March 2023 temperature forecast contest

[Roger Smith]

Predict the temperature anomalies (relative to 1991-2020 averages) for

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

Deadline Wed Mar 1st at 06z

Good luck!

 

[Rhino16]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA
 

-0.75_-0.95_-0.95_-1.75_+0.50_-0.35_-1.25_+0.25_-1.75

 

[wxallannj]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA
 -0.5 -0.9    -1.2      -1.0     +1.2   +1.5    -1.0    -0.6    -2.0   

[donsutherland1]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA
 -0.4  -1.8    -1.7      -0.3   2.5    1.0       -1.2    -2.6    -3.6 

[bkviking]

DCA:  -1.8

NYC:  -1.4

BOS:  -1.2

ORD:  -1.8

ATL:  +0..5

IAH:  +1.5

DEN:  -1.2

PHX:  +0.2

SEA:  +0.2

[RodneyS]

 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA
 -1.2    -1.4    -1.3     -2.5   -0.6    1.3      -3.5    -1.8    -2.4

[Rjay]

DCA -1.5

NYC -1.5

BOS -1.5
ORD  -1.5

ATL  0.0

IAH +2.0

DEN -3.0

PHX. -1.5

SEA -2.5

[Scotty Lightning]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

1.0       1.0       0.5      0.0       1.0     1.0        0.5      1.0      0.0 

[wxdude64]

DCA:  +0.6

NYC:  -0.4

BOS:  -1.9

ORD:  -1.1

ATL:  +1.1

IAH:  +0.9

DEN:  -1.5

PHX:  +0.4

SEA:  -0.8

[Roger Smith]

-2.0 _ -2.2 _ -1.8 __ -2.4 _ -2.4 _ -1.8 __ -1.0 _ -2.5 _ -1.3

 

[hudsonvalley21]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA
 -1.0   -2.5     -1.4    -0.1     1.9     1.3       -0.6   -1.4   -2.3

[Roger Smith]

Waited a couple of days for late entries but two or three AWOL this month, anyway here's what we do have ... welcome Rhino16 I have rounded your predictions to the nearest tenth. 

 

Table of Forecasts March 2023

 

FORECASTER ______________ DCA _NYC _BOS ___ ORD _ATL _IAH ___ DEN _PHX _SEA

Scotty Lightning ___________ +1.0 _ +1.0 _ +0.5 ____0.0 _ +1.0 _+1.0 ___ +0.5 _ +1.0 _ 0.0

wxdude64 _________________ +0.6 _ -0.4 _ -1.9 ___ -1.1 _ +1.1 _ +0.9 ___ -1.5 _ +0.4 _-1.8

___ ___ Normal ___ ___ _______ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ____0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ____ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0

DonSutherland1 ____________-0.4 _ -1.8 _ -1.7 ___ -0.3 _ +2.5 _ +1.0 ___ -1.2 _ -2.6 _ -3.6

wxallannj ___________________-0.5 _ -0.9 _ -1.2 ___ -1.0 _ +1.2 _ +1.5 ___ -1.0 _ -0.6 _ -2.0

Rhino16 ____________________ -0.8 _ -1.0 _ -1.0 ___ -1.8 _ +0.5 _ -0.4 ___ -1.3 _ +0.3 _ -1.8

___ Consensus ______________-0.9 _ -1.4 _ -1.3 ___ -1.3 _ +0.8 _ +1.2 ___ -1.2 _ -1.0 _ -1.9 

hudsonvalley21 __ (-1%) ___ -1.0 _ -2.5 _ -1.4 ___ -0.1 _ +1.9 _ +1.3 ___ -0.6 _ -1.4 _ -2.3

RodneyS ___________________ -1.2 _ -1.4 _ -1.3 ___ -2.5 _ -0.6 _ +1.3 ___ -3.5 _ -1.8 _ -2.4

RJay ________________________-1.5 _ -1.5 _ -1.5 ___ -1.5 __ 0.0 _ +2.0 ___ -3.0 _ -1.5 _ -2.5

BKViking ____________________-1.8 _ -1.4 _ -1.2 ___ -1.8 _ +0.5 _ +1.5 ___ -1.2 _ +0.2 _ +0.2

Roger Smith ________________ -2.0 _ -2.2 _ -1.8 __ -2.4 _ -2.4 _ -1.8 ____ -1.0 _ -2.5 _ -1.3

- - - - -

__ Persistence (Feb 2023) _ +6.8 _ +5.2 _ +3.1 ___ +5.1 _ +8.6 _+2.8 __-1.6 _ -2.8 _ -3.3 

__________________

Forecasts are color coded for warmest and coldest. Normal is tied for warmest at ORD.

