Currently monitoring guidance for March late 3rd through the 4th for the next ( beyond the 28th) significant event

[wxsniss]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm already bored of this system...think my ceiling is about 8-9".

Yeah this decrescendoed and became increasingly tiresome.

And haven't seen much support for the Kraft CCB.

I think dreams of our first WSW will be deferred.

You had mentioned this earlier and I like it: Snowfall Depth Positive Change, below is the 0z GFS, I think is very realistic, except I might shave an inch in southern CT:

[40/70 Benchmark]

27 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

One important takeaway: did not do the GFS-style CCB

Because its horseshit.....cold conveyor belt of horse shit,  mixing with bullshit at times. High around 34.

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Yeah this decrescendoed and became increasingly tiresome.

And haven't seen much support for the Kraft CCB.

I think dreams of our first WSW will be deferred.

You had mentioned this earlier and I like it: Snowfall Depth Positive Change, below is the 0z GFS, I think is very realistic, except I might shave an inch in southern CT:

IDK why I didn't stick with positive depth change on Tuesday...would have nailed the 2" or less in ne MA. I mistakenly acknowledged the late n stream insert to a degree, which is a fraud 5 cousin of the inv trough/norlun.

In order to expect that, you need to see like unanimous consensus like 12 hours out.

[wxsniss]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Because its horseshit.....cold conveyor belt of horse shit with perhaps some mixing with bullshit.

As always, the key will be timing of changeover from horse to bull. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

EURO moved the H7 warm front from ne MA to s ME.

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

EURO moved the H7 warm front from ne MA to s ME.

A second trend is later and less pronounced CCB.

Completely ignoring that concept.

[Henry's Weather]

6z is slightly better

[moneypitmike]

Can I have a weenie with my 06 gfs?

[40/70 Benchmark]

Final Call:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/03/final-call-for-friday-night-saturday.html

[Modfan2]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Final Call:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/03/final-call-for-friday-night-saturday.html

Looks reasonable, hoping for a longer period of sleet before change to rain but I am too far south.

[tunafish]

No changes from GYX

 

Except they did bump up the 10% probabilities 

 

 

[CoastalWx]

6z looked decent. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

No meso talk this morning?

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

No meso talk this morning?

They were a little better than 00z. Still marginal area but looked much better near you and by NH border. 

[CoastalWx]

It’s barely getting to freezing right now lol. The airmass is real marginal. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s barely getting to freezing right now lol. The airmass is real marginal. 

I got down to 26.6

[ineedsnow]

6z GEFS has a mean of 14 here 

[Kitz Craver]

We tossing 6z GFS? Lol

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I got down to 26.6

Probably from radiating. Get the wind up and it warms up. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Probably from radiating. Get the wind up and it warms up. 

Yea...fake as Kev's new toupee

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

We tossing 6z GFS? Lol

I am yes. For now. Let’s see how today goes. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea...fake as Kev's new toupee

Lol. LWM was 32.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said:

We tossing 6z GFS? Lol

I am....I need to see stronger support for Miller B CCB. It makes sense...just hedging against it.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea...fake as Kev's new toupee

Another all nighter for a single digit snowfall I see 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Another all nighter for a single month old infant I see 

Yep. Wife soar from C section,  so I'm doing the baby most nights. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea...fake as Kev's new toupee

Looks good up your way. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yep

 

[CoastalWx]

RAP cooled a bit from 3z. Hopefully we don’t see the mesos go wild during the day. 

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yep

bummed you're final map lowered me to 3-6.  Good luck on the call (even though I hope it's wrong.  )

 

I wish I had spent more time at Pit2 this winter.  Even with an incredibly slow start, they managed a relatively decent second half  At least in relatino to the non-winter inf SNE.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

RAP cooled a bit from 3z. Hopefully we don’t see the mesos go wild during the day. 

I wouldn't be shocked...staying conservative here is course of least regret, though.