Baum Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 4 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Sorry Baum I need to barrow this it works since I think this is a 5-10" heavy wet snow on a classic axis of KC-CHGO-DET. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 First pass from the NWS Probabilistic Snowfall website from LOT... Quite a spread! https://www.weather.gov/lot/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Well, one thing's for certain, everyone is still in the game at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 1 minute ago, cyclone77 said: Well, one thing's for certain, everyone is still in the game at this point. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 18z eps? I feel like a hoe always asking but 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 18z eps? I feel like a hoe always asking butNot available yet on WxBell. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 1 hour ago, cyclone77 said: Well, one thing's for certain, everyone is still in the game at this point. Not me. Not even close.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 I don't know what to make of this one, I think the Euro is overamplified but I don't know if I buy the GFS being this far south. What I will say is that it hasn't moved much compared to the Euro and has the GDPS/RDPS/Ukmet in its corner, where as the Euro has the NAM12 in its corner, to an extent. The NAM12 is actually an ice storm here. The Euro has a straight snow to rain scenario which I completely don't buy at all especially with an occluding storm. Basically TL/DR is an idk emoji. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Ya all can have it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 1 hour ago, cyclone77 said: Well, one thing's for certain, everyone is still in the game at this point. Late Christmas present bow wrapped and all just for you. I don’t want it. I’m gonna secret Santa it to y’all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Riding the gfs. Will be my "Baum" lock of the week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Here's the operational run of the 18z Euro run: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 The EPS mean if anything ticked a hair south, it did lose some of the bigger dogs too which isn't surprising. Path is still for the low to run from STL/Fort Wayne/Detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 4 minutes ago, Stebo said: The EPS mean if anything ticked a hair south, it did lose some of the bigger dogs too which isn't surprising. Path is still for the low to run from STL/Fort Wayne/Detroit. Not an awful track for SW Michigan but not great for the Detroit crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Just now, WestMichigan said: Not an awful track for SW Michigan but not great for the Detroit crew. Yeah that would probably be a snow/ice/rain scenario here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 45 minutes ago, Chambana said: Late Christmas present bow wrapped and all just for you. I don’t want it. I’m gonna secret Santa it to y’all. I have mixed emotions. Kind of ready for spring but if we can get a dog then I'd be good with it. My piggy bank doesn't have any room for more nickel and dimes lol. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 1 hour ago, sbnwx85 said: Here's the operational run of the 18z Euro run: cut snow totals by about 40% with that run. drying trend starting off strong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 56 minutes ago, WestMichigan said: Not an awful track for SW Michigan but not great for the Detroit crew. Wrote this off as a rainer yesterday for DTW. WPC keeping us in the heavy "something" zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 The GFS is undoing yesterday's nw leap. The op run no longer even touches Iowa. The upper low just digs too far south and takes too wide of a turn northeast to be of any good for me. I hope someone can get something decent out of this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 So the GFS/Nam12/RDPS all are unchanged from 18z but the GFS/RDPS are a snowstorms here and the NAM12 is an ice storm. ICON moved south to match the GFS/RDPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 15 minutes ago, Stebo said: So the GFS/Nam12/RDPS all are unchanged from 18z but the GFS/RDPS are a snowstorms here and the NAM12 is an ice storm. ICON moved south to match the GFS/RDPS. About 24 hrs ago I wrote this off saying it wouldn't come full-circle for DTW. Might have words to eat if this keeps up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 GEFS follows the op run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 25 minutes ago, Stebo said: So the GFS/Nam12/RDPS all are unchanged from 18z but the GFS/RDPS are a snowstorms here and the NAM12 is an ice storm. ICON moved south to match the GFS/RDPS. If the system ends up occluding before it reaches the Great Lakes, like you alluded to before, the more pronounced dry slot would make the time frame for mixed-precip too short for much ice accretion. Don't really need another scenario like the previous two systems. Most likely scenarios would be heavy but brief mixed-bag changing to drizzle, or a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 1 minute ago, RogueWaves said: About 24 hrs ago I wrote this off saying it wouldn't come full-circle for DTW. Might have words to eat if this keeps up. Until the Euro budges I won't write anything off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 GFS bringing me back in the game baby! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 I know you can't trust hrrr at this range but you see how far south it has the sfc low? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Remember when the euro was good 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 compromise solution: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 just give me an hour or two of the kind of 40 dbz death band the nest is showing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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