March 2023

[psv88]

4 hours ago, lee59 said:

The average at my house, certainly not anything official, was 38.83. My closest airport is Farmingdale, which was some 1 degree warmer. I think my night time temps were generally colder.

38.3 for the winter here. 

[Roger Smith]

Some guidance has been showing a cold end to March, so here are the coldest last three day periods of March in NYC climate history. They are ranked by average daily maximum to prevent the urban heat island from totally dominating the list. To get onto this list, there must be a maximum of 39F or lower on one of the three days, or if not, two below 42F, or failing that, all three must be 45F or lower. Only the top occasions with all three below 45F should be ranked, as some of the higher averages might not be the next coldest. Closest three non-qualifiers since 1985 (by average max) are included (1990, 2001, 2004). Only 2022 qualified under the rules used since 1984, and it was marginal in this list but March 28th-30th 2022 would have placed a more impressive tied for fifth coldest daytime average among these, and it set a new record low maximum of 33F on the 28th (29F is record low maximum for 29th). I also included 1893 for 28th-30th for the same reason, and it did not qualify for the 29th-31st list.

Daily record values are in bold. 

YEAR ________ 29th max min __ 30th max min __ 31st max min ___ avg max, min ___ notes on any snowfalls etc

1887 __________ 29 __ 19 _______ 33 __ 16 ________ 40 __ 23 ________ 34.0 ___ 19.3 ____ 2.0" snow followed Apr 1-2

1923 __________ 32 __ 10 _______ 42 __ 30 ________ 34 __ 14 ________ 36.0 ___ 18.0 ____ also record low min Apr 1 (12F)

1883 __________ 37 __ 28 _______ 36 __ 28 ________ 39 __ 22 ________ 37.3 ___ 26.0 ____ 4.5" snow 30th

1919 __________ 31 __ 25 ________ 45 __ 27 ________ 38 __ 24 ________ 38.0 ___ 25.3 ____1.4" snow 28th, very cold Apr 1-2 (min 22 both)

1881 __________ 42 __ 35 _______ 38 __ 32 ________ 38 __ 31 ________ 39.3 ___ 32.7 ____ trace snow 31st

(2022) 28-30 _ (33) _ 23 _______ 38 __ 24 ________ 47 __ 29 ________ 39.3 ___ 25.3 ____ see note above, last qualifier for 29th-31st 

1890 __________ 41 __ 33 _______ 38 __ 31 ________ 40 __ 29 ________ 39.7 ___ 31.0 ____ 3.3" snow 30th-31st (2.8" on 31st)

1970 __________ 47 __ 27 _______ 37 __ 22 ________ 38 __ 33 ________ 40.7 ___ 27.3 ____ 4.0" snow 29th (1.07" prec) also 1.93" Apr 2nd

1974*__________ 34 __ 27 _______ 41 __ 32 ________ 47 __ 37 ________ 40.7 ___ 32.0 ____ 3.2" snow 29th (1.86" prec 29th-30th)

(1893) 28-30 __ 34 __ 26 _______ 42 __ 22 _______ 49 __ 29 ________ 41.7 ___ 25.7 ____ see note above, non-qualifier 29th-31st

1900 __________ 41 __ 31 _______ 41 __ 34 ________ 43 __ 30 ________ 41.7 ___ 31.7 ____ 0.5" snow 31st

1965 __________ 40 __ 35 _______42 __ 31 ________ 43 __ 26 ________ 41.7 ___ 30.7 ____ trace snow 29th, 1.2" Apr 2nd

1915 __________ 43 __ 32 _______ 37 __ 21 ________ 46 __ 28 ________ 42.0 ___ 27.0 ____ 10.2" snow Apr 3rd-4th

1928 __________ 43 __ 34 _______ 40 __ 35 ________ 43 __ 30 ________ 42.0 ___ 33.0 ____ 1.02" rain 30th

1944 __________ 42 __ 35 _______ 39 __ 35 ________ 47 __ 34 ________ 42.7 ___ 34.7 ____ 0.67" rain 29th-30th, 6.5" snow Apr 5

1956 __________ 38 __ 34 _______ 46 __ 35 ________ 44 __ 35 ________ 42.7 ___ 34.7 ____ 4.2" snow Apr 8th

1877 __________ 32 __ 28 _______ 49 __ 31 ________ 48 __ 33 ________ 43.0 ___ 30.7 ____ followed 1.5" snow 28th

