UnitedWx Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Euro is a tick south. Not a huge move, but noticeable. Interesting, as it's not known to correct quickly. NAM on the other hand will probably have its foot for all run at 0Z tonight lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is a tick south. Not a huge move, but noticeable. Like a pair of grapes? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 I would define a move south again as a cave and the GFS not move north. But yeah, it's a move south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I would define a move south again as a cave and the GFS not move north. But yeah, it's a move south. It was a big difference in my sensible wx. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 Just now, weathafella said: It was a big difference in my sensible wx. I think I would need another move as cave to me is like a collapse. But anyways, yeah semantics. Nice to see anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 A GFS/Euro blend of 50/50 would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 Tickle tickle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 If you look at the clown maps, we get there. When you parse it out, I don't see the crazy rates in the overnight hours. It starts to pile up after sunrise. That recipe seems suspect to me. That being said, you can see which model appears to be in the driver's seat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 I need another 50 mile jog south for coastal CT 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think I would need another move as cave to me is like a collapse. But anyways, yeah semantics. Nice to see anyways. You are so snake bitten by this winter lol. It was a good move south. Doesn’t mean it can’t go back north, but it was a decent move Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 The nice thing now, is even if we get a 50/50 compromise from here on out between Euro/GFS, that's gonna be a huge hit for like BOS to ORH and maybe even down to far N CT/N RI. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 watches should come out this afternoon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 16 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: OMG This is BDL. that omega Hey! It’s the backdrop to the final level of Metroid! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: I need another 50 mile jog south for coastal CT I'm hoping this is a better move for where I am west of Hartford by about 12 miles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: The nice thing now, is even if we get a 50/50 compromise from here on out between Euro/GFS, that's gonna be a huge hit for like BOS to ORH and maybe even down to far N CT/N RI. Yeah, it probably won’t be all snow here, but it definitely could be a very significant winter storm. Snow sleet snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: You are so snake bitten by this winter lol. It was a good move south. Doesn’t mean it can’t go back north, but it was a decent move I'm not looking at clown maps, I am looking at features which to me is more important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 The euro made a decent move by its standards. Not just a fart, so that is good to see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The nice thing now, is even if we get a 50/50 compromise from here on out between Euro/GFS, that's gonna be a huge hit for like BOS to ORH and maybe even down to far N CT/N RI. Yeah that would work for many. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 45 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Interesting that BOX took down their probabilistic map for the event Wonder if they were waiting for the euro? I'll bet they hoist watches NW of a line from Bos-Prov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah, it probably won’t be all snow here, but it definitely could be a very significant winter storm. Snow sleet snow Biggest improvement this run was the thump. It's starting to actually look decent. The CCB idea is fun, but I'm not counting on much from that....Im assuming it will mostly hit like SE NH and then slide offshore....but the thump can give us close to warning snows alone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: watches should come out this afternoon Wondering how far south the watches will go? Hoping they make it to the 4 northern counties of CT ( I'm pulling for you guys on the coast as well ). Not sure we will even get a watch here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Henry's Weather said: Wonder if they were waiting for the euro? I'll bet they hoist watches NW of a line from Bos-Prov Correction: At 4 PM update* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Biggest improvement this run was the thump. It's starting to actually look decent. The CCB idea is fun, but I'm not counting on much from that....Im assuming it will mostly hit like SE NH and then slide offshore....but the thump can give us close to warning snows alone. Even on the paltry NAM it has some hefty omega aloft. I seriously have no clue which way to hedge right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 1 minute ago, MuddyWx said: Put that on 24h snow at the 60 hour mark to isolate just this storm alone...but those kuchera maps giving warning snows for much of MA are a good indicator that the thump is looking much better. It's less marginal. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 The thump is definitely getting better aided by this s/w sort of elongating a bit and not shooting north at a longitude that would hurt us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 and the weenie deflator map 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The nice thing now, is even if we get a 50/50 compromise from here on out between Euro/GFS, that's gonna be a huge hit for like BOS to ORH and maybe even down to far N CT/N RI. Agree... if you want to throw in a meso; throw in the rgem for good measure to the compromise. If the NAM wins given the global trends, it will be one of its all time wins... I think we will know as soon as this upcoming 18z cycle whether or not the NAM has any chance. I think the globals are best representing the impacts of the confluence and blocky nature of the setup... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 Euro cut QPF about 20% Across SNE that run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2023 Share Posted March 2, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The euro made a decent move by its standards. Not just a fart, so that is good to see. It somehow got snowier up here too. One of these is not like the other. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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