Currently monitoring guidance for March late 3rd through the 4th for the next ( beyond the 28th) significant event

[weathafella]

  On 3/1/2023 at 3:54 AM, ORH_wxman said:

GFS looks like it may come in colder than 18z

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Straight up snowstorm 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Oh boy gfs…

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Snowy even here. Could use it after the dud today 

[weathafella]

NAM/RGEM/gfs all moved positively 

[ineedsnow]

We hope but still 3 days out

[weathafella]

18 hour event with heavy snow late Friday night into Saturday morning ending mid day.

[ORH_wxman]

  On 3/1/2023 at 3:55 AM, weathafella said:

Straight up snowstorm 

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Yep. Nice bent back WF too on the front end there. That’s the kind of look you want. It’ll rip just north of it. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

4-8 south of pike, 8-12 north 

[RDRY]

Someone do an audit of these models -- they're trending in the right direction.

[WxWatcher007]

  On 3/1/2023 at 3:55 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Oh boy gfs…

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Trend is our friend for now. Euro camp folding one by one. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 3/1/2023 at 4:02 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

4-8 south of pike, 8-12 north 

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6-10" north.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 3/1/2023 at 4:04 AM, WxWatcher007 said:

Trend is our friend for now. Euro camp folding one by one. 

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It honestly had to. This was a no-brainer...I just think people's ability to think clearly is clouded right now. 

[CT Rain]

Ray jack, Kevin ping? 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Canadian looks good pike north

 

south of pike is dicey 

[weathafella]

  On 3/1/2023 at 4:06 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

6-10" north.

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Normally for swfe but it seems to be morphing into something else?

[powderfreak]

00z ICON shows the potential north of the Pike.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 3/1/2023 at 4:11 AM, weathafella said:

Normally for swfe but it seems to be morphing into something else?

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This one’s a contendah’! 

[ORH_wxman]

  On 3/1/2023 at 4:11 AM, weathafella said:

Normally for swfe but it seems to be morphing into something else?

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GFS solution is getting close to a Miller B. Getting closed circulations in the midlevels 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 3/1/2023 at 3:58 AM, weathafella said:

NAM/RGEM/gfs all moved positively 

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Add the cmc too.

[WxWatcher007]

  On 3/1/2023 at 4:15 AM, ORH_wxman said:

GFS solution is getting close to a Miller B. Getting closed circulations in the midlevels 

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I think that’d be substantially better down here. Honestly, it felt to me like we were trending toward that look all day.

As long as we don’t rain. Anything but rain. Snow to sleet would be big win heading toward mid month. 

[bch2014]

  On 3/1/2023 at 4:14 AM, powderfreak said:

00z ICON shows the potential north of the Pike.

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A good part of the snow in that map in NNE is from the Thursday system.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 3/1/2023 at 4:15 AM, ORH_wxman said:

GFS solution is getting close to a Miller B. Getting closed circulations in the midlevels 

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Well, that would change things....let's see.

[40/70 Benchmark]

H85 looked good to me early this AM...it was H7 that was the issue. Too slow in redeveloping

[weathafella]

Uncle on board although drunkenly 

[weathafella]

Euro with a tick colder but not by a lot.  Still going in the right direction and is the warmest model at this point.   I did not even look at the ICON-perhaps it is warmer but my use of time did not include losing the precious few moments. of my dwindling time on earth....

[wxsniss]

There it is... 0z Euro is starting to cave... can see a transfer by 12z Sat

[weathafella]

  On 3/1/2023 at 6:16 AM, wxsniss said:

There it is... 0z Euro is starting to cave... can see a transfer by 12z Sat

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Yup-84 hours the low is off the coast.  But it's the furthest north of the globals.  However it prolongs the snow Saturday.  Verbatim pike region gets a few hours of taint and then back to snow.

[wxsniss]

  On 3/1/2023 at 6:15 AM, weathafella said:

Euro with a tick colder but not by a lot.  Still going in the right direction and is the warmest model at this point.   I did not even look at the ICON-perhaps it is warmer but my use of time did not include losing the precious few moments. of my dwindling time on earth....

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You're right... it's not by much. But it does transfer to the secondary a tick faster than 12z.

[weathafella]

  On 3/1/2023 at 6:19 AM, wxsniss said:

You're right... it's not by much. But it does transfer to the secondary a tick faster than 12z.

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It actually keeps light snow going through Saturday night-inverted trof effect?  

[weathafella]

You get the feeling the next 3 weeks are a pretty wild ride.  I'll get enough sleep-nothing in my schedule begins before Noon but most of you guys won't.