1889 __________ 52 __ 32 _______ 38 __ 25 ________ 39 __ 31 ________ 43.0 ___ 29.3 ____ 0.5" snow 30th

1964 __________ 52 __ 34 _______ 41 __ 29 ________ 38 __ 22 ________ 43.7 ___ 28.3 ____

1942 __________ 39 __ 33 _______ 50 __ 33 ________ 44 __ 38 ________ 44.3 ___ 34.7 ____ 0.7" snow 29th-30th, 2.1" snow Apr 9th

1984 __________ 36 __ 34 _______ 44 __ 35 ________ 54 __ 35 ________ 44.7 ___ 34.7 ____ 3.3" snow (2.60" prec) 28th-29th**

1914 __________ 41 __ 34 _______ 39 __ 33 _________ 55 __ 38 ________ 45.0 ___ 35.0 ____ 

(2001) ________ 46 __ 36 _______ 43 __ 37 _________ 47 __ 38 ________ 45.3 ___ 37.0 ____ 2.16" rain 30th

1876 __________ 52 __ 35 _______ 39 __ 33 ________ 46 __ 33 ________ 45.7 ___ 33.7 ____ 2.37" rain followed 3rd-4th April

1880 __________ 38 __ 28 _______ 45 __ 33 ________ 54 __ 32 ________ 45.7 ___ 31.0 ____ 

1884 __________ 60 __ 29 _______ 31 __ 21 _________ 47 __ 25 ________ 46.0 ___ 25.0 ____ 

1922 __________ 64 __ 38 _______ 38 __ 32 ________ 37 __ 33 ________ 46.3 ___ 34.3 ____ 0.99" rain 30th-31st, traces snow

1885 __________ 40 __ 34 _______ 42 __ 30 ________ 58 __ 41 ________ 46.7 ___ 35.0 ____ 3.0" of snow 29th

(1990) ________ 50 __ 37 ________ 41 __ 36 ________ 49 __ 37 ________ 46.7 ___ 36.7 ____ 0.86" rain 30th, traces snow

(2004) ________ 51 __ 36 ________ 43 __ 34 _______ 46 __ 39 ________ 46.7 ___ 36.3 ____ 0.91" rain 31st into Apr 1st

1882 __________ 49 __ 32 _______ 54 __ 38 ________ 38 __ 31 ________ 47.0 ___ 33.7 ____ 0.5" snow Apr 10th

1941 __________ 46 __ 41 _______ 39 __ 28 ________ 58 __ 29 ________ 47.7 ___ 32.7 ____ 0.7" snow 29th-30th, a very warm April followed

1969 __________ 62 __ 38 _______ 45 __ 31 ________ 38 __ 28 ________ 48.3 ___ 32.3 ____ trace snow 30th

2022 __________ 38 __ 24 _______ 47 __ 29 ________ 66 __ 45 ________ 50.3 ___ 32.7 ____ see above (t5) for 28th-30th 2022

____________________

also note (1924 Mar 31- Apr 2) 45/32 __ 36/27 __ 39/27 ___ 8.5" snow 1-2.)

Even colder spells had just ended in 1885, 1888. The 23rd-27th 1888 cold spell: 20/14 _ 26/12 _ 34/16 _ 36/29 _ 42/34

In 1998 all three days broke 80 F and 1945 was nearly as warm, as were a number of other years including 1910, 1946, 1977 and 1986. 

* 1974 cold spell with snow was followed on Apr 3-4 by supertornado outbreak in Midwest, NYC reached 75F on Apr 4th.

** 1984 cold spell and heavy mixed precip event followed 4th-5th by 4.37" rain.

==============================

General note: some of these cold spells are dry and are then followed by a week or two of relatively dry weather with a steady warming trend often noted, but many either produce cold rains mixed with snow, or are followed by such events within a week. 

Even if this cold spell fades out of the model guidance before we reach the interval, this forms an interesting study, and the lack of such cold spells in recent decades is notable. If we had used minimum rather than maximum temperatures, 2015 average was 32.0 with 25 on 29th, 2008 had an average minimum of 32.7 for the last three days of March, and 2011 was 34.7. These intervals had average daytime highs of 48 to 49 F. 

 

 

[CIK62]

The next 8 days are averaging   49degs.(43/56) or +2.5.

Month to date is    42.6[+1.3].        Should be     44.3[+1.6] by the 30th.

Reached 60 here yesterday.