In a few days I will bring over the latest snowfall totals and compare them to contest entries. 

 

[Roger Smith]

 

Snowfall contest updates

This table will be updated whenever snow falls in March. Bold entries are maximum forecasts for location, and underlined are minimum forecasts.

Total and departure show your total for nine predictions, your current departure from actual (most of which are below forecasts) and in brackets, the portion of this departure which cannot be reduced (by current under-forecasts at BUF for most, and at SEA for some). If you are only behind BUF, your total departure is your total minus actual total, plus twice your BUF error. Apply the same principle if you are also passed by actual anywhere else now (SEA) or later (DEN may come into play soon). Rank is current for departure, and subject to future changes. The contest has been placed in rank order now.

 

Rank _FORECASTER ___________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _DTW _BUF __ DEN _ SEA _ BTV ___ Total and departure

 

_01 _ Scotty Lightning*___________16.0 _23.0 _ 33.0 __ 44.1 _37.5 _ 81.9 ___ 65.9__5.9 _ 84.0 ____ 391.3 __ 166.1 (53.9)

_02 _ hudsonvalley21 ____________13.2 _ 29.3 _ 46.2 __ 42.8 _44.0 _ 90.0 __ 48.7 _ 8.2 _96.3 ____ 418.7 __ 172.9 (43.6)

_03 _ so_whats_happening ______ 18.0 _38.0 _ 64.0 __ 45.0 _380_ 110.0 __ 42.0 _11.0 _ 84.0 ____ 450.0 __ 173.6 (28.3) 

_04 _ RodneyS ___________________ 7.4 _ 33.0 _ 50.0 __ 44.0 _48.0 _ 93.0 __ 46.0 _ 7.0 _ 98.0 ____ 426.4 __ 178.2 (42.4)

(05) ____ Consensus _____________16.0 _40.0 _ 55.5 __ 44.1 _ 49.9 _ 93.7 __ 50.0 _ 8.2 _ 90.0 ____ 447.4 __ 194.2 (39.9)

_05 _ DonSutherland1 ____________10.0 _36.0 _ 55.0 __ 45.8 _52.5 _ 95.0 __ 44.0 _ 7.0_ 100.0 ____ 445.3 __ 197.1 (42.4)

_06 _ Roger Smith _______________22.2 _44.4 _ 55.5 __ 55.5 _66.6_ 133.0 __ 52.0 _15.9 _ 88.8 ____ 533.9 __ 202.1 (0.6)

_07 _ RJay _______________________20.0 _50.0 _ 65.0 __ 31.0 _27.0 _ 86.0 ___ 50.0 _15.0 _ 80.0 ____ 424.0 __ 206.2 (57.6)

_08 _ wxdude64 _________________19.5 _40.0 _ 58.5 __ 42.8 _50.5 _101.0 ___ 41.6 _ 8.7 _ 104.0 ____466.6 __ 209.0 (37.7)

_09 _ Tom _______________________ 14.2 _ 41.1 _ 49.6 __ 53.9 _ 49.9 _ 93.7 __ 79.2 _ 6.7 _ 81.2 ____ 469.5 __ 219.1 (41.3)

_10 _ BKViking ___________________ 25.0 _52.0 _ 60.0 __ 38.0 _50.0 _90.0 __ 60.0 _18.0_ 90.0 ____ 483.0 __ 237.2 (43.6)

_11 _ George001 _________________ 12.0 _62.0_105.0__ 65.0 _70.0_140.0__ 60.0 _ 8.0_ 130.0____ 652.0 __ 319.0

actual snowfall to Apr 4, 2023 __0.4 __ 2.3 __12.4 __ 19.7 __37.0 __133.6 ___46.7 _ 8.1 _ 72.8 ____ 333.0 total 

Current best forecast ____________(04) __(01) __(01) ___(07) __(01) __ (06) ___(04)_(02,11)_ (07) 

(01 Scotty Lightning has three, (04) RodneyS has two, (07) RJay has two, (06) Roger Smith has one, and hudsonvalley21, George001 are tied for one (SEA). Lowest forecasts are best at all but DTW, BUF and SEA. 

