Powerball Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 10 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Gfs continues to show 15+ blobs over macomb and a few other areas. Yeah, these GFS runs have been some true clown maps, lol.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 20 minutes ago, MidwestChaser said: I don't think I'll even get rain out of this. You and me both. Probably just a few miles away from you rn, been watching the edge of the precip just slowly edge closer and then stop in its tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Kind of disappointed that we haven't got a heavy snow MD from the SPC (yet). I've seen them written up for much wimpier events... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: I had been going with gusts up to 60MPH being likely (Didn't want to go all in on the hi-res' higher end depictions alone). But yea, a lot of downstate IL NWS offices were more conservative and only suggesting gusts up to 50MPH, which was quite surprising. With it happening widespread in real-time now, any that haven't jumped onboard yet...it's a lost cause. I wouldn't have bet money on the 70mph gusts in IL on the north side of the low ahead of time either, but throwing out 50mph and hoping that holds when there was a pretty coherent hi-res signal for at least 60mph (with the HRRR consistently advertising the potential for 70+ exactly where it happened) is pretty blegh given the borderline rapid deepening and very anomalously low MSLP values...that were fairly well-advertised. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, Powerball said: Kind of disappointed that we haven't got a heavy snow MD from the SPC (yet). I've seen them written up for much wimpier events... Apparently everyone is behind the 8 ball on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Puking snow and the wind picking up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 8 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: This is great. Won’t get true big dog totals, but this event will help me raise my winter grade from a F to a D- Big gust of wind just rolled through here. Piling up fast, couple more hours of this would be fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Radar's filling in quite rapidly. Folks were worried about dry slotting for nothing, haha! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 4 minutes ago, Powerball said: Kind of disappointed that we haven't got a heavy snow MD from the SPC (yet). I've seen them written up for much wimpier events... Guessing it's mainly because their focus is on the severe wx in the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys as opposed to not expecting this/not thinking it's worth an MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 16 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: How far north and east do you think these winds will go in your humble opinion? I'd image we see widespread 40-60mph wind gusts up into SE. Michigan as well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 minute ago, Powerball said: Radar's filling in quite rapidly. Folks were worried about dry slotting for nothing, haha! Haha you are right on that I admit. Ready to eat a crow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Just now, OHweather said: Guessing it's mainly because their focus is on the severe wx in the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys as opposed to not expecting this/not thinking it's worth an MD. Oh yes, I'm sure that's the case. That's why I changed the wording in my original post from annoyed to disappointed, lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Flakes still small but seem to have upped in size a little in the past but Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Haha you are right on that I admit. Ready to eat a crow? It's still early to say for sure, but things are looking good so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC10023 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Tiny flakes over here on the lake but wind is picking up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Have already had multiple upper 50 gusts here, and it looks to continue, maybe even topping 60 in next few hours. I haven't checked my CoCoRaHS gauge, screw that, it's too nasty out there, but guessing that we are pushing an inch and half of rain with at least another half to 3/4s incoming. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Report of thunder in Mishawaka. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Nice heavy band in Monroe/Lenawee counties moving twords Wayne and Washtenaw counties 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Guessing around 2 inches by me so far. More in town. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Just now, IWXwx said: Have already had multiple upper 50 gusts here, and it looks to continue, maybe even topping 60 in next few hours. I haven't checked my CoCoRaHS gauge, screw that, it's too nasty out there, but guessing that we are pushing an inch and half of rain with at least another half to 3/4s incoming. Yeah I went out around noon to look and it was worse than a 50mph blizzard lol. I'm guessing 2.5 in my guage, Im not going back out unless it warms up. KIND is saying winds should increase until about 10pm now. 58 highest gust here so far 980mb pressure. I want 979 dambit! lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Ridiculously sharp edge creeping ever so close. Flurries right now, but could rip when the returns aloft finally reach the surface. I'll settle for 4" of slop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Power keeps going out. Branches are hanging low. Gosh dang man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 22 minutes ago, Powerball said: Kind of disappointed that we haven't got a heavy snow MD from the SPC (yet). I've seen them written up for much wimpier events... Literally was just thinking that. Kind of puzzled. Pretty impressive event with heavy snow rates, high winds, convective snow, and very deep low pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Currently without power here SW of Toledo. My Kestrel showed gusts of 57 mph 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 My power is going on and off I’m about to lose it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Kinda amusing how a Blizzard Warning for this would probably verify way more than the pre Christmas storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Back to all snow. Impressive radar returns moving in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 I’ll be an optimist and hope the wind just shakes the snow off. Vis is horrible and it’s puking out of the sky 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 There it is!!! Mesoscale Discussion 0251 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0425 PM CST Fri Mar 03 2023 Areas affected...Northern Indiana and southern Lower Michigan Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 032225Z - 040230Z SUMMARY...Strong ascent across the northern Indiana and southern Lower Michigan region, coupled with areas of freezing temperatures at the surface, will support pockets of heavy snowfall rates through mid evening. DISCUSSION...Over the past 1-2 hours, a handful of surface observations from far northeast IL, northern IN, and southern Lower MI have reported moderate to heavy snowfall with visibility at or below 1/4 mile at times. Such conditions have largely been contained to areas where surface temperatures have experienced strong evaporative cooling and fallen into the 30-32 F range. Many locations that are currently above freezing are reporting dewpoint values in the low 30s, suggesting that additional low-level evaporative cooling to freezing is possible over the next few hours - especially under areas of heavier precipitation. Aloft, strong isentropic ascent through the 925-700 mb layer will be augmented by a mid-level deformation zone to the north of the synoptic low. This ascent is expected to persist through the late afternoon/evening hours as a strong cyclone lifts to the northeast, and may promote periods of organized snow banding. Furthermore, periodic lightning flashes suggest adequate buoyancy exists over the region to support localized bursts of heavier snow. Consequently, snowfall rates up to 2 inches/hour (possibly as high as 3 inches/hour) will be possible where low-level temperatures are below freezing. ..Moore.. 03/03/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR...LOT... LAT...LON 41628718 42038637 42928415 42998357 42788274 42228266 41788283 41538366 41278489 40808668 40778722 40858757 41318760 41628718 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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