Rjay Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Will it actually snow in NYC or will the beat go on? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 So although the GEM went a bit colder, like the GFS it also slightly cut the snow totals due to less intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 UKMET came in warmer again. Hardly anything for NYC now. It shows a very nice event for northwest NJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: UKMET came in warmer again. Hardly anything for NYC now. It shows a very nice event for northwest NJ. Yeah down to a half inch for CPK. So far GFS and GEM went a bit colder while the UKMET went warmer. I think the NWS is on target with their snowfall map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Well, you'll get nothing now that you've started an event thread. Good job. I'm gonna get 6" because I don't want it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Some folks getting mood flakes today. So far all I’ve got is mood salt that the town put on the street. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Well, you'll get nothing now that you've started an event thread. Good job. I'm gonna get 6" because I don't want it. Whatever we get, if anything, will be gone in a couple days or less anyway. Any snow will mostly be for show and to deter a record low snowfall season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Whatever we get, if anything, will be gone in a couple days or less anyway. Any snow will mostly be for show and to deter a record low snowfall season. still on track for that record low season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: still on track for that record low season Central Park only needs 2.5" between now and April I'd say 30-40% chance the record falls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Upton going very conservative for the city/LI/south of I-80 and I agree. Euro and GGEM are nice to look at but I'd wait until tomorrow before getting optimistic especially when the GFS and UKMET still suck and how we know SWFEs usually trend at the end. Interior CT and the Hudson Valley are looking better though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 32 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Yeah down to a half inch for CPK. So far GFS and GEM went a bit colder while the UKMET went warmer. I think the NWS is on target with their snowfall map. Can you post their map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 10 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Upton going very conservative for the city/LI/south of I-80 and I agree. Euro and GGEM are nice to look at but I'd wait until tomorrow before getting optimistic especially when the GFS and UKMET still suck and how we know SWFEs usually trend at the end. Interior CT and the Hudson Valley are looking better though. I'd def rather have the Canadian models and Euro in my camp than the GFS/Ukie. However I agree with you about SWFE and late north trends so agree not to be too hopeful yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: Can you post their map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 I'm filing a disclaimer complaint with Upton if CPK/NYC gets 1 inch of sleet with this and then adds 1.5 or less elsewhere and we break the record lol....sleet normally counts as snow...well should I say OFFICIALLY does but in this case we should make an exception if it ruins the record 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: I'm filing a disclaimer complaint with Upton if CPK/NYC gets 1 inch of sleet with this and then adds 1.5 or less elsewhere and we break the record lol....sleet normally counts as snow...well should I say OFFICIALLY does but in this case we should make an exception if it ruins the record With the way mid March looks, I think the chance of breaking the record is low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: With the way mid March looks, I think the chance of breaking the record is low. Most likely...I still question if we do not even end top 5...it won't be hard to randomly get a 5 inch storm if the ensemble pattern verifies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Definitely conservative near the coast but I could see why given the winter and the setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Verbatim if you take a mix of the guidance this is as close to 12/2005 as you can get or maybe 1/3/03 where it may be 31 and snowing in Mt Vernon and 34 and rain or 32 and sleet in LGA...the storm setups are nothing alike but you can see even on the warmest setups the metro winds go 120-080-020 so its never gonna get above 33-34 probably even on central or eastern LI. This is automatically a rain event in December but here it may be hours on end of PLRA or PL...I definitely could see places like EWR or NYC being entirely sleet without a doubt. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 9 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I'm filing a disclaimer complaint with Upton if CPK/NYC gets 1 inch of sleet with this and then adds 1.5 or less elsewhere and we break the record lol....sleet normally counts as snow...well should I say OFFICIALLY does but in this case we should make an exception if it ruins the record I mean we can't actually have a winter where the Hollywood Sign ends with more snow than Central Park, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 NWS Totals too high for my area HPN. No way 4, esp. on the ground. Maybe 2. Trend going against them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 8 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: NWS Totals too high for my area HPN. No way 4, esp. on the ground. Maybe 2. Trend going against them. I have a different take. I think HPN might be in a very good spot with this one. I think areas just north of the city could do very well with the front end. It depends how far north the pellets make it but usually being just north of sleet is good for heavy snow in this type of WAA setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Wouldn’t mind a sleet fest actually. At least that accumulates and it takes longer for it to melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Euro colder again this run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Euro a all snow event for The metro now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Hr 66 mod Snow all of metro. Sleet down to phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Wow euro. Plowable event for the metro 6-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Euro keeps trending stronger with block and high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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