Today:  60-62, wind e. to s., p. cloudy, 48 tomorrow AM.

45*(46%RH) here at 7am{was 44* at 6am}.      47* at 9am.       50* at Noon.        51* at 12:30pm.       Reached 53* at 4pm.       49* at 6pm.       47* at 9pm.

[bluewave]

First 30”+ rainfall season at San Francisco since the 82-83 and 97-98 super El Niño’s. Also notice how the 16-17 heavy rains came close and were one year after the 15-16 super El Niño. Record March storm yesterday.
 

Time Series Summary for SAN FRANCISCO DOWNTOWN, CA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Ending Date	Total Precipitation Oct 1 to Mar 31	Missing Count
1	1862-03-31	47.73	0
2	1890-03-31	43.33	3
3	1998-03-31	40.25	0
4	1868-03-31	36.23	0
5	1878-03-31	33.93	0
6	1982-03-31	33.70	0
7	1973-03-31	33.67	0
8	1983-03-31	33.50	0
9	1850-03-31	32.64	0
10	1867-03-31	32.45	0
11	2023-03-31	30.69	10
12	1995-03-31	30.60	0
13	1952-03-31	30.27	0
14	2017-03-31	29.98	0
15	1876-03-31	29.62	0

 

 

 

[SACRUS]

Records:

 

Highs:

 

EWR: 80 (1938)
NYC: 78 (2012)
LGA: 76 (2012)

 

Lows:

EWR: 17 (1934)
NYC: 12 (1885)
LGA: 19 (1988)

 

Historical:

1888: Chicago's morning low dips to one degree below zero, the latest sub-zero Fahrenheit reading in the city's history. This record still stands today.

1920 - A spectactular display of the Northern Lights was visible as far south as Bradenton FL, El Paso TX, and Fresno CA. At Detroit MI, the display was described so brilliant as to blot out all stars below first magnitude. (22nd-23rd) (The Weather Channel)

1936 - A great flood crested on rivers from Ohio to Maine. The flood claimed 107 lives and caused 270 million dollars property damage. (David Ludlum)

1954 - Six to ten inch rains caused the Chicago River to overflow its banks. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - An intense storm produced heavy snow in the southern and central Rockies, and high winds from southern California to West Texas. Wolf Creek Pass CO received 24 inches of snow, and winds gusted to 69 mph at Ruidoso NM. Blizzard conditions were reported in eastern Colorado. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Rain and high winds battered the Northern Pacific Coast Region, with wind gusts to 78 mph at Ocean Shores WA. The high winds uprooted trees and down power lines. Ten cities in the northeastern U.S. reported new record low temperatures for the date. Eight cities in the central U.S. reported record highs. Southerly winds gusting to 60 mph helped push the mercury at Ottumwa IA to a record warm reading of 83 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Six cities in the Great Lakes Region, and three in southern Texas, reported new record low temperatures for the date, including Alpena MI with a reading of 9 above zero, and Brownsville TX with a reading of 38 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - A surge of arctic air kept temperatures in the teens and 20s during the day in the north central U.S., and heavy snow fell over parts of Montana. Record warmth was reported in the western U.S.,and in Alaska. Phoenix AZ reported a record high of 94 degrees, and the town of Barrow, located along the arctic coast of Alaska, reported a record high of 20 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

[SACRUS]

55 variably cloudy.  Looks cloudy the next three days with a nice break with sinshine sunday (3/26)

 

 

[nycwinter]

feels chilly out with the low humidity..lucky i had on a sweatshirt and a coat..

[bluewave]

Most frontloaded snowfall season on record for Buffalo.

 

 Total Snowfall for Buffalo Area, NY (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Nov	Dec	Season
2022	36.9	64.7	101.6
2000	45.6	50.3	95.9
1976	31.3	60.7	92.0
2001	0.0	82.7	82.7
1995	15.7	61.2	76.9

 

lick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Oct	Nov	Dec	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	Season
1976-1977	0.2	31.3	60.7	68.3	22.7	13.5	2.2	198.9
2000-2001	T	45.6	50.3	19.6	9.8	32.8	0.6	158.7
1977-1978	T	15.0	53.4	56.5	21.7	5.8	1.8	154.2
1995-1996	0.0	15.7	61.2	25.3	11.9	24.1	3.2	141.4
2022-2023	T	36.9	64.7	14.7	7.3	9.7	M	133.3

 

[MJO812]

16 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Most frontloaded snowfall season on record for Buffalo.

