 43 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Another storm that looked good for the east trended to the midwest It didn't look good for the east if you looked at the teleconnections. Just because a model run or two showed something doesn't mean it's "good" for a region. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 2 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: Different strokes as always but ice storms are as useless as rain to me. Right now, id rate it a d+. Maybe a C if I was home for the Jan 25 storm lol. But hey u grade on a curve and give it a b if u feel so inclined. I have no idea what my grade will be, have to see what the remainder of the season brings. And wow I thought you would have been impressed with that ice storm. It was crazy and the destruction in its wake is something to see, definitely the power of mother nature. Ice is a total love/hate thing for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Bump north on 18z EPS. Still lots of spread on the individual members, but added several farther north/west and stronger solutions. Edit: Attached are the snow mean and member low locations.Edit 2: Now with individual member snowfall.As an aside, WxBell added percentile precipitation and snowfall data, which is pretty cool. The 50th percentile is lower than the mean, which shows there's several higher members in the top 50% of snowfall totals. 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 13 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Bump north on 18z EPS. Still lots of spread on the individual members, but added several farther north/west and stronger solutions. Edit: Attached are the snow mean and member low locations. Edit 2: Now with individual member snowfall. Quite a few big dogs. Interesting to see that with a more ENE movement and not a NE moving low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 I’ll take number 30 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 7 hours ago, Malacka11 said: I'd rather get trolled than be a pessimist I'd rather push the ignore button until it's inevitable. That's what I did with the S trending ice storm. It is a lot more fun "tracking" when you know it's real and not going poof like the Christmas Big Dog. I'm not into the pessimism posts. Gave that up after the Jan 25th storm held. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 I miss the DGEX 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Gefs looks to be about the same as 18z a bit less variability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Euro is unchanged from the 12z runs maybe a hair weaker at 500mb but not by much at all. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Cold sector going poof again huh 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 overnight update: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: Cold sector going poof again huh Fitting tribute to the weak and worthless winter of 2022-23 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Best model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 2 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: Best model I don't have the eps, but the mean looks like a great track too and probably is similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 11 minutes ago, Chicago916 said: I don't have the eps, but the mean looks like a great track too and probably is similar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 EPS 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 undeniably good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 From the IND AFD: Questions surround precipitation type as well as total liquid / flood potential. Appreciable snow/icing on the front end of the system does not appear likely...as long as the overall pattern`s northern stream stays retracted and unconnected to this strong southern wave, with the polar air, if anything retreating into Ontario as the event starts in Indiana...which should discourage any sub-freezing temperatures to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Just now, KokomoWX said: From the IND AFD: Questions surround precipitation type as well as total liquid / flood potential. Appreciable snow/icing on the front end of the system does not appear likely...as long as the overall pattern`s northern stream stays retracted and unconnected to this strong southern wave, with the polar air, if anything retreating into Ontario as the event starts in Indiana...which should discourage any sub-freezing temperatures to start. Getting vibez of a snow enthusiast thats over winter and ready for spring. Can't say I blame em. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Trends... Locally the ice storm was super moist. Ice accretion at 32 was so impressive and we had so many trees damaged in ways I've never witnessed before.. A few degrees colder aloft and we certainly would of had a boat load of snow on the ground. I'm liking the look of this one. Now if the cold would only hold the course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 The St Louis to Cleveland special right now on the Euro. I notice some solid winds on the backside of this storm as well, could be a paralyzing early March storm which was all the rage the first 10 years of this century Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Far more interested in following the side of this down south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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