Currently monitoring guidance for March late 3rd through the 4th for the next ( beyond the 28th) significant event

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, powderfreak said:

Yeah I mean, wouldn’t say no to like 0.75” QPF as snow to add to the pack.  My guess is though the QPF is over done south of Canada… that front end comes through fast.

Thats one of those situations that looks ok but then the mesos start showing like 0.40-0.55” water instead of 0.60-0.90” or something before dry slot.

Agreed...I'm not impressed by the forcing at all on a Euro solution....best WCB stuff gets shoved up into upstate NY like over near MSS through YUL (Montreal). Any snow is better than no snow, but that type of solution looks pretty weak sauce overall. If things can get pushed just a shade east, I'd like the overall forcing look better for New England.

 

[Typhoon Tip]

23 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

ukie was 6 or 7 here and almost nothing for the valley areas near Springfield.. so compared to the GFS and CMC it was crap

Heh ...you don't have to defend yourself.  

no one should read any post like, "so-and-so was a big improvement" or "so-and-so was a piece of shit," grab their keys and take off with an impression of the model run at hand. haha... 

I was really being sarcastic.  You should always look for your self.

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah I mean, wouldn’t say no to like 0.75” QPF as snow to add to the pack.  My guess is though the QPF is over done south of Canada… that front end comes through fast.

Thats one of those situations that looks ok but then the mesos start showing like 0.40-0.55” water instead of 0.60-0.90” or something before dry slot.

Yeah, Like i've been saying, This has similarities to today, A lot of that precip will end up getting ground up unless there's some enhancement of sort, Euro does try to fire up a meso low over the elbow this run to keep it going.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

18 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I meant for the canucks

im sure the maps looked really good 10 days ago

Day 10 remains undefeated this year 

[NorEastermass128]

Too far NE for today’s. Too far SSE for Friday’s. A true crap sandwich. Give me a 55F DD day please!

[weathafella]

Eps suggests the op run is one of the warmer members-mean isn’t far from gfs.

[powderfreak]

31 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Eps suggests the op run is one of the warmer members-mean isn’t far from gfs.

Yeah EPS is almost identical to 12z yesterday. Only noise level changes past 24 hours, despite some shifts north or south at times… it’s ended up very similar to yesterday so no trend.

 

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah EPS is almost identical to 12z yesterday. Only noise level changes past 24 hours, despite some shifts north or south at times… it’s ended up very similar to yesterday so no trend.

 

Over the same areas this winter so far, Wash, Rinse, Repeat.

[NorEastermass128]

This is the type of winter when I need to see 24” on the clowns to realize 4”. Otherwise, it’s a nonevent. Some winters just have rotten personalities. This is one of them. 

[George001]

9 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah EPS is almost identical to 12z yesterday. Only noise level changes past 24 hours, despite some shifts north or south at times… it’s ended up very similar to yesterday so no trend.

 

Do these maps count sleet as snow? I would imagine a lot of the blue area to the south gets a decent amount of sleet. 

[Cold Miser]

...I guess I had my share of snow for the year. Time to take CT out of the picture again.  I've enjoyed my less than 10" for the season.

[CoastalWx]

NAM more reasonable at 18z.

[Great Snow 1717]

1 hour ago, NorEastermass128 said:

This is the type of winter when I need to see 24” on the clowns to realize 4”. Otherwise, it’s a nonevent. Some winters just have rotten personalities. This is one of them. 

Agree

[Cyclone-68]

1 hour ago, NorEastermass128 said:

This is the type of winter when I need to see 24” on the clowns to realize 4”. Otherwise, it’s a nonevent. Some winters just have rotten personalities. This is one of them. 

This winter is a vengeful ex girlfriend 

[78Blizzard]

I'll bet the Euro caves to the 12z CMC at 0z...

[ORH_wxman]

32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

NAM more reasonable at 18z.

RGEM went the same way. Hopefully we can tick this just enough for a solid front-ender.

[weathafella]

It seems like the pike to route 2 is the battleground.  North of 2 looks good as of now.

[ORH_wxman]

ICON also toned down too....the 3 JV models that went amped at 12z all went more subdued at 18z...we'll see if the globals follow suit or if they are just converging on eachother.

[CT Rain]

GFS looks good at 18z.

[Thunderblizzard]

GFS looks south and colder too. Confluence is quite a bit stronger that run.

[WinterWolf]

GFS gonna kick the Euros ass…man the Euro is a load a shit this year. 

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, Thunderblizzard said:

GFS looks south and colder too. Confluence is quite a bit stronger that run.

Shocker…

[CoastalWx]

Lets wait and see.

[Torch Tiger]

weekend storm, hope we get 20-30".  Start there and we'll adjust up/down as necessary

[wxsniss]

Haven't looked carefully to decipher it, but there must be some impact of having this current system pass on the upcoming confluence. Maybe trends tonight (beginning with this 18z GFS we hope) will reflect that.

[WinterWolf]

I’ve been thinking the confluence and NAO will start to exert their force, and force this beotch south. JMO. 

[WinterWolf]

I love how this was said to be such a QPF Bomb a few days ago. Comical. 

[UnitedWx]

16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

GFS gonna kick the Euros ass…man the Euro is a load a shit this year. 

Not just this year either. Seems like ever since the upgrade it lost its doctoral degree. It pains me to say I trust the GFS quite a bit more at this point

[Ed, snow and hurricane fan]

Congratulations.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, UnitedWx said:

Not just this year either. Seems like ever since the upgrade it lost its doctoral degree. It pains me to say I trust the GFS quite a bit more at this point

Ya, the Euro blows more often than not now. Been saying this almost since the first upgrade that killed the thing.