 

 Total Snowfall for Buffalo Area, NY (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Nov	Dec	Season
2022	36.9	64.7	101.6
2000	45.6	50.3	95.9
1976	31.3	60.7	92.0
2001	0.0	82.7	82.7
1995	15.7	61.2	76.9

 

lick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Oct	Nov	Dec	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	Season
1976-1977	0.2	31.3	60.7	68.3	22.7	13.5	2.2	198.9
2000-2001	T	45.6	50.3	19.6	9.8	32.8	0.6	158.7
1977-1978	T	15.0	53.4	56.5	21.7	5.8	1.8	154.2
1995-1996	0.0	15.7	61.2	25.3	11.9	24.1	3.2	141.4
2022-2023	T	36.9	64.7	14.7	7.3	9.7	M	133.3

 

Caribou is going to beat them 

[bluewave]

25 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Caribou is going to beat them 

But Buffalo gets bigger individual snowstorms than Caribou does with the lake effect.

 

for Buffalo Area, NY (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Value	Ending Date	Missing Days
1	56.1	2001-12-28	0
2	48.1	2001-12-29	0
3	43.0	2022-12-25	0
4	42.3	1995-12-11	0
5	41.4	1995-12-10	0
6	40.2	2022-12-24	0
7	38.9	2000-11-20	0
8	38.8	1976-12-02	0
9	36.6	2022-11-19	0
10	36.0	1945-12-16	0
11	35.0	1995-12-12	0
12	34.8	2001-12-27	0
13	34.6	1945-12-17	0
14	33.4	2001-12-26	0
15	33.2	1985-01-21	0
16	30.8	2000-11-21	0

 

for Caribou Area, ME (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Value	Ending Date	Missing Days
1	33.1	2005-12-27	0
2	29.8	2005-12-26	0
3	29.5	2003-02-04	0
4	29.2	1984-03-14	0
5	29.0	1984-03-15	0
6	28.6	1984-03-16	0
7	27.3	2003-12-17	0
-	27.3	2003-12-16	0
9	27.1	2003-12-15	0
10	26.3	1982-04-09	0
-	26.3	1982-04-08	0
12	26.1	2005-12-28	0
13	23.8	2003-02-03	0
14	23.6	2001-04-02	0
15	23.3	1962-12-31	0
16	22.8	1982-04-07	0
17	22.4	1963-01-01	0
18	22.2	2001-04-01	0
19	22.0	1981-03-19	0
20	21.7	1986-01-05	0

 

[MANDA]

52 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Most frontloaded snowfall season on record for Buffalo.

 

 Total Snowfall for Buffalo Area, NY (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Nov	Dec	Season
2022	36.9	64.7	101.6
2000	45.6	50.3	95.9
1976	31.3	60.7	92.0
2001	0.0	82.7	82.7
1995	15.7	61.2	76.9

 

lick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Oct	Nov	Dec	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	Season
1976-1977	0.2	31.3	60.7	68.3	22.7	13.5	2.2	198.9
2000-2001	T	45.6	50.3	19.6	9.8	32.8	0.6	158.7
1977-1978	T	15.0	53.4	56.5	21.7	5.8	1.8	154.2
1995-1996	0.0	15.7	61.2	25.3	11.9	24.1	3.2	141.4
2022-2023	T	36.9	64.7	14.7	7.3	9.7	M	133.3

 

I remember the famous back to back brutal winters of 76-77 and 77-78 for Buffalo and the Northeast.  I remember 76-77 came to an abrupt end once to end of first week of February.  Remember walking home from school in a t-shirt mid to late month.  Snowfall was unremarkable for NYC area 76-77 with I think just one decent event (4-6") in January.  The winter of 77-78 was memorable for lasting snow and cold with two big storms just weeks apart.  Deep snow pack 12-24" lasted into last week of March where I was living in in Bergen County.  Just going by memory here.  Was a long time a go and I was just a kid but that is what I remember.

[rclab]

9 minutes ago, MANDA said:

I remember the famous back to back brutal winters of 76-77 and 77-78 for Buffalo and the Northeast.  I remember 76-77 came to an abrupt end once to end of first week of February.  Remember walking home from school in a t-shirt mid to late month.  Snowfall was unremarkable for NYC area 76-77 with I think just one decent event (4-6") in January.  The winter of 77-78 was memorable for lasting snow and cold with two big storms just weeks apart.  Deep snow pack 12-24" lasted into last week of March where I was living in in Bergen County.  Just going by memory here.  Was a long time a go and I was just a kid but that is what I remember.

