Harry Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: Jan 1979? That was decent here. 14-15 or something like that? I was living in the DC area back then but we had PDl! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Harry said: It can depend. Jan 67 is best example of sharing in the glory. Jan 78 was more here. GHDI was more there to Grand Rapids. GHDII was a bit more here. It just seems that Chicago and Detroit are usually in completely different storm track lanes. Usually if Chicago gets clobbered, somewhere in SW MI will also cash in. The exact bullseye depends on the track of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, frostfern said: It just seems that Chicago and Detroit are usually in completely different storm track lanes. Usually if Chicago gets clobbered, somewhere in SW MI will also cash in. The exact bullseye depends on the track of course. GHDll is probably the closest for all sharing in the decent totals I think? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 Just now, Harry said: GHDll is probably the closest for all sharing in the decent totals I think? Also January 1999. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Powerball said: Also January 1999. Jan-Feb 2014 had something for everyone in Michigan. Clippers and LES bonanzas that didn't immediately melt away, and a Detroit big dog as well. The ultimate depth weenie year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 WPC doesn't seem to be buying the extreme se solutions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrewCrewMI Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 GRR mentions models still outputting anywhere from 0 to 15". Cluster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, Powerball said: Also January 1999. Yep that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, BrewCrewMI said: GRR mentions models still outputting anywhere from 0 to 15". Cluster. Like the NAM they remain defiant. It's killing them that the heaviest snows may go se of Grand Rapids. They are perhaps the most imby weenie office on planet Earth. Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 28 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: A brutal miss incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 13 minutes ago, Harry said: Like the NAM they remain defiant. It's killing them that the heaviest snows may go se of Grand Rapids. They are perhaps the most imby weenie office on planet Earth. Lol So. True. They have the “Since we here at the NWS GRR Office will not be receiving the brunt of the storm, we will go with an inch or less for the county entire area” attitude. For this event they seem pretty optimistic about heaviest totals in a triangle from Lansing to Kzoo, to Jackson. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Harry Perry said: So. True. They have the “Since we here at the NWS GRR Office will not be receiving the brunt of the storm, we will go with an inch or less for the county entire area” attitude. Oh yeah I have seen them do that as well on more then one occasion. Don't forget that great bearier aka 131 where nothing gets past it via the lake. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Harry said: Oh yeah I have seen them do that as well on more then one occasion. Don't forget that great bearier aka 131 where nothing gets past it via the lake. 131 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wegoweather Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 HRRR ptype and highest totals look very dependent on precip rates/evaporative cooling overcoming low ratios and surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 My point and click is at 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 The closest storm I can think of compared to this would be Vets day 87. Mid Atlantic.. Was expecting a snow/rain mix but it flipped to a heavy wet snow and dropped 12-18. Never seen snow melt so fast as that did either. Was gone within two days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 21 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: A brutal miss incoming What a fucking turd of a winter 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: What a fucking turd of a winter And as is the norm lately, those in the "bullseye" will end up disappointed by underperformance due to the terrible modeling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: And as is the norm lately, those in the "bullseye" will end up disappointed by underperformance due to the terrible modeling. as they say,"if the ships going down your going to come with me." post. Cary's congratulatory tone to those in the bullseyes was all BS. Every true snow weenie knows it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 17 minutes ago, Harry said: The closest storm I can think of compared to this would be Vets day 87. Mid Atlantic.. Was expecting a snow/rain mix but it flipped to a heavy wet snow and dropped 12-18. Never seen snow melt so fast as that did either. Was gone within two days. Reminder we don't have the Atlantic ocean nearby so totals like that are highly doubtful. Was just speaking on the temp profiles and such. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 8 minutes ago, Baum said: as they say,"if the ships going down your going to come with me." post. Cary's congratulatory tone to those in the bullseyes was all BS. Every true snow weenie knows it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 Guess I’ll be the loner pulling for a North American coup. Where’s my furry Viking helmet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 19 minutes ago, Baum said: as they say,"if the ships going down your going to come with me." post. Cary's congratulatory tone to those in the bullseyes was all BS. Every true snow weenie knows it. Keep your friends close and your enemies even closer 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 18z GEFS for those getting the snow enjoy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 If recent trends this winter hold true we should be entering the “substantial drying phase” of the model watching. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 8 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: If recent trends this winter hold true we should be entering the “substantial drying phase” of the model watching. We all can’t help it so we will take peaks. Too much fun watching 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 RAP with a jump north if anyone cares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 8 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: RAP with a jump north if anyone cares. RAP is about as useless of a model as you can get at this point. The ice storm it had us in the 50s as close as 18 hours out. Grossly overaggressive on WAA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Stebo said: RAP is about as useless of a model as you can get at this point. The ice storm it had us in the 50s as close as 18 hours out. Grossly overaggressive on WAA. The HRRR is bumping north slowly too if anyone cares 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 5 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: The HRRR is bumping north slowly too if anyone cares How does the Brazilian model look?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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