weatherwiz Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 I don't think even Linus Ullmark can stop this warm tongue 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 GFS looks a tad colder thru 24h..hard to believe. Let's see what happens afterwards Edit: The primary is stronger and slightly more NW at 36h, so I'm assuming that will offset the colder start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: I’m trying to understand the role of mid-level lows because what got us are 16 inches in mid January were the track of the mid-level lows in the resulting deformation. Is this about the mid-level lows not being closed off because the main short wave is deamplifying? Sorry I know so little. They do close, but late in the game. A "classic" event you have the WAA band move through and then the mid levels close somewhere around MTP and continue northeast and the storm does a bit of a pause and pivot with the CCB. This storm is moving almost due east, so we don't really get a pivot because the WAA doesn't keep moving through but like Will said it does allow eastern New England more time to get the CCB involved. But because the mid levels are always moving away from the coast, any delay in deepening and the CCB is toast. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 Gfs is more north but SNE gets it good once the secondary low takes over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 Gfs looks about the same 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 For the clowns 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 Yeah little change but a boatload of qpf. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: They do close, but late in the game. A "classic" event you have the WAA band move through and then the mid levels close somewhere around MTP and continue northeast and the storm does a bit of a pause and pivot with the CCB. This storm is moving almost due east, so we don't really get a pivot because the WAA doesn't keep moving through but like Will said it does allow eastern New England more time to get the CCB involved. But because the mid levels are always moving away from the coast, any delay in deepening and the CCB is toast. Thank you! We had a beautiful pivot in the January storm. I watched on the radar and I could see what was happening, and during the pivot we had snowfall rates of like 2 inch an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 I’d be shocked of BOS got 11+ 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Yeah little change but a boatload of qpf. Yeah, just about 2" here, with the sleet line barely getting to me and then collapsing into heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: I’d be shocked of BOS got 11+ Yeah, Boston usually gets screwed with the East wind. I wouldn’t be surprised if they get like 2-3 and 10 miles NW ends up with 8 or something. Still a lot of uncertainty though, if the NAM is right Boston gets nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 I wouldn't be shocked if backbay gets a pasty 10". Would be shocked if Logan records 10 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 GFS did nudge a hair north with the ULL out in the Ohio valley. Then it went probably even more gangbusters over E MA later in the game than 12z did. But again, pretty minor trends....one of these models is gonna make a larger move at some point. Onto 00z. (well, Euro at 18z I guess....then 00z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 Stayed fogged in and cloudy until 2:00 today with a brief high of 40.. so actually kept some pack . Longest of the winter now at 3 days . Hopefully can get at least a week if can get a couple tomorrow night and Saturday. Sad.. but better than the first 3 months I suppose. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 22 minutes ago, weathafella said: I’d be shocked of BOS got 11+ They won't. Don't use clown maps. Look at positive snow depth change and NARCAN. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 29 minutes ago, weathafella said: I’d be shocked of BOS got 11+ What do the muthafukkas say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 BOX upping the totals for some area's but not buying much improvement for the coastal area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 I feel like this is all or nothing for the coast. I’ve seen this movie plenty of times. Hedging conservatively for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: What do the muthafukkas say? 4-6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 6 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: BOX upping the totals for some area's but not buying much improvement for the coastal area. Gotta think it’s gonna end up at least double that for BOS especially coming at night but I get the conservative approach for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Stayed fogged in and cloudy until 2:00 today with a brief high of 40.. so actually kept some pack . Longest of the winter now at 3 days . Hopefully can get at least a week if can get a couple tomorrow night and Saturday. Sad.. but better than the first 3 months I suppose. Who stepped on your snow???? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 11 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: BOX upping the totals for some area's but not buying much improvement for the coastal area. I like that for CT, but I’d probably go higher in NW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Nearby. The beautiful area of Burrilville RI. Sorta like Appalachia. She is actually in FL right now but her son is at home Ahhh. Yes. That area is closer to me, but has better snow than me...probably most of the time this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 5 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said: Who stepped on your snow???? The dog and daughter . Angry 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 Some tv mets have upped boston to 2-4 but most are still playing conservative and following nws as of now. I do see some issues with accumulations on the coastal roadways. That east wind I don't think will be denied and the airmass still basically sucks so on pavement more than 2" might be tough inside of about 5-7 miles of the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 These days I'm just as excited for the snow to fall as I am for the purposeful workout of shoveling my and my neighbor's sidewalks and driveways. Pushing up from the ground repeatedly? Running after nothing but yoir own previous best runs after nothing? Good to have non-hampster-wheel reasons to exercise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 29 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: BOX upping the totals for some area's but not buying much improvement for the coastal area. Looks like the Herpes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 37 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: BOX upping the totals for some area's but not buying much improvement for the coastal area. @kdxken… an expected bump. I thought they were too low yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: I don't think even Linus Ullmark can stop this warm tongue IDK, NH border has a helluva GAA this season. Legit Vezina candidate.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: @kdxken… an expected bump. I thought they were too low yesterday. Right on the line. Hopefully I'll be on the lesser side. I've managed to go all winter without shoveling. Would like to keep that intact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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