Good afternoon MANDA. I was approaching 31 late in that 77-78 cold season. The condensed remnant old snow turned to ice on my inner city block was almost unbreakable. I remember a neighbor, two row houses down from me turning on the hydrant, during a mild spell, to try and break the hard ice engulfing the curb. 45 years ago. Baring a rare set of extremes, I find it difficult to believe we will (inner city wise) ever see that again. Stay well, as always ….

[bluewave]

38 minutes ago, MANDA said:

I remember the famous back to back brutal winters of 76-77 and 77-78 for Buffalo and the Northeast.  I remember 76-77 came to an abrupt end once to end of first week of February.  Remember walking home from school in a t-shirt mid to late month.  Snowfall was unremarkable for NYC area 76-77 with I think just one decent event (4-6") in January.  The winter of 77-78 was memorable for lasting snow and cold with two big storms just weeks apart.  Deep snow pack 12-24" lasted into last week of March where I was living in in Bergen County.  Just going by memory here.  Was a long time a go and I was just a kid but that is what I remember.

Yeah, 76-77 was the last top 10 coldest winter in NYC going back to around 1870. Places with a shorter period of record like HPN and ISP were the coldest. Was actually the coldest winter at Philly going back to 1875. Was the 3rd coldest Dec-Jan in NYC.

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Season	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1917-1918	25.7	0
2	1880-1881	26.5	0
3	1903-1904	27.3	0
4	1919-1920	27.4	0
5	1874-1875	27.7	4
-	1872-1873	27.7	0
7	1904-1905	28.1	0
8	1935-1936	28.3	0
9	1976-1977	28.4	0
-	1884-1885	28.4	0
-	1882-1883	28.4	0
10	1892-1893	28.6	0
-	1887-1888	28.6	0

 

Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Ending Date	Mean Avg Temperature Dec 1 to Jan 31	Missing Count
1	1918-01-31	23.3	0
2	1881-01-31	25.5	0
3	1977-01-31	26.0	0
4	1877-01-31	26.4	0
5	1920-01-31	26.8	0
6	1873-01-31	27.0	0
7	1883-01-31	27.5	0
8	1893-01-31	28.0	0
-	1884-01-31	28.0	0
9	1888-01-31	28.3	0
10	1904-01-31	28.4	0

 

Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Season	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1976-1977	23.8	0
2	1977-1978	24.7	1
3	1962-1963	25.9	1
4	1978-1979	26.4	0
-	1960-1961	26.4	1
5	1993-1994	26.6	3
6	1958-1959	27.1	0
7	2002-2003	27.2	0
-	1969-1970	27.2	0
	2014-2015	27.5	2
8	1981-1982	27.7	1

 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Season	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1976-1977	27.0	0
2	1977-1978	27.1	0
3	1967-1968	27.4	0
4	1969-1970	29.2	0
5	2002-2003	29.3	0
6	1993-1994	29.4	0
7	1968-1969	29.8	0
8	2014-2015	30.0	0
-	1963-1964	30.0	2
9	1978-1979	30.1	0
10	2010-2011	30.4	0

 

Time Series Summary for Poughkeepsie Area, NY (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Season	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1960-1961	21.8	0
2	1962-1963	22.3	0
3	1969-1970	22.4	0
-	1944-1945	22.4	1
4	1976-1977	22.5	0
-	1947-1948	22.5	0
5	1993-1994	23.5	8
-	1933-1934	23.5	3
6	1977-1978	23.6	0
7	1935-1936	23.7	4
8	2002-2003	24.1	0
9	1958-1959	24.4	2

 

Time Series Summary for Philadelphia Area, PA (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Season	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1976-1977	28.0	0
2	1962-1963	28.3	0
-	1903-1904	28.3	0
4	1977-1978	28.4	0
5	1917-1918	28.5	0
6	1904-1905	28.6	0
-	1874-1875	28.6	0
8	1880-1881	28.7	0
9	1960-1961	28.9	0
10	1892-1893	29.4	0
11	1935-1936	29.7	0
-	1884-1885	29.7	0
13	1876-1877	30.0	0

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Season	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1935-1936	27.1	0
2	1976-1977	27.6	0
3	1933-1934	27.7	0
4	1977-1978	28.6	0
5	1947-1948	28.9	0
6	1944-1945	29.2	0
7	1962-1963	29.4	0
8	1969-1970	30.1	0
-	1934-1935	30.1	0
9	1939-1940	30.3	0
10	2014-2015	30.4	0