======================================

(Mar 4) _ All forecasts are still above actual values for DCA, NYC, BOS, ORD and DTW as well as BTV. One forecast is now equal to current total at DEN, otherwise the rest are still above the current value. BUF has passed all but two forecasts (Roger Smith 133.0, George001 has 140.0). SEA has a bit more than half the forecasts, and is between George001 (8.0") and hudsonvalley21 (8.2") with other higher forecasts. 

The table now contains the total error value which in most cases is subject to later decreases, but for those already passed by BUF or SEA, new snowfall will increase these values. 

NOTE: BUF now has no contest implications, further snow will not change differentials, except for myself and George001. I can gain 16.4" (twice my reserve of 8.2") but that would only move my rank (8th) closer to 7th. George001 is too far back to benefit much from further snow at BUF. Probably DEN is the most volatile location for changing ranks. The more reserve you have for DEN, the higher your potential to move ahead -- but that snow has to happen. Seems unlikely that the four northeast locations or Chicago will pass any forecasts, but DTW could still be a factor.

Looks as though Scotty Lightning has the edge, he needs less than 1.0" more at DEN to pass so_whats_happening and then would have a bigger reserve than any chasers, except Tom, and his margin over Tom at DEN would not reverse the outcome. 

Unless there are very heavy snowfalls later in March at other locations, I think DEN will determine the outcome.

 

(Mar 11) _ DTW has now passed RJay and is gradually approaching our cluster near consensus. As a result RJay fell from 5th to 7th. No change at the top because DEN has seen no new snow since last report. 

(Mar 16) _ BUF has now reached the second highest forecast (Roger Smith) so I cannot gain any further ground, a combination of that plus more snow at DTW moved me into 7th and RJay into 8th, otherwise no changes in the scoring order. Scotty awaits any further snow at DEN to move ahead of so_whats_happening who also has 0.5" more to use up as both of our leaders find DTW about to pass them. The net result would be that if DTW does pass both, Scotty will need about 1.8" more at DEN to pass swh. If nothing else changed by then, Scotty has the same forecast for BTV and appears in good shape otherwise. 

(Mar 20) _ DEN added 1.5" snow which moved Scotty Lightning into the lead. If DTW adds a small amount then so_whats_happening could retake the lead unless DEN adds similar amounts. BUF has moved past all but George001 now, but the margin for further gain is only 6.7"x2 or 13.4" which is not enough to change any contest ranks. 

(Mar 28) _ DEN added a further 3.6" and BTV 0.3" in the past week. This has led to a few changes in the contest ranks. Meanwhile, the table is now ordered by contest ranks instead of following the forecast table. The contest is not settled yet. Further snowfall at DTW could move hudsonvalley21 into the lead. However, Scotty Lightning retains more DEN snowfall to use up if the total exceeds 48.7" (hudsonvalley21's prediction). RodneyS also has some potential for gain at DTW, but he cannot pass hudsonvalley21 unless about 9" more falls there. Large late season falls at BTV could also help hudsonvalley21 and RodneyS, as SL and s_w_h have equal forecasts of 84.0", albeit 12" above the current total there, so that advantage would only begin to materialize after 12" more might occur (not too likely from climatology or current model runs). Also RodneyS and hudsonvalley21 have to avoid larger snowfalls at DEN in April or May, as SL has a margin of over 15" and they have recently, or will soon  run out of margin there. Meanwhile so_whats_happening has one faint hope left, which would be April snow at SEA combined with no further snow anywhere else in play (BUF would not matter). I don't see any route to a contest win for those below fourth place although there are mathematical possibilities (that likely will not verify) mostly involving very heavy April snowfalls in the midwest. 

(Apr 4) _ Small additions at BUF and BTV, DEN may add today and tomorrow but not yet changed in table. 

