Currently monitoring guidance for March late 3rd through the 4th for the next ( beyond the 28th) significant event

[WinterWolf]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

just an earlier transfer reflected on surface map. primary still around Cleveland

Ya was gonna say that too..but I wasn’t sure. Thanks for clarifying. 

[dryslot]

GFS will beat the Op Euro in the day 11-15 range everytime.

[WinterWolf]

Funny.
 

But This isn’t that…we are talking 2-3 days here. And now we’re down to one day…let’s see what happens in an hour? 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Funny.
 

But This isn’t that…we are talking 2-3 days here. And now we’re down to one day…let’s see what happens in an hour? 

Guess you missed the joke.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, dryslot said:

Guess you missed the joke.

No I got it…why do you think I said “funny” lol. 

[weathafella]

11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Clown map on pivotal had something weird happen between 42-48....it has nobody getting over an inch or snow (including CNE/NNE)....so just go old school and analyze the QPF/midlevels.

This one works..

 

 

[dryslot]

Valleys for the loss on there.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, weathafella said:

This one works..

 

 

I’ll take 8-10+ on the Ukie. Big hit there. GFS and Ukie together now. 

[Snowcrazed71]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

I’ll take 8-10+ on the Ukie. Big hit there. GFS and Ukie together now. 

But Kev said the NAM will be the winner ( in his words.. it always wins). Lol

I'm just busting chops now... We shall see who comes out victorious... But for me just West of Hartford by about 13 miles... I'll take the GFS/UKIE blend. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

5 minutes ago, weathafella said:

This one works..

 

 

Thank you , that made more sense looking at mid levels 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

But Kev said the NAM will be the winner ( in his words.. it always wins). Lol

I'm just busting chops now... We shall see who comes out victorious... But for me just West of Hartford by about 13 miles... I'll take the GFS/UKIE blend. 

He’s Messing around.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Thank you , that made more sense looking at mid levels 

My great Grandson made the graphics

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Thank you , that made more sense looking at mid levels 

I also pretty clearly shows the effect of the ccb.

[TalcottWx]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Congrats on 12-18

I will gronk spike my laptop if Boston gets 12-18". I will also be on the Cape for this. Smh.

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said:

10-12" here? not just drunk, but high 

If you get into the ccb like it shows it could happen but remember, 12z is lunch time in the UK and uncle drinks.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, TalcottWx said:

I will gronk spike my laptop if Boston gets 12-18". I will also be on the Cape for this. Smh.

You sorta chase rain 

[powderfreak]

8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I’ll take 8-10+ on the Ukie. Big hit there. GFS and Ukie together now. 

Yeah this is the “your backyard” part coming into it… because they do look decently different in several aspects, but your modeled snowfall total is the same on both for you.

[TalcottWx]

1 hour ago, UnitedWx said:

I trust that model as much as the NAM at this range...

It has become much better in the past few days. I would be more likely to trust HRRR vs NAM lately. And no, not because it's snowier. I just have a deep hate for the NAM.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, powderfreak said:

Yeah this is the “your backyard” part coming into it… because they do look decently different in several aspects, but your modeled snowfall total is the same on both.

Was just commenting on that run verbatim. I’m not thinking I’m getting these amounts. 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

If you get into the ccb like it shows it could happen but remember, 12z is lunch time in the UK and uncle drinks.

He may have been on one of those benders until 5am…not sure he sobered up today. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

If you get into the ccb like it shows it could happen but remember, 12z is lunch time in the UK and uncle drinks.

Ya I mean seeing 10” down to Taunton is fascinating 

[tunafish]

12 minutes ago, weathafella said:

This one works..

 

 

run out of my basement.

coincidentally, that's where we let my alcoholic uncle stay when he got evicted from his apartment.

[Lava Rock]

12 minutes ago, weathafella said:

This one works..

 

 

won't be home to witness this, but The County where I'll be looks to smoke some cirrus

[SouthCoastMA]

5 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

I will gronk spike my laptop if Boston gets 12-18". I will also be on the Cape for this. Smh.

vs Simsbury, not sure that's a big difference. unless you were planning on being north. pray for ukie/gfs end result

[TalcottWx]

56 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GEFS are balls out too. 

<popeBenedict> BuT tHe Se RiDgE!!!!</popeBenedict>

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Lava Rock said:

won't be home to witness this, but The County where I'll be looks to smoke some cirrus

Not much up there if any.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Interesting that BOX took down their probabilistic map for the event

[EastonSN+]

16 minutes ago, weathafella said:

This one works..

 

 

This map gets me so mad!!

[Ed, snow and hurricane fan]

For the Texas tornado threat/thread, I am trying to match 500 mb heights in Texas between models and HRRR/RAP, which I assume which be updated, but TT and COD don't show 500 mb for those models.  Anyone have a comparison on which model initialized best and is best now?  It would affect your snow.  Quincy occasionally posts in severe threads, other than that, they are met free.

[TalcottWx]

8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

You sorta chase rain 

I just... Have no comment. I do not even know why I am tracking this. LOL