 

Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Season	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1976-1977	28.0	0
2	1977-1978	30.1	0
-	1967-1968	30.1	0
3	1962-1963	30.3	2
4	2002-2003	30.5	0
5	1993-1994	30.8	0
6	1958-1959	31.0	6
7	1960-1961	31.3	0
8	1963-1964	31.6	0
-	1961-1962	31.6	0
9	1969-1970	31.7	0
-	1968-1969	31.7	0
10	2003-2004	32.0	0

 

Time Series Summary for Mount Pocono Area, PA (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Season	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1917-1918	15.8	6
2	1919-1920	17.3	1
3	1935-1936	17.9	0
4	1903-1904	18.1	3
5	1933-1934	19.3	0
6	1904-1905	19.5	4
7	1962-1963	19.6	0
8	1976-1977	19.7	2
9	1977-1978	19.8	0
10	1987-1988	20.5	30
-	1969-1970	20.5	0

[MANDA]

2 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, 76-77 was the last top 10 coldest winter in NYC going back to around 1870. Places with a shorter period of record like HPN and ISP were the coldest.

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Season	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1917-1918	25.7	0
2	1880-1881	26.5	0
3	1903-1904	27.3	0
4	1919-1920	27.4	0
5	1874-1875	27.7	4
-	1872-1873	27.7	0
7	1904-1905	28.1	0
8	1935-1936	28.3	0
9	1976-1977	28.4	0
-	1884-1885	28.4	0
-	1882-1883	28.4	0
10	1892-1893	28.6	0
-	1887-1888	28.6	0

 

 

Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Season	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1976-1977	23.8	0
2	1977-1978	24.7	1
3	1962-1963	25.9	1
4	1978-1979	26.4	0
-	1960-1961	26.4	1
5	1993-1994	26.6	3
6	1958-1959	27.1	0
7	2002-2003	27.2	0
-	1969-1970	27.2	0
	2014-2015	27.5	2
8	1981-1982	27.7	1

 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Season	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1976-1977	27.0	0
2	1977-1978	27.1	0
3	1967-1968	27.4	0
4	1969-1970	29.2	0
5	2002-2003	29.3	0
6	1993-1994	29.4	0
7	1968-1969	29.8	0
8	2014-2015	30.0	0
-	1963-1964	30.0	2
9	1978-1979	30.1	0
10	2010-2011	30.4	0

Also if I remember correctly the "cool" that 76-77 season started in August right after Hurricane Belle made a run up the east coast in early August.  I remember it being cool for balance of August into September.  Arctic outbreaks began in October and intensified into Nov., Dec and January.  I remember November as being cold and VERY dry.  Thanks for the charts...interesting that NYC made #9 and that was done really on the back of Dec 76 and Jan 77.  I have to believe Feb 77 was above normal.  If I recall Jan 77 was one of the coldest in NYC history, maybe top 5???

[MANDA]

12 minutes ago, rclab said:

Good afternoon MANDA. I was approaching 31 late in that 77-78 cold season. The condensed remnant old snow turned to ice on my inner city block was almost unbreakable. I remember a neighbor, two row houses down from me turning on the hydrant, during a mild spell, to try and break the hard ice engulfing the curb. 45 years ago. Baring a rare set of extremes, I find it difficult to believe we will (inner city wise) ever see that again. Stay well, as always ….

Great memories!  Yeah, I agree it is hard to imagine anything like this happening again anytime soon with the current climatic cycle.

[bluewave]

11 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Great memories!  Yeah, I agree it is hard to imagine anything like this happening again anytime soon with the current climatic cycle.

Not even sure if a winter below freezing is possible again like our last one in 13-14. So a winter in the 20s is probably out of the question absent some type of super volcanic eruption. Winters have just warmed too much.

30	1993-1994	31.1	0
-	1934-1935	31.1	0
32	2002-2003	31.2	0
-	1967-1968	31.2	0
-	1909-1910	31.2	0
-	1870-1871	31.2	4
36	2014-2015	31.4	0

 

[dWave]

3 hours ago, nycwinter said:

feels chilly out with the low humidity..lucky i had on a sweatshirt and a coat..

Yeah I'm not a fan of the super low humidity. Its not as bad as yday though. Might be an asthma thing but when humidity gets down to 15% or 10% it feels like breathing knives. 

