Currently monitoring guidance for March late 3rd through the 4th for the next ( beyond the 28th) significant event

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Let’s collapse a few of those cages around the saplings. 

Bamboo, saplings, chicks...all flattened.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

We go through this every March with needing to remind people that it can snow, despite warming to 47 degrees under early October sun. Think of it as the inverse of RAD cooling...if that is "fake" cold, then this is fake warmth.

Yep. And this thump is at night time so I’m not worried about insolation eating away at accumulations. That really wouldn’t matter anyway in heavy rates…but it might in something just a little more marginal like 3/4 to 1/2 mile vis type snow. 
 

If the thump ends up being most 1 mile vis light snow, then it wasn’t worth getting stressed out about anyway. You cost yourself like an inch of snow. The faux sfc layer isn’t going to be the difference between 6” and 2” tonight. 

[tavwtby]

28 minutes ago, Connecticut Appleman said:

Well we do have a little bit of DP to work with as it is currently 19 here, so if we can shed a few degrees before the precipitation starts, we might have a window to see some wintry stuff.

probably best this is happening overnight, honestly if it was during the day it'd probably be rain, only good thing I see until this starts to wrap around close, by that time though I think it's too far east, hopefully I'm wrong.

[jbenedet]

Speaking for south/eastern sections - 

The warmer than guidance temps were interesting to me because winds become easterly tonight, overcast rolls in. It's not a good wet bulbing setup. Temps will be stubborn to fall, and dews will rise ahead of the precip. We're also seeing more sun than guidance advertised.

Add warmer ground, less snow pack. All these little things matter at the margin. Again, it will snow, but how much stacks is the real outcome we're interested in. 32 vs 33 matters A LOT if it endures.

Of course, you interior guys in CNE/NNE can continue to not GAF about this. 

 

 

[Ginx snewx]

45 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Running out of spots to put it. 

This is no where to put it 

[Whineminster]

4 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

If only the 12z HRRR would verify here

 

Both Kuchie and 10:1 have 17" in the Hubb...

Start at 17, can always go up if needed? 

[weatherwiz]

24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

We go through this every March with needing to remind people that it can snow, despite warming to 47 degrees under early October sun. Think of it as the inverse of RAD cooling...if that is "fake" cold, then this is fake warmth.

Just look at Denver. How often do you see them sometimes 70-80+ the day before snow and they'll still get a foot lol

[klw]

So you're saying I have a chance:

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Wetbulbs are 28 29

BOS wetbulb is 36

[CoastalWx]

HRRR a little SE of the same valid time vs 12z. Rejoice?

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, weathafella said:

BOS wetbulb is 36

Logan will probably hover near 33-34 for a large part. If it comes down good, they'll be just below 33.

[weathafella]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Logan will probably hover near 33-34 for a large part. If it comes down good, they'll be just below 33.

I’m gonna have to spring for a legit wx station.   The only thing I feel accurate about is snow accumulation which is manual for everyone.

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

HRRR a little SE of the same valid time vs 12z. Rejoice?

Still going wild with the thump in CT up into ORH region. 

[Whineminster]

9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

This is no where to put it 

Snowblow it all in front of the house? 

[NorEastermass128]

Just upgraded to a warning here. 

[weatherwiz]

GFS bufkit for ORH. Bufkit definitely rips looking over several locations, but noticing some subsidence at several locations too, even on the HRRR

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Logan will probably hover near 33-34 for a large part. If it comes down good, they'll be just below 33.

I think kev does better then Bos 

[weatherwiz]

[wx2fish]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Still going wild with the thump in CT up into ORH region. 

Pretty wild tomorrow with the ccb too. Still hard to buy, but that would be a wild couple hour ending

[Modfan2]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Still going wild with the thump in CT up into ORH region. 

Temp 46 here but DP hovering in the 18-19 range

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I think kev does better then Bos 

He will.

[CoastalWx]

Pretty nasty ending here tomorrow aftn. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Pretty nasty ending here tomorrow aftn. 

Kraft frowns

[CoastalWx]

Front end seems good in many areas as long as temps cooperate.

[ORH_wxman]

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

8 or 9 to 1 sugar there. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Kraft frowns

Not sure much if any sticks, but it's like paste flakes at 50-60mph. 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Not sure much if any sticks, but it's like paste flakes at 50-60mph. 

Let’s close those MLs off about 30-40 miles southwest and watch BOS go 12/9/05-light for a few hours. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Let’s close those MLs off about 30-40 miles southwest and watch BOS go 12/9/05-light for a few hours. 

This thing could be a mini 2/2/15 if we were a few degrees cooler. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

This thing could be a mini 2/2/15 if we were a few degrees cooler. 

Very similar tracks actually. Primary went into about CLE/ERI in that one and the secondary popped just quick enough to turn a 6-10” event into a 12-18” event. Yeah…too bad we didn’t have a real airmass like that one did. 

[radarman]

2/2/15 was the best of those 3 storms out this way by far.  This won't be no 2/2/15 here unfortunately.  Also, no superbowl the night before.