MikeS Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 light sleet and snow in Wayne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Just now, Winterweatherlover said: Honestly imo thats not great forecasting, focus on the models that you trust most, not every single model. It's probably some ensemble forecast. And no that's not great forecasting. I still remember the debacle that happened when Channel 4 showed 26" of snow from the NAM in Central Park right before Nemo 2/8/13. People freaked out for the 11" it ended up being-significant but not crippling. My guesses for totals: Central Park 2.5" JFK 1.5" LGA: 3" Long Beach: 1" EWR: 3" New Brunswick: 1.5" Morristown: 5.5" Middletown NY: 7" Newburgh: 5.5" Danbury: 6.5" New Haven: 6" Huntington (IMBY): 4" Islip: 3.5" RIverhead: 3" Places I have 3-4" on LI and Newark etc might easily be only 2" or less if we see sleet crashing in, breaks in the precip etc. Tough call. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 10 minutes ago, Tatamy said: That precip is actually falling as a mix of rain and sleet in that area. yeah this is a strange case where the air mass got better as you got east closer to the departing high 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Snowing ! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Ok it’s flakes here even along the south shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Sleet line on dual-pol looks to be just S of Reading/Pottstown PA. Hopefully Allentown gets pounded pretty good, that's the test case for me for what NYC/most of LI can expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: yeah this is a strange case where the air mass got better as you got east closer to the departing high Very true! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Snow has started here in Mt Vernon 36* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Why do we keep talking about New Brunswick?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Sleet line on dual-pol looks to be just S of Reading/Pottstown PA. Hopefully Allentown gets pounded pretty good, that's the test case for me for what NYC/most of LI can expect. Maybe but most of NYC/LI actually is a little higher latitude than Allentown and this event should be very latitude dependent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 God bless her but Janice Huff has no clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Steady snow and sleet falling here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Flakes in Larchmont, finally.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Flurries in North Nassau County Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Flakes here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Snow flurries here, temp down two in the past hour. Currently 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Light snow in Turtle Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Sleet/snow mix not that worried though precip just started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 23 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: Honestly imo thats not great forecasting, focus on the models that you trust most, not every single model. I honestly thought that going to 31 models would have really brought the accuracy:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 14 minutes ago, Jaguars said: God bless her but Janice Huff has no clue . She's terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 35 and light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Wantage NJ 0.3" snow 630-7P. sleeting since then. all untreated surfaces slippery. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Got home to Smithtown at 7:30. Temp 35⁰ Less then 5 minutes later first flurries started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 A little sleet mixing in now, we'll see if that continues when precip rates pick up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Snow sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Steady light snow. 33/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Driving btwn Co op city bx and New Rochelle, light snow to light snow/sleet mix to a steady rain and sleet now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Moderate snow in Larchmont. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 27 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Sleet line on dual-pol looks to be just S of Reading/Pottstown PA. Hopefully Allentown gets pounded pretty good, that's the test case for me for what NYC/most of LI can expect. I'm not so sure about that. We're closer to the cold air source than ABE. It does seem like some sleet mix is inevitable at times, especially during lighter precip. Also, developing coastal may help more here than at ABE Fingers crossed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Starting to get some flurries here in SW Suffolk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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