There's some brush fires in NJ suspending train service between Penn Station and Trenton

[MJO812]

[Franklin0529]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Let it go man. It's over

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said:

Let it go man. It's over

My cut off is April

[North and West]

I love your enthusiasm and positivity, but enjoy the summer and fall and let’s make a time to meet up again here after the World Series.


.

[bluewave]

3 hours ago, MANDA said:

Also if I remember correctly the "cool" that 76-77 season started in August right after Hurricane Belle made a run up the east coast in early August.  I remember it being cool for balance of August into September.  Arctic outbreaks began in October and intensified into Nov., Dec and January.  I remember November as being cold and VERY dry.  Thanks for the charts...interesting that NYC made #9 and that was done really on the back of Dec 76 and Jan 77.  I have to believe Feb 77 was above normal.  If I recall Jan 77 was one of the coldest in NYC history, maybe top 5???

Yeah, it was the 6th coldest August into January period for NYC. 2nd coldest January in NYC. It was the coldest January in Philly

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Ending Date	Mean Avg Temperature Aug 1 to Jan 31	Missing Count
1	1869-01-31	34.6	153
2	1918-01-31	46.8	0
3	1888-01-31	47.0	0
4	1881-01-31	47.1	0
5	1884-01-31	47.2	0
6	1977-01-31	47.8	0
7	1877-01-31	47.9	2
-	1872-01-31	47.9	0
8	1883-01-31	48.5	0
-	1873-01-31	48.5	0
9	1904-01-31	48.7	2
-	1893-01-31	48.7	0

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of Jan
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1918	21.7	0
2	1977	22.0	0
3	1888	23.2	0
4	1920	23.4	0
5	1875	23.6	1
6	1912	23.7	0
7	1893	23.8	0
8	1883	24.4	0
9	1884	24.5	0
10	1881	24.6	0

 

Time Series Summary for Philadelphia Area, PA (ThreadEx) - Month of Jan
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1977	20.0	0
2	1893	24.0	0
3	1918	24.1	0
4	1970	24.5	0
5	1982	24.7	0
6	1945	24.8	0
7	1961	25.0	0
8	1875	25.2	0
9	1981	25.3	0
-	1940	25.3	0
10	1912	25.4	0

[donsutherland1]

On this date in 1998, 5.0" of snow fell boosting winter 1997-98's seasonal snowfall to 5.5". As a result, with its 2.3" of snow to date, the 2022-23 snow season ranks as the least snowy season through March 22nd.

Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy and very mild. Some showers are likely. Much of this week will feature readings in the 50s and even 60s. Overall, it now appears likely that March will wind up warmer than normal.

April could start on a cool, but not necessarily exceptionally cold note. As has been the case throughout the winter and early part of spring, the coldest air will likely remain in western and central North America.

Historic experience with very low snowfall totals through February argues that a very snowy March or big snowstorm during March or April are unlikely. There were 16 winters that had less than 8" of snowfall through February in New York City. Just two (13%) had a 6" or greater snowstorm during March or April: 1889-1890: 6.0" on March 19th and 1991-1992: 6.2" on March 19th.

With just 2.3" snowfall through March 19, New York City is now very likely to finish the season with less than 10" of snow. Since 1869-70, all 10 winters with less than 8.5" of snow through March 19th wound up with less than 10" of seasonal snowfall. New York City is currently on a path that could culminate in its setting a new record for lowest seasonal snowfall.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.1°C for the week centered around March 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.26°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was +6.75 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.080 today.

On March 20 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.856 (RMM). The March 19-adjusted amplitude was 2.311 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 85% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 44.1° (1.3° above normal normal).

 

[MANDA]

14 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, it was the 6th coldest August into January period for NYC. 2nd coldest January in NYC. It was the coldest January in Philly

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Ending Date	Mean Avg Temperature Aug 1 to Jan 31	Missing Count
1	1869-01-31	34.6	153
2	1918-01-31	46.8	0
3	1888-01-31	47.0	0
4	1881-01-31	47.1	0
5	1884-01-31	47.2	0
6	1977-01-31	47.8	0
7	1877-01-31	47.9	2
-	1872-01-31	47.9	0
8	1883-01-31	48.5	0
-	1873-01-31	48.5	0
9	1904-01-31	48.7	2
-	1893-01-31	48.7	0

