snywx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 28 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: WSW for Orange County, might be the first watch issued all year by upton? No we had a couple issued in december 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 I feel like the nws is mostly going with the warmer nam and gfs rather than the euro/rgem and seems to make sense being conservative at this juncture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Nam cut amounts esp south of 78. Next to nothing for me and allsnow and the rest of middlesex 3ks a little better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam cut amounts esp south of 78. Next to nothing for me and allsnow and the rest of middlesex That's still possible because of very marginal temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam cut amounts esp south of 78. Next to nothing for me and allsnow and the rest of middlesex You love the nam 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: You love the nam No but it does sniff out those sneaky warm layers like Dec 2020 but I'm certainly not going all in one way or the other off it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: That's still possible because of very marginal temps. Yeah 34/35 big difference from 32/33. At least no sun angle lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Yeah 34/35 big difference from 32/33. At least no sun angle lo I think we'll thump for a few hours and go to sleet/light rain. But a degree will make all the difference. Wet bulb temperatures will be key Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Fwiw the 3k is much colder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Big don has spoken…. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I think we'll thump for a few hours and go to sleet/light rain. But a degree will make all the difference. Wet bulb temperatures will be key I wonder if this will be similar to February 2008. That one came in at night too and same time of year of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 48 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Can we keep one topic on topic? Please? No 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 8 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I wonder if this will be similar to February 2008. That one came in at night too and same time of year of course. Colder. Dropped into the mid 20s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 11 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I think we'll thump for a few hours and go to sleet/light rain. But a degree will make all the difference. Wet bulb temperatures will be key Local forecast is 43 and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Just now, weatherpruf said: Local forecast is 43 and rain. That's during the day. Storm comes at night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 NAM looks lousy for the southern fringe but I wouldn’t take NAM too seriously although in a sleet setup sometimes it’s sniffs mid level warming well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 11 minutes ago, binbisso said: Imo thats way overdone, I could be wrong but I’d lean toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: Imo thats way overdone, I could be wrong but I’d lean toss. You might be right but which model has it correct right now ? Probably none of them but we will find out soon enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 15 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Colder. Dropped into the mid 20s TWC has a small sliver of 5"-8" (purple) in their forecast map on the central part of the north shore of Long Island, basically from Huntington to about Mt Sinai. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: You might be right but which model has it correct right now ? Probably none of them but we will find out soon enough I always lean RGEM as the starting point. It might be too dry this time around but probably 3-5 inch max event inside the city for this one, imo the bronx is not getting 6+ inches like that map shows, I’m not sure anyone is but maybe there could be a narrow strip of 6+. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: Imo thats way overdone, I could be wrong but I’d lean toss. I mean it's possible, TWC has 5"-8" on the same small sliver of the north shore of Long Island, so I guess they're going with that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 41 minutes ago, snywx said: No we had a couple issued in december Yeah, we had a Watch on 12/14 but no Warnings yet just advisories. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 hour ago, Brasiluvsnow said: I grew up in Brooklyn and I have been to both Central Park and ( I saw Simon and Garfunkel and quite a few others there but I stray ) ... One time that I strayed there when I was still in school was to see S&G on 9/19/81. On the way home that night I met a girl. We are still together. Looking down on Central Park where they say you should not go after dark 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 I always lean RGEM as the starting point. It might be too dry this time around but probably 3-5 inch max event inside the city for this one, imo the bronx is not getting 6+ inches like that map shows, I’m not sure anyone is but maybe there could be a narrow strip of 6+. I don’t know why anyone is using 10:1 ratio snow maps for this event. They are wayyyy overdone and inaccurate. And let’s see what the other models do at 12z and 0z. Is it the NAM being the NAM or the start of a trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 If this is one of those 8” on the north shore dusting on the south shore deals I’m quitting weather 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Rgem still cold and snowy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Rgem still cold and snowy It did shave off some off the southern edge but that mostly affects Philly to TTN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 4 hours ago, LibertyBell said: I didn't move anything, I've always viewed New York City as a region and not a point Another example is the heat record being 107 at LGA not 106 from Central Park. The point being New York City consists of 5 boroughs not one malfunctioning piece of equipment in a Park where no one lives. I'm proud to say in my 40+ years of living in the region I've never been to Central Park and never plan on ever going there. I hate the place. I do see your point. I think the only way to manage such a large area like NYC is to have an official measurement in all Burroughs and average in addition to each airports individual records. Bronx has a large portion of NYCs population and it's never truly represented in the city's measurement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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