[Roger Smith]

Update, heard from Tom and so_whats_happening, both were having problems with either connection to site or health and hope to be back with us soon. Meanwhile, here is the first report on anomalies and projections: 

__________________________ DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ____ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

(11th) ___ (10d anom) ___ +4.3 __+2.3 __+2.9 __+4.6 _+10.0 _+8.8* __ -4.0 _ -5.0 _ -5.4

(21st) ___ (20d anom) ___+0.4 __ +0.9 __+2.4 __-0.5 _ +1.0 _ +2.4 ___ -3.7 _ -3.0 _ -2.5* _ * est, one day msg data 

 

(11th) ___ (p20d anom) _ +2.0 __ +1.0 __ +1.5 __+2.0 _ +6.5 _ +6.0 ___ -3.0 _ -3.5 _ -3.5

(11th) ___ (p27d anom) _ +1.5 __ +0.5 __ +1.0 __ +1.5 _ +5.0 _ +5.0 ___ -2.0 _ -2.0 _ -3.0

(21st) ___ (p31d anom) _ +1.0 __ +1.5 __ +2.0 __ -1.5 _ +2.0 _ +3.5 ___ -2.0 _ -2.0 _ -1.5

(25th) ___ (p31d anom) _ +1.5 __ +2.0 __ +2.5 __ -1.5 _ +2.0 _ +3.5 ___ -2.0 _ -2.0 _ -2.0 

(31st) ___ (final anoms) __+1.5 __ +1.8 __ +2.5 ___-0.2 _ +2.4 _ +3.4 ___-5.7 _ -4.5 _ -2.6*

* SEA continues to be missing one max and one min, but a nearby location had values very similar to the monthly averages generating the -2.6 anomaly, so will not adjust that. Will however check for later adjustments (this also happened back around July 2022 and the missing data never appeared).  

=======

(11th) _ Rather cold for the next few days in most eastern and central locations, more variable later. West has started quite cold but looks to be closer to normal rest of the way, so the large anomalies are gradually reduced. Never looks quite cold enough to flip the positive anomalies in the east, and the southeast will only cool to near average at times. Best forecast looks to be a battle between wxdude64 and DonSutherland1. SL also good but needs west to warm more. 

(21st) _ Anomalies are converging on zero to +1.5 and a good stretch of mild weather looms, but very cold guidance for 29th-31st in east, more like 27th-31st central. Going with a balance of just above normal values for this blend. SEA missed one max and one min in their CF6 to date, looked like the missing values were well above normal so I adjusted the reported -3.1 to -2.5. Snowfall contest report also updated to the latest reports. 

(25th) _ New set of provisionals for end of month as models have downgraded the intensity of cold outbreak near end of month. Will adjust scoring as a result. Only the three eastern locations and SEA have been adjusted. 

(31st) _ Posting final anomalies overnight, now all confirmed. Scoring will be adjusted by morning of April 1st.

[Roger Smith]

Final scoring for March 2023

Scoring is based on confirmed monthly anomalies as shown in previous post. One point late penalty reductions *

 

FORECASTER _____________ DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH__cent _ c/e __ DEN_PHX_SEA__west ___ TOTAL

DonSutherland1 ____________ 62 _ 28 _ 16 __ 106 ___ 98 _ 98 _ 52 __ 248 _ 354 __ 17 _ 62 _ 80 __ 159 ____ 513

Scotty Lightning ___________  90 _ 84 _ 60 __234 __ 96 _ 72 _ 52 __ 220 _ 454 __ 00 _ 00 _ 48 __ 048 ____ 502

RJay ________________________40 _ 34 _ 20 ___094 __ 74 _ 52 _ 72 ___ 198 _ 292 __ 53 _ 40 _ 98__ 191 ____ 481

wxallannj ___________________ 60 _ 46 _ 26 __ 132 __ 84 _ 76 _ 62 ___ 222 _ 354 __ 13 _ 22 _ 88 __ 123 ____ 477

hudsonvalley21 __ (-1%) ____ 50 _ 14 _ 32 ___096 __ 97*_ 89*_ 57*__ 243 _ 339 __ 06 _ 38 _ 93*__ 137 ____ 476

wxdude64 __________________82 _ 56 _ 12 __ 150 __  82 _ 74 _ 50 ___ 206 _ 356 __ 23 _ 02 _ 84 __ 109 ____ 465