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of Jan
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1918	21.7	0
2	1977	22.0	0
3	1888	23.2	0
4	1920	23.4	0
5	1875	23.6	1
6	1912	23.7	0
7	1893	23.8	0
8	1883	24.4	0
9	1884	24.5	0
10	1881	24.6	0

 

Time Series Summary for Philadelphia Area, PA (ThreadEx) - Month of Jan
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1977	20.0	0
2	1893	24.0	0
3	1918	24.1	0
4	1970	24.5	0
5	1982	24.7	0
6	1945	24.8	0
7	1961	25.0	0
8	1875	25.2	0
9	1981	25.3	0
-	1940	25.3	0
10	1912	25.4	0

Wow, great stuff thanks.  My memory on all that was pretty good.  I now remember we (NYC) just missed out on the coldest January by a bit falling only behind the bitter January of 1918.  Wow, Philly crushed it getting to first place...hold my beer type of a record.  Incomprehensible we could get something like that today.  Two questions if you have time.  What were temperature departures like for February 1977.  I distinctly remember walking the 2 miles home from school and sweating at some point during that February.  What was the seasonal snow total for that winter.  I just remember one storm of note but I do remember what fell just kept building up because nothing melted for December and January.  Thanks!

[snowman19]

Say goodnight and goodbye. It’s over Johnny. Done. Finished. Adios. History. Stick a fork in it. The fat lady has sung. It’s Dead Jim! Bring down the curtain. The ship has sailed. Give it up. Peace out. See you in 9 months. Let it go. A former winter…..

[Roger Smith]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, it was the 6th coldest August into January period for NYC. 2nd coldest January in NYC. It was the coldest January in Philly

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Ending Date	Mean Avg Temperature Aug 1 to Jan 31	Missing Count
1	1869-01-31	34.6	153
2	1918-01-31	46.8	0
3	1888-01-31	47.0	0
4	1881-01-31	47.1	0
5	1884-01-31	47.2	0
6	1977-01-31	47.8	0
7	1877-01-31	47.9	2
-	1872-01-31	47.9	0
8	1883-01-31	48.5	0
-	1873-01-31	48.5	0
9	1904-01-31	48.7	2
-	1893-01-31	48.7	0

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of Jan
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1918	21.7	0
2	1977	22.0	0
3	1888	23.2	0
4	1920	23.4	0
5	1875	23.6	1
6	1912	23.7	0
7	1893	23.8	0
8	1883	24.4	0
9	1884	24.5	0
10	1881	24.6	0

 

Time Series Summary for Philadelphia Area, PA (ThreadEx) - Month of Jan
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1977	20.0	0
2	1893	24.0	0
3	1918	24.1	0
4	1970	24.5	0
5	1982	24.7	0
6	1945	24.8	0
7	1961	25.0	0
8	1875	25.2	0
9	1981	25.3	0
-	1940	25.3	0
10	1912	25.4	0

1869 should be tossed from that first list, there was no data for Aug-Dec 1868. Based on Toronto data though, it wasn't overly warm and 1868-69 might have made the top ten, July 1868 was a very hot month, I rank it second hottest July (to 1921) after urban heat island adjustments for Toronto. 

[Roger Smith]

In 1977, as discussed, the winter did relent its grip during February but even so, the month was quite average and finished 73rd warmest of the 155 to date (mean 33.5 F). March 1977 was warm and finished at 46.8 F which was the eleventh warmest of the 154 so far. April 1977 was warm at times and finished tied 36th warmest. May 1977 was a scorcher at times, except for that one brief cold shot where a trace of snow fell in NYC, and finished 24th warmest. 

[MANDA]

10 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

In 1977, as discussed, the winter did relent its grip during February but even so, the month was quite average and finished 73rd warmest of the 155 to date (mean 33.5 F). March 1977 was warm and finished at 46.8 F which was the eleventh warmest of the 154 so far. April 1977 was warm at times and finished tied 36th warmest. May 1977 was a scorcher at times, except for that one brief cold shot where a trace of snow fell in NYC, and finished 24th warmest. 

Maybe it was March that was so warm walking home from school.  I just remember sweating on several days and thinking it was remarkable after the bitter January.  April 1976 had the 3 day heatwave at Easter when it hit I believe 96 in the park on Easter Sunday.  Was a dry heat though.

[Brasiluvsnow]

3 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Ant, I will keep hope alive for you brother as I drained the gas out of my snowblower and I put all my shovels away into my shed yesterday

[MJO812]