Currently monitoring guidance for March late 3rd through the 4th for the next ( beyond the 28th) significant event

[dryslot]

Wish i could find those model verification charts.

[dendrite]

Wolfie will not be happy until he has chewed that Euro carcass down to the bone

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Or get smoked up there. Enjoy bro

Thanks Steve. We’ll see how this next one plays out. ?? 

[Ginx snewx]

8 minutes ago, dryslot said:

As far back as i can go.

@TalcottWxno question about it man. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dendrite said:

Wolfie will not be happy until he has chewed that Euro carcass down to the bone

So maybe he gets a colder rain. What a win. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, dendrite said:

Wolfie will not be happy until he has chewed that Euro carcass down to the bone

Lol, Nahh I’m good. All good. Moving on. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

So maybe he gets a colder rain. What a win. 

Wasn’t about rain. 

[dryslot]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

LOL. Whatever you want to believe. I’ll go euro and nam for this one until I’m prov otherwise. 

I have to agree, The NAM overall has not been bad.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

You can see the gfs has moved to the euro idea of a slower and stronger secondary system . If you scroll to Jeff’s animation . The low placement has been steadily moving WNW on the time stamp Jeff posted and the euro had that low Position slower and tight to Long Island first And has also adjusted slightly slower to its own idea 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dryslot said:

I have to agree, The NAM overall has not been bad.

Earlier runs were way too paltry on QPF.

[radarman]

notice how the split in opinion seems to be function of latitude and longitude and which side of the r/s line you're on

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

You can see the gfs has moved to the euro idea of a slower system . That is about clear as day  The low placement has been steadily moving WNW on the time stamp Jeff posted and the euro had that low Position slower and tight to Long Island first And has also adjusted slightly slower to its own idea 

I think snow maps screw up what synoptics show. Anyways great thump for ski areas. 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, radarman said:

notice how the split in opinion seems to be function of latitude and longitude and which side of the r/s line you're on

Nah Wolfie and I are both on the wrong side. He's just hungry as a Wolf for a GFS win.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I think snow maps screw up what synoptics show. Anyways great thump for ski areas. 

Looking like a crotched mountain crush job for monads . WPC with 80% + for that area for 8”+.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

I think snow maps screw up what synoptics show. Anyways great thump for ski areas. 

I was looking at H5 when I was making the comparison. One reason I was scratching my head initially because euro was driving the ULL like into Chicago a couple days ago, lol. 

Im leaning euro/NAM from this point forward though. But if I’m wrong by only a little, then that’s a big sensible wx difference for MA. 

[radarman]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Nah Wolfie and I are both on the wrong side. He's just hungry as a Wolf for a GFS win.

well, unless we pull a 0-1" here the Nam/Euro combo was a total bust 36-24 hrs ago.   But we could still pull a 0-1" I guess.  Those who know me know I typically hug the nam, except when it doesn't give me snow obv.

[SouthCoastMA]

7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Lol, Nahh I’m good. All good. Moving on. 

Might as well keep going at this point, never give up until the ship is sunk!

[Ginx snewx]

6 Z CMC , Thanks @mitchnick

[Modfan2]

36 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Where's the cold coming from? 33 and rain sucks

I’ll take it to get the sand and salt crap off the roads!

[powderfreak]

8 minutes ago, radarman said:

notice how the split in opinion seems to be function of latitude and longitude and which side of the r/s line you're on

Yeah in the end, it doesn't matter how a model gets to point A or B, if it's wintry it's the model that showed snow (even if the SFC low was 150 miles off) that gets the win in the opinion.

If one model shows snow and one shows rain, everything else about it doesn't matter I guess... it can miss the low track or positioning, etc.

[CoastalWx]

Hey I wish to God to be wrong. If I am, wolfie can eat me like he would a ground hog. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I was looking at H5 when I was making the comparison. One reason I was scratching my head initially because euro was driving the ULL like into Chicago a couple days ago, lol. 

Im leaning euro/NAM from this point forward though. But if I’m wrong by only a little, then that’s a big sensible wx difference for MA. 

Speaking of which if you look at last 4 euro cycles as ULL reaches ILL/Indiana border the notable change that began at 0z and continued at 6z is a much weaker ULL (it weakens faster/earlier )

[SouthCoastMA]

always a small chance the euro makes a couple more tics colder, while the GFS basically holds serve. not likely, but who the hell knows. CNE/NNE seems pretty locked in at this point but some on the southern edge could still be in play

[TalcottWx]

19 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

@TalcottWxno question about it man. 

Euro trended colder toward GFS over E MA. GFS trended toward Euro low position.

I mean... Idk

[CoastalWx]

Fwiw I thought 6z eps was a bit better for sne. 

[Massplow]

Compared to what we saw Monday night is this looking like more or less accumulating snow in the Boston-providence corridor?

[ROOSTA]

The vorticity albeit getting sheared still gets the good stuff cranking for a front-end dump. The block is stout and appears to have some staying power.
FINALLY A STORM! 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

5 minutes ago, Massplow said:

Compared to what we saw Monday night is this looking like more or less accumulating snow in the Boston-providence corridor?

More with the initial thump. 

[ORH_wxman]

15 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Speaking of which if you look at last 4 euro cycles as ULL reaches ILL/Indiana border the notable change that began at 0z and continued at 6z is a much weaker ULL (it weakens faster/earlier )

Yeah this has happened on most guidance which is what helps the secondary ML center form…it’s why even the most amped solutions previously are now showing the CCB forming…now where that sets up is the difference between a nuisance event and a legit solid warning snowfall. 
 

Im pretty skeptical near the pike at the moment, but I’d feel pretty good up by NH border. 

[Cold Miser]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Euro moved more. GFS had the better idea from the start. 

 

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Meat?