RodneyS ___________________ 46 _ 36 _ 24 __ 106 __ 54 _ 40 _ 58 ___ 152 _ 258 __ 63 _ 46 _ 96 __ 205 ____ 463

___ Consensus ______________52 _ 36 _ 24 __ 112 __ 78 _ 68 _ 56 ___ 202 __ 314 __ 17 _ 30 _ 86 __ 133 ____ 447 

___ ___ Normal ___ ___ _______ 70 _ 64 _ 50 __ 184 __ 96 _ 52 _ 32 ___180 _ 364 __ 00 _ 10 _ 48 __ 058 ____ 422

Rhino16 ____________________ 54 _ 44 _ 30 __ 128 __ 68 _ 62 _ 24 ___ 154 _ 282 __ 19 _ 04 _ 84 __ 107 _____ 389

BKViking ___________________ 34 _ 36 _ 26 __ 096 __ 68 _ 62 _ 62 ___ 192 _ 288 __ 17 _ 06 _ 44 __ 067 _____ 355

Roger Smith ________________ 30 _ 20 _ 14 __ 064 __ 56 _ 04 _ 00 ___ 060 _ 124 __ 13 _ 60 _ 74 __ 147 _____ 271

__________________

___ Persistence _____________ 00 _ 32 _ 88 __ 120 __ 00 _ 00 _ 88 ___ 088 _ 208 __ 18 _ 66 _ 86 __ 170 _____ 378

 

EXTREME FORECAST REPORT

Scotty Lightning wins DCA, NYC, BOS with warmest forecasts.

ORD (-0.2) is a shared win for DonSutherland1 (-0.3) and hudsonvalley21 (-0.1), Scotty Lightning (0.0) and Normal take a loss. 

ATL (+2.4) is a win for DonSutherland1 (+2.5) with warmest forecast.  

IAH (+3.4) is a win for RJay (+2.0) with warmest forecast. 

DEN (-5.7) is a win for RodneyS (-3.5) with coldest forecast. 

PHX (-4.5) is a win for DonSutherland1 (-2.6) with coldest forecast. 

SEA (-2.6) is a win for RJay (-2.5) and a loss for DonSutherland1 (-3.6). 

__________________________________________

  

[Roger Smith]

 

=== === <<<< ---- ANNUAL SCORING for JAN-MAR 2023 ---- >>>> === ===

 

Best scores for the nine locations are shown with red highlight, best totals for regions in bold. Slight adjustments are likely for March scores.

 

FORECASTER ____________ DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH__cent_ c/e__ DEN_PHX_SEA__west __ TOTALS

 

RJay _______________________195 _192 _ 153 __ 540 __222 _187 _206__ 615 __1155 _ 155 _124 _238 __517 ____1670

DonSutherland1 ___________ 162 _120 _ 154 __ 436 __196 _204 _208 __608 __1044 __123 _194_220 __ 537 ____1581

wxallannj __________________ 155 _150 _183 __ 488 __ 199 _148 _212 __ 559 __1046 _ 123 _146 _ 188__ 457 ____1504

RodneyS __________________ 110 _ 118 _146 __ 374 __ 167 _ 87 _194 __ 448 __ 822 _ 221 _ 186 _254 __ 661____ 1483

hudsonvalley21 ____________135 _ 108 _ 173 __ 416 __206 _177 _187 __ 570 __ 986 __100 _142 _229 __ 471 ____ 1457

___ Consensus _____________141 _ 128 _ 171 __ 440 __ 179 _126 _190 __ 495 __935 _ 127 _ 130 _236 __ 493 ____ 1428

wxdude64 _________________170 _ 139 _ 152 __ 461 __109 _124 _160 __ 393 __ 854 __ 165 _ 110 _208 __ 483 ____ 1337

BKViking __________________ 142 _ 134 _ 171 __ 447 __151 _112 _ 170 __ 433 __ 880 __ 109 _088 _ 168 __365 ____ 1245

Roger Smith _______________ 112 _ 104 _ 152 __ 368 __135 _ 95 _ 176 __ 406 __774 __ 111 _ 134 _222 __ 467 ____ 1241

Scotty Lightning ___________ 125 _124 _ 128 __ 377 __125 _107 _184 __ 416 __ 793 ___ 106 _ 46 _ 168 __ 330 ____ 1113

so_whats_happening (2/3) _ 90 _ 82 _ 138 ___ 310 __ 101 _ 41 _134 __ 276 __ 586 __ 98 __ 96 _ 148 __ 342 _____ 928

Tom (2/3) __________________ 90 _ 75 _ 126 ___ 291 ___ 87 _ 52 _ 112 __ 251 __ 542 __ 118 _ 94 _ 146 __ 358 _____ 900

___ Normal _________________ 70 __ 64 __88 __ 222 ___ 96 _ 52 _ 94 ___ 242 __ 464 __ 118 _ 098 _ 168 __ 384 _____848

Stormchaser Chuck (1/3) __ 87 _ 86 _ 32 ___ 205 ___ 93 _ 64 _ 86 ___ 243 __ 448 ___ 48 _ 84 __ 94 __ 226 _____ 674

Rhino16 (1/3) ______________ 54 _ 44 _ 30 ___ 128 ___ 68 _ 62 _ 24 ____ 154 __ 282 ___ 19 __ 04 __ 84 __ 107 ______389

_______________________________________________________

 

___ Persistence ___________ 91 _ 84 _108 __ 283 __ 60 _ 85 _ 214 __ 359 __ 642 __ 88 _214 _128 ___ 430 ____1072

 

Best Forecasts

 

* shared with one other forecaster for one month (does not apply to Consensus or Normal, if they qualify, so does the high forecaster score whether tied or not)

 

FORECASTER ____________ DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH__cent_ c/e__ DEN_PHX_SEA__west __ Months

 

RJay _______________________ 1 ____ 2 ____ 1 ____2 ____ 1*___2**____ 1 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ____ 0 

DonSutherland1 ___________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 2*____2*____0____ 2 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 2 ___ 1* ___0 ____2 _ Jan,Mar

wxallannj __________________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____0

RodneyS ___________________0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 2 ___ 1 ___ 1* ___ 3 ____0

hudsonvalley21 ____________0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0^____0 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____0

___ Consensus ____________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ____0

wxdude64 _________________0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____0

BKViking __________________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____0

Roger Smith _______________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____0 

Scotty Lightning ___________1 ____ 1 _____ 1 ____ 1 ____ 0 ____0 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____0

so_whats_happening (2/3) _0 ____ 0 ____ 1 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____0

Tom (2/3) _________________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____0

___ Normal _________________0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0

Stormchaser Chuck (1/3) __ 1 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 1 ____1*____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ____1 _ Feb

Rhino16 (1/3) ______________ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____0 ____0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____0

(hudsonvalley21 has a tied top score for ORD (Mar) reduced by penalty). Shown as 0^

 

-----------------------------------------

EXTREME FORECAST SUMMARY

 

So far, 25 of 27 forecasts qualify, 17 of them for warmest, and 8 for coldest ... Jan 6-2, Feb 5-3, Mar 6-3

 

FORECASTER _______ Jan _ Feb _ Mar __ TOTALS _ (adjusted for ties)

RJay _________________ 5-0 _ 2-1 _ 2-0 ___ 9-1 _______7.5 - 1

StormchaserChuck __ -- --_ 5-1 _ -- --___5-1 _______4.5 - 1

DonSutherland ______ 2-0 _ 1-0 _ 3*-1 ___ 6-1 _______4.5 - 1

Scotty Lightning _____0.0 _ 0-0 _ 3-1 ___ 3-1 _______ 3.0 - 1

RodneyS _____________1-0 _ 1-0 _ 1-0 ___ 3-0 _______ 3.0 - 0

wxdude64 ___________1-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 ___ 1-0 _______ 1.0 - 0

Roger Smith _________ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 ___ 1-0 _______ 1.0 - 0

hudsonvalley21 ______ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1*-0__ 1-0 ________0.5 - 0

so_whats_happening _0-0 _0-1 _ -- --___ 0-1 _______ 0.0 - 1

(all others) ___________ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 ___ 0-0 _______0.0 - 0

===========================================